March Madness

[ineedsnow]

It looks like a ton of rain the next two weeks.. its all good though the drought monitor will tell us we're still in a drought

[CoastalWx]

Tuesday and Wednesday could be quite warm next week. And then we fail after.

[HoarfrostHubb]

7 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You are in good shape, Jerry...lots of folks maintain vitality and independence into their 90s...you keep active, too...physically and mentally. I Look forward to exchanging obs during winter 2037-2038....if Tip doesn't engineer to have the sun swallow us whole by then.

I do wish my mother in law didn’t adopt 2 cats when she was around 80 (she’s 94 now)  They did provide companionship to her until she had to move into assisted living.  Now we need to care for them and it can be $$$. It’s a tough decision 

[Damage In Tolland]

Even when it’s not supposed to rain. (Like now) it does. Pattern looks absolutely hideous ahead 

[HoarfrostHubb]

53 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Even when it’s not supposed to rain. (Like now) it does. Pattern looks absolutely hideous ahead 

Yeah. I didn’t really expect rain this morning.  
lol at my point n click saying mostly sunny today.  

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Yeah. I didn’t really expect rain this morning.  
lol at my point n click saying mostly sunny today.  

Box AFD has the rain well over the ocean by daybreak. Meanwhile it’s raining back to the Berks 

[dendrite]

0.02”

Some breaks to the north

36.7°

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Next 10 days look miserable. This time of year blows 

Perfect time of year to check out of the weather and immerse oneself in baseball.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

It looks like a ton of rain the next two weeks.. its all good though the drought monitor will tell us we're still in a drought

I would expect more of that this summer...not going to get into summer outlooks because frankly, the interest isn't there and I'd end up fired and divorced...but I think the smart money is on the emergence of a much wetter pattern.

[jbenedet]

The early spring continues on track. It just doesn’t look or feel great because, well, it’s Mahch and early April in New England.

The latest guidance looks like we’ll be about three weeks ahead of last year in terms of the green up.

I don’t see one morning below freezing after this weekend, the 29th , in seacoast NH. 

 

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

The early spring continues on track. It just doesn’t look or feel great because, well, it’s Mahch and early April in New England.

The latest guidance looks like we’ll be about three weeks ahead of last year in terms of the green up.

I don’t see one morning below freezing after this weekend, the 29th , in seacoast NH. 

 

3 weeks ahead? Wine?

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I would expect more of that this summer...not going to get into summer outlooks because frankly, the interest isn't there and I'd end up fired and divorced...but I think the smart money is on the emergence of a much wetter pattern.

Yeah agree. Could be a wet summer. Hopefully means storms. 

[dendrite]

If it’s above freezing at night it’s a beautiful day.

[CoastalWx]

Solidly AN month so far.

[jbenedet]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

3 weeks ahead? Wine?

Yes. 
 

When you have a vegetable garden you remember this stuff pretty damn well.

We’ve been having last freezes consistently in 2nd half of April. 20th ish…

[Typhoon Tip]

I dunno about early spring around here anyway... Not speaking for back-town states everywhere, but this part of N-central MA still looks like the Middle East (forced) conflict musta went ahead and dominoed the world into a nuclear exchange.

Lawns and fields are death-vomit beige. 

Not even the forsythia buds are swelling.   nothing -

It does however hurt your hands to hold onto cold steering wheels on the way to work - so ...I dunno, is that an early spring?

It may look early by some scalar recognition/in isolation over who-knows-what one is using, like a few verified daily highs/low temperatures?  not good enough.  If so, that utterly fails in relativity to every other metric that really matters in making the distinction in a fair and objective way.

Fwiw - April 1st.   It's been that way in the guidance for over 10 days worth of aggregate head bang to wall persistence.  The thickness tapestry alleviates "blue"/sub 540s by a bigger percentage than has been the case yet this early transition season, thus far.   That combined with post March 21 and a back ground CC aspect ( that has for some reason been hell bent on being fudge packed into the SW so hard and violating that one else has a fuckin clue we are still a part of ...) may have a chance to start busting machine guidance too cold with milder times and pushing real green up.  But Scott's right ... there's a probably at least a transient warm afternoon or two prior to that in the the meantime.  Those are like bleeds through the dam bulge out ahead of time, hints that trigger the old timer to toke his pipe while squinting, "I reckin the change she's a-comin"

[jbenedet]

The colors and shades are the same here Tip.

