March Madness

[WxWatcher007]

We ping. 

38.4°

[dendrite]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Snow/sleet mix 34

Yeah I said earlier if anyone has a shot at whitening up it’s you…elevation and being more east.

But I think anything west of POU is virga right now.

[weatherwiz]

Just now, dendrite said:

Yeah I said earlier if anyone has a shot at whitening up it’s you…elevation and being more east.

But I think anything west of POU is virga right now.

yup doesn't seem to be any stations around POU reporting precip 

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

yup doesn't seem to be any stations around POU reporting precip 

I mean you can just see the doughnut holes on ENX and BGM while OKX has bands overhead back there.

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

If more doesn’t develop…the modeling doesn’t mean much. 

It’s snowing down to VA

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yeah I said earlier if anyone has a shot at whitening up it’s you…elevation and being more east.

But I think anything west of POU is virga right now.

I could see an inch of it breaks right. Mainly snow now 

[MJO812]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s snowing down to VA

And sticking in some areas 

[PhiEaglesfan712]

12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s snowing down to VA

That really blows my mind. That normally doesn't happen at this time of the year, especially following the warmth of the last few days, unless there was something special brewing (like the Storm of the Century in 1993).

It would be like in the summer if it was 105 one day, and barely above 50 at the same time the next day. I can't wrap my head around that.

[WinterWolf]

Doing almost nothing here at the moment..a few sleet pellets barely. 

[MJO812]

Insane

[SouthCoastMA]

Almost as if snow rates dgaf

[ineedsnow]

We snow!! 

[Layman]

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Factually, the compendium of science in climate change is based upon Math, Physics, and Chemistry, beginning ~ the late Proterozoic geologic eon, which covers the last 480+ million years. 

Understanding and knowing that is purely a function of whether the person is smart enough or not.

480+ million years is a long time.  These two statements strike me as being incredibly ironic.  

[WinterWolf]

15 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Almost as if snow rates dgaf

They don’t. Period. The whole warm ground is such BS if you have the rates. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

13 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

We snow!! 

Now?  It’s a bright cloud deck in Greenfield with no precipitation.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This is why I am beginning to use the language "reversal" instead of SSW because it more accurately denotes what I am actually forecasting. I don't really care whether it begins on the ground or in the strat. RE the "front-loaded" aspect....I think the only reason that worked out is because the early February reversal failed....had that succeeded, it would evolved differently, a la 2018 and 2001....as it was, it was delayed until early March, so we get the Feb 2018 like record warm spell in March, instead, and then the return to "winter" will engineer an April butt-bang for everyone due to the erosion of climo.

Yeah, I like that Ray ... 

Thing is, I don't think the distinction is a trivial matter - if we're going to try and understand how these the end of the world scenarios, we can't really be calling a convention trident missiles, icbms  ... lol 

actually not so funny when the U.S. is choking off China's oil..

 

[weatherwiz]

Highs well into the 90's to lower 100's within southern California Monday with teens in the upper-Midwest  

[WxWatcher007]

DCA was around 77° at midnight and now they have measurable snow. RIC with SN+ lol

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

DCA was around 77° at midnight and now they have measurable snow. RIC with SN+ lol

Not Done! 

[dendrite]

Most of SE NY has flipped

[Typhoon Tip]

39 minutes ago, Layman said:

480+ million years is a long time.  These two statements strike me as being incredibly ironic.  

There is 0 irony there.

One needs to think and start to understand more intimately, the rudimentary knowledge and associations about how these geological system work.  

When you doubt ... from a position uneducated, the information and raw data that is coming from that type and scale of sophistication, just keep in mind that the same scientific processes you doubt are how and why you can even type doubts on your phone or pc 

 

 

 

 

 

[Typhoon Tip]

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Most of SE NY has flipped

not sure if this old Intellicast ptype is right but if so... it's cat paws or wet snow or virga

[CoastalWx]

Best dynamics were and are down in the middle Atlantic.

[FXWX]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

not sure this old Intellicast ptype is right but if so... it's cat paws or wet snow or virga

Lots of virga or at least intensity levels much less than implied by radar in this area...

[CoastalWx]

Hrrr doesn’t look that appealing 

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

John, was the reversal in early March from the bottom-up, too? I haven't bothered to look yet...

It looked that way to me... I haven't followed up on that so no bullets. However, I did look over the 100 thru 10hPa for temperature plumes and there were some at the time.  It was not clear this was an en masse downward propagation.  There was, however, a geopotential bulge that was splitting around the SE U.S. ridge... and that was collocated 100hPa level showing the flow moving around that curved "obstruction"  I'm personally believing these exception warm burst are probably extending the tropopausal heights in some cases as an increasing phenomenon.

This, by the way, isn't the first time I've seen this in the past 10 years.  warm domes that are bumping those exceptional altitudes from below.   interesting. This happened in late autumn last year, too - there was a lot of meme blizzard about SSWs that didn't pan out.

[ineedsnow]

36 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Now?  It’s a bright cloud deck in Greenfield with no precipitation.

It was lightly snowing fat flakes for a bit.. Just got back from walking at Lake Dennison down the road still a good amount of snow..

[dendrite]

13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

not sure if this old Intellicast ptype is right but if so... it's cat paws or wet snow or virga

Just going by the swarm of mPing obs

[dendrite]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Best dynamics were and are down in the middle Atlantic.

Yeah that’s a potent little s/w down there…just not enough in time for up here. 

[dendrite]

Ditty up to 33.9 after falling to 33.1. It’s really rate dependent so accums will be sparse. It all moves out before we can advect the widespread freezing temps in