2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2

[bncho]

Just now, winter_warlock said:

 Hey @bncho

 

Ty for the PBP bro!!!!

I didn't do much PBP. It's the GFS. But I will lock in for the Euro. 

Also AIGFS shift west

[baltosquid]

GFS also has Monday afternoon light snow for much of MD and eastern VA, for a daytime snowglobe

[Terpeast]

1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

One the 00z GFS the surface temps are marginal to start, but once we get to late afternoon things crank up fast and everyone gets between 29-32 degrees and it's ripping snow at night. Perfect.

It’s the western ridge!

[NorthArlington101]

[gopper]

3 hours ago, bncho said:

25 MILES WEST WITH THAT CCB BAND AND WE ARE THERE AT THE HECS

With a low in that location, I still think the ccb band will be further west some.

[IUsedToHateCold]

I asked "what would it take for the Euro to cave the GFS"

Someone, I think it was bncho went "roll the die" 

And I thought, "no f*ing way"... and threw the die down. 

And so it was born. 

If this thing really happens it's always going to be the Nat 20 storm. 

[winter_warlock]

2 minutes ago, Jake Wx said:

They must be freaking out and confused 

They are probably still staring at the model. In disbelief 

[LeesburgWx]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Just 1 or 2 more shifts west and we all are buried

[winter_warlock]

Just now, IUsedToHateCold said:

I asked "what would it take for the Euro to cave the GFS"

Someone, I think it was bncho went "roll the die" 

And I thought, "no f*ing way"... and threw the die down. 

And so it was born. 

If this thing really happens it's always going to be the Nat 20 storm. 

Must have rolled the right die!! 

[baltosquid]

Just now, gopper said:

With a low in that location, I still think the ccb band will be further west some.

"Best frontogen always is NW of modeling" or something like that

[Eskimo Joe]

Even if you cut the Kurhcera snowfall map down by 60% on the 00z GFS, it's still an impactful warning level event. 

[winter_warlock]

Just now, LeesburgWx said:

Just 1 or 2 more shifts west and we all are buried

Yup would rival some of our biggest storms in history!!

[bncho]

Just now, IUsedToHateCold said:

I asked "what would it take for the Euro to cave the GFS"

Someone, I think it was bncho went "roll the die" 

And I thought, "no f*ing way"... and threw the die down. 

And so it was born. 

If this thing really happens it's always going to be the Nat 20 storm. 

Why am I becoming important to this storm? I ask for you to roll the dice, you get a 20. Then I do PBP. Then I see my name on an analysis map from February 13. TF?

[Terpeast]

Going to bed, y’all take the euro suite and I better wake up to a tick or two more west! 

[LeesburgWx]

Roads are washed clean from the rain and no trucks anywhere to be found today. This is creeping up on everyone and a lot of peeps about to be caught off guard if this holds

[MillvilleWx]

1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Even if you cut the Kurhcera snowfall map down by 60% on the 00z GFS, it's still an impactful warning level event. 

I would only end up with 18”. Boo hoo! 

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Even if you cut the Kurhcera snowfall map down by 60% on the 00z GFS, it's still an impactful warning level event. 

Yup...and that also would cover essentially the entire region.

[Nomz]

Just now, bncho said:

Why am I becoming important to this storm? I ask for you to roll the dice, you get a 20. Then I do PBP. Then I see my name on an analysis map from February 13. TF?

Who knew all we had to do was call up the prospects and send @stormtracker down to AAA Houston.

[winter_warlock]

 After seeing this GFS model The Top Meteorologist at  LWX. Is telling his colleagues " I picked a hell of a day to quit drinking!!" 

[Eskimo Joe]

From the Philly subforum. Legit F O L K S  

11 minutes ago, Newman said:

GFS mega band at 10pm Sunday. This run is gonna be insane!

 

[IUsedToHateCold]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

Why am I becoming important to this storm? I ask for you to roll the dice, you get a 20. Then I do PBP. Then I see my name on an analysis map from February 13. TF?

I wouldn't have rolled the die without you.... Seriously wasn't even going to consider it. 

[winter_warlock]

1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

I would only end up with 18”. Boo hoo! 

Yeah ur really suffering 

[Nomz]

1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

From the Philly subforum. Legit F O L K S  

 

that could set up 30 miles west if a bird farted wrong...

[Ji]

so most of the snow falls during the day per the GFS....and just a little falls in the evening?

[Snowman.]

12z vs 18z vs 00z

 

[hsq]

Hmm 

Calvert county is feeling pretty good right now.....

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

cmc big jump west 

[mappy]

Just now, Ji said:

so most of the snow falls during the day per the GFS....and just a little falls in the evening?

lol yep. But pretty maps

 

[EHoffman]

Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

cmc big jump west 

Gets the norlun band very close to DC too, very RGEM like

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Just now, EHoffman said:

Gets the norlun band very close to DC too, very RGEM like

Seems like the RGEM and cmc are playing catchup a little.