March Madness

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Moosup?

Hopefully MassWx doesn’t log on 

[Kitz Craver]

3 minutes ago, Donut Hole said:

For the end of the week?  Gonna be skiing far northern VT 5-7 and been concerned with a warm rainy surge. 

The event I was referring to was the Tues/Wed storm, which looks good for snow. Beyond that VT could be flirting with mix precip and minor freeze thaw 

[ORH_wxman]

1 hour ago, NoCORH4L said:

I've been in North ORH County for 14 years and I've already had (3) 30" events that I can think of off the top of my head, or at least very close to 30".  A 40" will never happen though, too up and in. 

40" happened in ORH county in Dec 1992....42" in Princeton I think. We had 35" on the level in Holden about 300 feet lower. It will happen there too....ORH county has orographic enhancement to help make up for being a bit inland....and it has the benefit of being the highest terrain between them and the Atlantic in both the easterly and the southerly direction. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

As I get older I'm all about anomalies. As stupid as this sounds, it's a bit deflating to miss it by 10-15 miles. That is the shit we live for. Not 1-3" refreshers over crust.

I mean, you still had 2 feet...even I wouldn't have bitched about that.

[40/70 Benchmark]

14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

40" happened in ORH county in Dec 1992....42" in Princeton I think. We had 35" on the level in Holden about 300 feet lower. It will happen there too....ORH county has orographic enhancement to help make up for being a bit inland....and it has the benefit of being the highest terrain between them and the Atlantic in both the easterly and the southerly direction. 

40" can happen inland if you get under the banding long enough...NYS had in VD 2007....many areas in December 2020.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I mean, you still had 2 feet...even I wouldn't have bitched about that.

I'm not complaining. Just so close to the hallowed ground.

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I'm not complaining. Just so close to the hallowed ground.

I would have traded places.

[ORH_wxman]

13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

40" can happen inland if you get under the banding long enough...NYS had in VD 2007....many areas in December 2020.

March 2001 had some 40 burgers in interior SE NH. 

[WxWatcher007]

A March 2017 redux would be a dream for the WXW2 - @powderfreak corridor.

[40/70 Benchmark]

17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

March 2001 had some 40 burgers in interior SE NH. 

My current spot was scooter for that...like 15 mi out.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

What kills me to this day is that I missed Nemo and the 38-40” around here I was in Norwalk for the entire storm working so didn’t get to witness the incredible several hour whiteout of 6” + rates for several hours back home. May never happen again here, but I think we will have our chances. 

[Kitz Craver]

3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

What kills me to this day is that I missed Nemo and the 38-40” around here I was in Norwalk for the entire storm working so didn’t get to witness the incredible several hour whiteout of 6” + rates for several hours back home. May never happen again here, but I think we will have our chances. 

Could end up the storm of my life. Hard to beat for my location. 

[MJO812]

April

[Typhoon Tip]

Reposting other people's tweets is such a bore. 

jesus -

It's not like we haven't already discussed the exact same shit, with more zeal and sophistication.

Yeah.  We know already

[CT Valley Snowman]

The CTRV north of Hartford is probably the hardest location to see a 30-40 burger.  Our ceiling seems to be about 24",outside of 1888, which I guess argues that it is theoretically possible.    

[Typhoon Tip]

It's interesting that 1978 and 1996 are the only two years I have in my personal log that had 30" in a single event - and I wasn't a part of the 1996.  

Yet, I have been proximal to the same event that has done that 4 times just since 2010.  Maybe 5...

If we're basing the odds of getting that on some kind of experience or climate inference, be aware of the risks.  

[Masswx]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hopefully MassWx doesn’t log on 

[bristolri_wx]

3 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Glad you guys got in those. Everyone wants to jack, but I hate seeing people get porked. It's no fun. Only one who enjoys that might be Ray.

It's nice to not be in the snow hole for some of these bigger storms.

[dendrite]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

April

Why would anyone want that in NYC for April?

