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March Madness


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Models forecasting two sig ZR events for NNE this week.  It is quite rare to have sig ZR events this late in season in the NEUS (I'll let CoastalWx explain why, IF he knows! :P), and in April it is practically unheard of.  Please share any events that come to mind.

This one from early March 1991 in NY state is the only "big" one in March in the NEUS in recent decades I know of.

3/3/1991
Freezing rain commenced over central and northwestern New York
state late on this day and by the time it ended on the 4th, one
to two inches of ice had accumulated in many places, resulting
in the most costly natural disaster in the history of New York
state up to this time.  19 counties were declared state disaster areas.
At. one point, nearly 325,000 customers were without power and some
did not get power back until the 16th.  Storm damage exceeded
$375M.

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That is a *lot* of LTG in last 2 hr (24k+) ending 334am EDT for this time of year to our WNW.  CoastalWx may have to pull out his laptop for a LTG PT event for renegade +CG!  LOL.  At the very least, he should prepare for wicked loud thunder booms under the inversion!

Steep mid-level lapse rates all day should give us a couple of rounds TRW+ today.  06z HRRR shows an rather impressive mini-bow echo in ern NY early this evening moving E at nearly 60 mph.  Supercell composite not bad in wrn MA/nrn CT/srn VT. ISOLTD "Scott spinner?"

I would not be surprised if SPC extends the MRGL into western New England at 13z.
 

ltg.jpg

hrrr.png

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