March 2026

[MJO812]

34 minutes ago, cmillzz said:

I just had a five day streak of 60+ (with 70+ at times), and even the cooler days like today are flirting with 50. It’s been pure spring mode here.

Where ? 

[SnoSki14]

1 hour ago, cmillzz said:

I just had a five day streak of 60+ (with 70+ at times), and even the cooler days like today are flirting with 50. It’s been pure spring mode here.

Thanks for the update snowman19

Monday could be impressive if we get more instability than forecast. A strong squall is likely. 

[MJO812]

10 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Thanks for the update snowman19

Monday could be impressive if we get more instability than forecast. A strong squall is likely. 

Looks very impressive.  The other night was just the appetizer.

[cmillzz]

14 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Thanks for the update snowman19

Monday could be impressive if we get more instability than forecast. A strong squall is likely. 

Nice winter chill in the air the past 7 days for you folks out east.

[MJO812]

5 minutes ago, cmillzz said:

Nice winter chill in the air the past 7 days for you folks out east.

Are you from Colorado?

[MJO812]

Still have a little snow . This was a huge pile at one time. 

[MJO812]

Same pattern 

Insane how warm the west will continue to be.

[SnoSki14]

16 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Same pattern 

Insane how warm the west will continue to be.

All time March records will be shattered.  We're literally the cool bubble on an ocean of boiling water 

[vegan_edible]

anyone, and i mean anyone who thinks this is good weather for mid march needs to be psychologically examined. the wind  sucks and having it go back into the 30's after a few days of nice weather just makes me sad lmao

 

by next november, i will once again be ready to see some flakes. but as for now, lets just chill at 72 and sunny everyday. 

[donsutherland1]

Generally cooler weather will prevail through the weekend. Following a soaking rain on Monday, a shot of much cooler air could arrive on Tuesday. Lows in New York City could fall to the middle and upper 20s with highs in the upper 30s and lower 40s on Wednesday and Thursday. 

However, with the AO likely to remain generally positive, the cool period likely won't be as prolonged as had been the case during this past winter's cold regimes. 

The major weather story next week will be the super March heatwave that will build in much of the western U.S. March monthly records are likely to be smashed in numerous cities.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 4. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.23°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have now developed. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was +26.18 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +3.365 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 76% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 44.9° (2.1° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[Stormlover74]

4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

All time March records will be shattered.  We're literally the cool bubble on an ocean of boiling water 

109 in palm springs in March is just insane

[PhiEaglesfan712]

43 minutes ago, cmillzz said:

Nice winter chill in the air the past 7 days for you folks out east.

Yeah, that  I was in Vermont from Saturday-Monday, and it was 55-60 each day. (I returned home on Monday to 70s and a melted lake.)

6 minutes ago, vegan_edible said:

anyone, and i mean anyone who thinks this is good weather for mid march needs to be psychologically examined. the wind  sucks and having it go back into the 30's after a few days of nice weather just makes me sad lmao

 

by next november, i will once again be ready to see some flakes. but as for now, lets just chill at 72 and sunny everyday. 

Definitely agree with you on this. I wouldn't want a temperature swing like that. I mean, I don't want it to be 100 degrees one day in the summer, then in the 50s at the same time the very next day.

[SnoSki14]

15 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

109 in palm springs in March is just insane

Terrifying if this verifies. We could see all time monthly records smashed by 8-10+ degrees 

[forkyfork]

16 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Terrifying if this verifies. We could see all time monthly records smashed by 8-10+ degrees 

why can't this be us in july

[MJO812]

Phoenix is going to see temps in the 90s and 100s. Wow.

[cmillzz]

5 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

why can't this be us in july

wait until the mid 2030s

[PhiEaglesfan712]

5 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

why can't this be us in july

It already happened in Newark. On July 22, 2011, it reached 108.

Now, imagine a July day going to 116-118+ in Newark.