[40/70 Benchmark]

@WinterWolfYou remember when I mused to you last fall about how I almost included 2012-2013 as an analog, but didn't due to ENSO? Ha......there was indeed some value in that season after all. 2014-2015 was actually just about as perfect a QBO/solar analog as you will find....so the manner in which this season has unfolded isn't too surprising, even though I kind of gagged om the monthly composite this month. It's astounding how much you learn through the trial and error of actually doing this seasonals...can't teach that in a class.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I think it was the ENSO subsurface that I liked about 2012, if I recall correctly...

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

What kills me to this day is that I missed Nemo and the 38-40” around here I was in Norwalk for the entire storm working so didn’t get to witness the incredible several hour whiteout of 6” + rates for several hours back home. May never happen again here, but I think we will have our chances. 

Ya that 6”/hr was biblical to say the least…what a total beast.  33+ in that one.  No forgetting that.  And absolutely positive that United is correct with 78’s measuring. We had two feet plus very easily..with drifts that were absolutely mammoth.  Those measurements are so off..it’s a shame. 

[bristolri_wx]

March looking toasty on the Euro weeklies...

[ORH_wxman]

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It's interesting that 1978 and 1996 are the only two years I have in my personal log that had 30" in a single event - and I wasn't a part of the 1996.  

Yet, I have been proximal to the same event that has done that 4 times just since 2010.  Maybe 5...

If we're basing the odds of getting that on some kind of experience or climate inference, be aware of the risks.  

What about Jan 26-27, 2015 there? You are pretty close to 495 so I thought that band that gave 30"+ from near or just south of ASH to Westford to ORH would have gotten you....but maybe you were just shy. 

[Donut Hole]

3 hours ago, Kitz Craver said:

The event I was referring to was the Tues/Wed storm, which looks good for snow. Beyond that VT could be flirting with mix precip and minor freeze thaw 

Forecast for Thursday to Saturday looks brutal for Jay Peak.  Wow figures my son flys in from Florida at the absolute worst time all winter to ski.  

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, Donut Hole said:

Forecast for Thursday to Saturday looks brutal for Jay Peak.  Wow figures my son flys in from Florida at the absolute worst time all winter to ski.  

Euro AIFS/op are snowy late next week. 

[Typhoon Tip]

42 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

What about Jan 26-27, 2015 there? You are pretty close to 495 so I thought that band that gave 30"+ from near or just south of ASH to Westford to ORH would have gotten you....but maybe you were just shy. 

OH yeah..ha right.  6 times then.  Forgot about 2015.. although I thought that 2 foot but meh close enough

Definitely an uptick in the frequency of big dawgs compared those previous decades though.   man

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Okay, that is recency bias, but they are prone to getting more vicious blizzard than other other locales when they do get them...that is more what I meant.

Oh absolutely. SEMA in particular. I mean, technically I'm in SEMA but I'm right on the RI border so in general I have RI's climo more than SEMA which has more ocean influence and therefore more severe coastals than most of RI.

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

7 hours ago, Greg said:

Seekonk had 27" in '78.

Oh wow do you have the link for that measurement by any chance? The map that I saw only had a 20" over Seekonk so that's surprising to me. But even with 27" in 1978, this one still had more. I measured 31" IMBY in a very flat spot on my sidewalk with no drifting so I'd say that it's pretty accurate. 

[Greg]

13 minutes ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:

Oh wow do you have the link for that measurement by any chance? The map that I saw only had a 20" over Seekonk so that's surprising to me. But even with 27" in 1978, this one still had more. I measured 31" IMBY in a very flat spot on my sidewalk with no drifting so I'd say that it's pretty accurate. 

It's in old weather Coop Data but seems to not be there anymore for some reason. Don't know why it was taken off or discontinued. I took and overlapped of the '78 storm with '26 and even though areas in a relatively narrow band got 30"+ from this to the southeast, it appears that '78 still has a deeper and larger swath over a greater area.