February 22-23 Storm Thread/OBS

[The Iceman]

Just now, Ralph Wiggum said:

I feel bad for the ponies on Assateague

Don't you have a place in Cape May? Are you considering going down? They could have legit blizzard conditions.

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 minute ago, The Iceman said:

Don't you have a place in Cape May? Are you considering going down? They could have legit blizzard conditions.

Parents live there. I may do it

[Mikeymac5306]

As Jim Ross would say "Business has just picked up" 

 

[JTA66]

I don't envy Mike or the mets at Mt Holly. There's potential, so you want the public to have plenty of warning. BUT... 

[Chadzachadam]

even a broken clock is right twice a day. wonder what 12z suite will hold

[Duca892]

3 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

I don't envy Mike or the mets at Mt Holly. There's potential, so you want the public to have plenty of warning. BUT... 

That is why I don't see an issue with and I expect a Winter Storm Watch to go up this afternoon. Better to be safe than sorry. Watch can always be downgraded. Even if you just put it in generic terms of "Potential for 6+ inches of snow" and adjust from there accordingly 

[Duca892]

If the GFS does some crazy shit at this point I will go nuts. Keep being the little engine that could you bastard. 

[Duca892]

Mike Masco just from PIX11 just issued a 1st call with a large swath of 1-3in for SEPA and then 3-5in once you get into Philly and Jersey 

[Ralph Wiggum]

Fv3 jumped n and w umm folks.....

[Newman]

12z ICON tuck right off of Delmarva. Delaware and Jersey getting shellacked at hr66

[Ralph Wiggum]

I now fully expect the euro to cave at 12z if and only if the gfs holds serve tho.....

But would be fitting the gfs goes ots and the euro goes the way of 6z gfs lol

[ChescoWx]

3 minutes ago, Newman said:

12z ICON tuck right off of Delmarva. Delaware and Jersey getting shellacked at hr66

ICON to my eyes looks well south of NAM/GFS correct? OFF NC 

[Newman]

4 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

ICON to my eyes looks well south of NAM/GFS correct? OFF NC 

[MickeyTim6533]

MA forum says ICON goes negative too late...UH OH

[ChescoWx]

7 minutes ago, Newman said:

12z ICON tuck right off of Delmarva. Delaware and Jersey getting shellacked at hr66

Indeed

[Blue Dream]

2 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said:

MA forum says ICON goes negative too late...UH OH

Even so still looks great for our area per the ICON.

[Newman]

Just a reminder that each subforum will be looking for different trends with this one. Mid-Atlantic is looking for a quicker tilt negative/stacking of the low vs NYC or New England that want a later tilt and later maturation of the low. Our subforum I think is probably in the best spot

[Duca892]

The only important thing with the ICON is if it was an improvement over its last run. Which it sounds like it was? Correct me if wrong please 

[MickeyTim6533]

4 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

Indeed

a 978 in that area..wouldnt that be a major hit for eastern pa too?

[MickeyTim6533]

looks like the ICON ticked west correct?

[Duca892]

Have a meeting from 10:30-11:20, i will judge how the 12z GFS performed by the amount of comments there were 

[Blue Dream]

@Newman can you give us a GFS PBP?  Really appreciate all your analysis lately!

[The Iceman]

hubba hubba

[MGorse]

Well now, maybe the GFS is not sniffing glue? 

[The Iceman]

still snowing...

 

 

 

 

[Blue Dream]

2 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

hubba hubba

Looks awesome yet again...Can't believe the GFS is leading the way on this.

[Blue Dream]

Just now, The Iceman said:

still snowing...

 

 

 

 

Heavy too

[ChescoWx]

The GFS basically stalled and dropped 5mb between 4 and 7pm

[BBasile]

The consistency is something to behold.  

[The Iceman]

GFS is like 30 hours of snow for 95 E...

 

 

This should be the final totals