[Stormlover74]

Up to 80 mph winds in Ohio.  A blizzard to the north and record breaking heat in the west

[jm1220]

3 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Up to 80 mph winds in Ohio.  A blizzard to the north and record breaking heat in the west

Looks like there'll be a death band somewhere in MN that gets 20"+. Outside maybe a foot. Tough call for MSP. 

[bluewave]

19 hours ago, SACRUS said:

March 1993 storm

The big Miller A storm track east of the APPS has gone dormant for 20 years now. So JB is in one of the worst snow holes around Central PA.  

State College requires that particular storm track to reach near to above average snowfall. Just like our area needs benchmark snowstorms to reach average to above average snowfall.

Miller A Cutters west of the APPS and weak Miller Bs that dryslot Central PA aren’t good for our area or Central PA.

At least we finally got a solid benchmark season here after so many below average seasons since 2018-2019. 

But our issue has been the dominance of all or nothing seasons since 93-94 where we finish well above average or well below snowfall. The mid range 18-29 season which dominated from the 1960s to early 1990s has become a rarity. 

So our snowfall seasons either hit some nice home runs or we strike out. The risk in a warming climate is that the strikeouts start to become more common than the home runs. But it’s still nice to know that we can get a great bounce back year like this one from time to time.

 

 

 

[snowman19]

As of yesterday, we now have a September sun angle. Climo is now fully in spring mode and length of day increases exponentially this month…..
 

[WeatherGeek2025]

40 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

As of yesterday, we now have a September sun angle. Climo is now fully in spring mode and length of day increases exponentially this month…..
 

snowman do you think we'll get more snow this winter/spring?

[MJO812]

6 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

snowman do you think we'll get more snow this winter/spring?

Hell no

[SACRUS]

48 / 26 clear and breezy.  Main themes  are strong southerly flow ahead of a strong front Monday will cause some heavy rain and potential strong storms - especially south on Monday 1 to >1.5 inches of rain possible.  Beyond there chillier Tue / Wed before moderating Thu.  Overall near normal to slightly below through the 23.  Beyond there a bit back and forth near normal

 

[SACRUS]

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 79 (2007)
NYC: 75 (1946)
LGA: 75 (1946)
JFK: 72 (2012)


Lows:

EWR: 17 (1993)
NYC: 12 (1888)
LGA: 18 (1993)
JFK: 19 (1993)


Historical: 

 

1870 - The term blizzard was first applied to a storm which produced heavy snow and high winds in Minnesota and Iowa. (David Ludlum)

 

1933: A deadly tornado outbreak affected the Middle Tennessee region, including Nashville, on this day. The outbreak, which produced five or more tornadoes, killed 44 people and injured at least 461 others. The strongest tornado, F3, cut a path through the center of Nashville. About 1,400 homes were damaged or destroyed. Windows were blown out of the State Capitol Building.

1935: Suffocating dust storms frequently occurred in southeast Colorado between the 12th and the 25th of the month. Six people died, and many livestock starved or suffocated. Up to six feet of dust covered the ground. Schools were closed, and tenants deserted many rural homes.  

1944 - A single storm brought a record 21.6 inches of snow to Salt Lake City UT. (The Weather Channel)

1960 - Northern Georgia was between snowstorms. Gainesville GA received 17 inches of snow during the month, and reported at least a trace of snow on the ground 22 days in March. Snow was on roofs in Hartwell GA from the 2nd to the 29th. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - A powerful storm in the western U.S. produced 15 inches of snow in the Lake Tahoe Basin of Nevada, and wind gusts to 50 mph at Las Vegas NV. Thunderstorms in the Sacramento Valley of California spawned a tornado which hit a turkey farm near Corning. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Squalls in the Great Lakes Region continued to produce heavy snow in northwest Wisconsin and Upper Michigan, and produced up to 14 inches of snow in northeast Ohio. Poplar WI reported 27 inches of snow in two days. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - High winds in Colorado and Wyoming gusted above 120 mph at Horsetooth Heights CO. High winds in the Central Plains sharply reduced visibilities in blowing dust as far east as Kansas City MO. Winds gusting to 72 mph at Hill City KS reduced the visibility to a city block in blowing dust. Soil erosion in northwest Kansas damaged nearly five million acres of wheat. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1990 - Fifty-three cities reported record high temperatures for the date as readings warmed into the 70s and 80s from the Gulf coast to the Great Lakes Region. Charleston WV was the hot spot in the nation with a record high of 89 degrees. It was the fourth of five consecutive days with record warm tempeatures for many cities in the eastern U.S. There were 283 daily record highs reported in the central and eastern U.S. during between the 11th and the 15th of March. (The National Weather Summary)

