March Madness

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Still time for something before mid month because pattern can support it, but it gets harder and harder…at least around here.

Well, it's not a climo-thing for me...it's a "the set up would blow in January"-thing....looks like we are going to have a 50/50 High.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

And no models posted and no snow emojis 

I’m proposing to ban that stupid emoji.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well, it's not a climo-thing for me...it's a "the set up would blow in January"-thing....

Sorry meant end of month. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Sorry meant end of month. 

Yea, beyond St Paddy's Day requires a much great anomaly to get even a pedestrian snow event on the CP.

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

And no models posted and no snow emojis 

NAM still trying to keep it cooler tomorrow   happy now?

[ineedsnow]

Still a good amount of snow left.. should take a hit today though

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Salting this morning lol. Going to be 60d next 4 days. So much for a car wash today 

[HoarfrostHubb]

10 years ago today I got to 79F

[HoarfrostHubb]

7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Salting this morning lol. Going to be 60d next 4 days. So much for a car wash today 

Lots of black ice here.  My coworker took a digger

[CoastalWx]

12 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

NAM still trying to keep it cooler tomorrow   happy now?

That should be tossed to the sun

[cleetussnow]

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

10 years ago today I got to 79F

Winters of yore

[Typhoon Tip]

51 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Skyrockets in flight this morning with Ditty and ORH well into the 40s.

MAV nailed the 20s ... I was doubting that but nice job there  

Equally handsome could be the recovery ... if so, one of if not the greatest of the year.   possible 40 F +

[Typhoon Tip]

In principle the NAM isn't wrong there.  It may not be correct about the degree/offset, but if the wind is well mixing and actively SSW across the area ... that's sourced from the very cold Bite waters.   It's a matter of how much.   If the vector's more 240 it'll be confined to SE zones. 

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

In principle the NAM isn't wrong there.  It may not be correct about the degree/offset, but if the wind is well mixing and actively SSW across the area ... that's sourced from the very cold Bite waters.   It's a matter of how much.

Yup today will be the warmest day

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Yup today will be the warmest day

That's not what I said so don't "yup" me... haha.

I said the NAM may not be right about the magnitude.

I also said the NAM could be wrong about the absolute wind direction - if it's more 240 than indirect cooling is likelier confined to SE zones. 

The NAM is right to cool the air mass that passes over the Bite water region NE of Jersey, in general

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Yup today will be the warmest day

Tomorrow

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Yup today will be the warmest day

Tomorrow will be especially NoP

[CoastalWx]

Man now that the warm season is here for 20+ months since next winter will torch, what will everyone do?

[dendrite]

I mean just hug the 12k while completely glossing over the 3k 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

I mean just hug the 12k while completely glossing over the 3k 

Some can’t handle it 

[jbenedet]

Fastest pack wipe incoming, since I’ve been here. What a stretch to prep for spring.

[jbenedet]

No clouds in southern half of sky ensures the sun’s path will yield unobstructed sunshine today.

[dendrite]

5 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

No clouds in southern half of sky ensures the sun’s path will yield unobstructed sunshine today.

Yeah we’re BKN up here and I’m trying not to have an early conniption.

[codfishsnowman]

We will get today in with full cover but that should do it. What a run though. Solid cover 12/26-1/14 and 1/18 to 3/9 here in death valley and I think there were at least a few days earlier in December. 6 inches or greater depth 1/26-3/8. As far as I am concerned that's close enough to wire to wire down here in the tropics.

[SouthCoastMA]

Ya the AI went to crap..might be the end for some. 

[Typhoon Tip]

Perfect maple weather last night...   Cold, then recovering for a sunny mild afternoon.  

My sis lives on 40 acres up in Winchendon and says the sap's flowin'   Buckets are drippin good flow rates.  Despite the impression of still biology out there, life is showing signs.  

[Typhoon Tip]

13 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yeah we’re BKN up here and I’m trying not to have an early conniption.

Looks on vis loop like terrain induced, then venting down stream.   Probably just needs the sun to work on the tow source and then it will dry out?  

[ineedsnow]

32 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

That's not what I said so don't "yup" me... haha.

I said the NAM may not be right about the magnitude.

I also said the NAM could be wrong about the absolute wind direction - if it's more 240 than indirect cooling is likelier confined to SE zones. 

The NAM is right to cool the air mass that passes over the Bite water region NE of Jersey, in general

"Yuuuup" 

[Cold Miser]

Was a good run, but when it's over it's over.

 

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Still time for something before mid month because pattern can support it, but it gets harder and harder…at least around here.

Here’s The big takeaway…this always happens as we approach the mid range…the models lose the system either out to sea, or it turns into a cutter, or gets shredded. This is no different.  Each time this year they’ve come back. The pattern supports a storm, that’s the important part. We will see where this heads over the course of this week. signal is there.  
 

Anybody who thought the models wouldn’t deviate from 8-10 days out was fooling themselves.  This loss of the system was coming…it always does. 
 

Maybe this time it doesn’t come back, it’s as good a possibility as any, but we don’t know that yet.  See where it stands come the end of the week…and that’s a ways out.