We need the freezing risk behind us.

Our climo is really that doesn’t happen until end of April in seacoast NH.

 

Once that last freeze is behind us, the green up is like a light switch though. I expect, this time, to coincide with the beginning of April.

[Typhoon Tip]

Yeah I like that,  "...need the freeze risk behind us" 

I've used that in the past internal monologues while suffering yester-year doinks by the NE shit show spring climate.  Don't be fooled by that random 75er like 10 days ago...  they're only occuring along the space time continuum to prove there is a god, and he/she ( probably Lucy) is complete asshole.

[DavisStraight]

3 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I do wish my mother in law didn’t adopt 2 cats when she was around 80 (she’s 94 now)  They did provide companionship to her until she had to move into assisted living.  Now we need to care for them and it can be $$$. It’s a tough decision 

My mother in law adopted two cats when she was 80, they were adult cats so she's still around at 96 and the cats are gone. I was worried we'd get stuck with them if anything happened, dodged a bullet.

[Brian5671]

Grass is greening up here nicely.  

[tamarack]

4 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

It looks like a ton of rain the next two weeks.. its all good though the drought monitor will tell us we're still in a drought

So far this year we're running just over 60% of average.  I'll believe that 'ton' if it arrives.  (Would welcome it, too.)

[Typhoon Tip]

30 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Grass is greening up here nicely.  

You know I wonder if there's like a "green up line" 

I think there's something like that with trees.  I could swear I've seen it, the leaf out line or something.   But not sure that's the same. 

That pithier verdancy of spring where the fields are delicious with it like a 5-star eatery's salad ..  I mean there comes a time every spring whence that is noticeable and it's not the same as a couple of fluke early warm days driving a greener patch here and there.  Talkin' full commitment, and it does tend to flash over the landscape across an instra-weekly time scale - days in other words.  Not sure when the first (average) time that is - I suspect that season's climate bias plays a role. 

It's nostalgic.  I've seen pre leaf out but budding trees, with perhaps Norway maples in flower - those give off one of the best spring aromas there is outside of Lilacs. That green complexion underneath paints the fields, festooned with yellow dots from dandy lion. This setting comes on prior to the trees.  Spring fever afternoon if it's 72.  Four days later there's leafs cracking out

[WinterWolf]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

3 weeks ahead? Wine?

Ya…I have no idea where he’s seeing that?  It all depends on what the weather does coming up in April..if we get some nice sunny and mild weather it’ll bring em out sooner.  But if it goes to crap and grey and cold…it’s no green up or leafing until later. 

[tamarack]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

3 weeks ahead? Wine?

The only spring 3 weeks ahead in our nearly 28 years here was 2010 (had our mildest Feb, March and April), and it came to a crashing halt when May 11-13 had minima of 23/26/25.  Disastah!

[Typhoon Tip]

We're getting that standing wave cloud production that Brian was complaining about the other day, down here.  It happens more frequently up there than down here, but I've seen this before... It takes a conditionally unstable layer around 800 mb running down with the flow, and as it bumps up and over the terrain there is back-building schmootz. Loop vis sat, it looks like it's emerging out of seam. And  summarily, optimistic forecasts bust.     great

[Cyclone-68]

Hopefully the predecessor to an endless string of tropical systems this summer 

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

We're getting that standing wave cloud production that Brian was complaining about the other day, down here.  I've seen this before...it takes a conditionally unstable layer around 800 mb running down with the flow ...gets forced/bumps over the terrain bulges and summarily busts optimistic forecast    great

Drives me wild continually seeing clouds moving W-E with blue sky to the west and it never arrives. You can actually see the clouds reforming with the naked eye.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Drives me wild continually seeing clouds moving W-E with blue sky to the west and it never arrives. You can actually see the clouds reforming with the naked eye.

It's the na na na-na na cloud line affect

[dendrite]

Scoot’s favorite just released. Looks similar to the shading of the 365 day departures. 

[Typhoon Tip]

You can even see it doing it over the top of Kevin's house in CT...  

It'll probably dry out some but just sayn'   a-nnoying