2007 - The temperature in Concord, NH, reaches a record high of 74 degrees less than one week after a record low temperature of 7 degrees below zero on March 8, an 81 degree temperature swing in six days.

 

2008: An EF2 tornado moved through downtown Atlanta, Georgia, shortly before 10 pm, damaging the Georgia Dome where the SEC men's basketball tournament was underway. 

[SACRUS]

Monday

 

[GaWx]

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

The big Miller A storm track east of the APPS has gone dormant for 20 years now. So JB is in one of the worst snow holes around Central PA.  

State College requires that particular storm track to reach near to above average snowfall. Just like our area needs benchmark snowstorms to reach average to above average snowfall.

Miller A Cutters west of the APPS and weak Miller Bs that dryslot Central PA aren’t good for our area or Central PA.

At least we finally got a solid benchmark season here after so many below average seasons since 2018-2019. 

But our issue has been the dominance of all or nothing seasons since 93-94 where we finish well above average or well below snowfall. The mid range 18-29 season which dominated from the 1960s to early 1990s has become a rarity. 

So our snowfall seasons either hit some nice home runs or we strike out. The risk in a warming climate is that the strikeouts start to become more common than the home runs. But it’s still nice to know that we can get a great bounce back year like this one from time to time.

 

 

 

The map above was not accurately made by Brian B. Examples:

 Providence and much of L.I.  had 200+% of normal (pink), but this shows pink south of them. Bos is also too low.
 This has Charlotte ~normal vs actual of 300+%! It has GSO in NC in yellow vs actual of 200%!

[nycwinter]

very windy outside a few times i was pushed back... 

[jm1220]

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

The big Miller A storm track east of the APPS has gone dormant for 20 years now. So JB is in one of the worst snow holes around Central PA.  

State College requires that particular storm track to reach near to above average snowfall. Just like our area needs benchmark snowstorms to reach average to above average snowfall.

Miller A Cutters west of the APPS and weak Miller Bs that dryslot Central PA aren’t good for our area or Central PA.

At least we finally got a solid benchmark season here after so many below average seasons since 2018-2019. 

But our issue has been the dominance of all or nothing seasons since 93-94 where we finish well above average or well below snowfall. The mid range 18-29 season which dominated from the 1960s to early 1990s has become a rarity. 

So our snowfall seasons either hit some nice home runs or we strike out. The risk in a warming climate is that the strikeouts start to become more common than the home runs. But it’s still nice to know that we can get a great bounce back year like this one from time to time.

 

 

 

It's that and also that the Miler B's develop too late for them and there's been a big increase in SWFEs that do not redevelop in time-so there's a sleet/ice mess for most of central PA instead of snow. Clippers there are usually OK but those have largely gone extinct too. Stray lake effect streamers usually add a few inches per winter but it's normally just a series of coatings to an inch. The real lake effect dries up coming over the Allegheny Ridge. It's just been a combination of factors that have totally screwed them over and it's way past the point where we can say it's temporary. This year Williamsport just has 19" when they used to average 40" or so in a winter. State College I think has about 25". When I went to PSU they were just done with the big 02-03 and 03-04 winters when they had plenty of those storm types that were good there-a couple coast huggers and storms like 12/5/03 that redeveloped in time to keep it snow. When I was there was when the big downturn really started (you can see the big slump starting in the mid 2000s)-it was quite frustrating. Many misses/busts/disappointments. Central PA is the absolute last place I would move if you want exciting winters. Would rather watch paint dry.

[Stormlover74]

Winds gusting past 40. Surprised no advisory