Duca892 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, Violentweatherfan said: Don’t do that to yourself Sorry my fault 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago GFS just straight up doubling down and actually increasing amounts is wild. We are literally inside of 80hrs and right now GFS is going down with its ship. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I’m still looking for any appreciable snowfall, more than 10 inches that has occurred during a weak La Niña with the MJO in phase 4. Oh and very little cold air to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, Violentweatherfan said: I’m thinking greenskeeper He's been MIA for quite some time. Maybe a on the job wood-chipper "accident" while keeping the greens nice and tidy? A true dedicated professional indeed... Ok, back to our blizzard! 38F/ Overcast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago CMC looks flat to my weenie eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattMal88 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago GFS said, "For my next trick, I'm gonna tuck this bombing low into the Chesapeake bay!" Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago 10 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said: CMC looks flat to my weenie eye. Grabbed it and pulled it just offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago The GFS sniffing glue or something? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 19 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: He's been MIA for quite some time. Maybe a on the job wood-chipper "accident" while keeping the greens nice and tidy? A true dedicated professional indeed... Ok, back to our blizzard! 38F/ Overcast He's still around. Annoying as ever on an Eagles MB I frequent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, MGorse said: The GFS sniffing glue or something? interestingly the AIGFS also shifted NW... it was much further east than the OP at 06z and still is, but it definitely shifted towards the OP. I'm thinking we meet in the middle of the GFS and the other models, meaning a close miss. Maybe we can salvage something with the IVT though, won't know until Sunday with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 minutes ago, MGorse said: The GFS sniffing glue or something? There's never a bad time to see a image or saying from from the movie Airplane... 39zF 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Thread all ready started huh, see ya next winter I hear the Fat Lady singing already 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago When will we get some aircraft recon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 46 minutes ago, Newman said: 12z GFS is a huge hit. I'm laughing because it seems like every other model (so far) at 12z turned more unfavorable and now the GFS double downs At the very least, it's entertainment. Or it's going to score the biggest coup in weather model history...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 6 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said: When will we get some aircraft recon? I think we had some at 18z yesterday and more at 0z. Can anyone confirm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 10 minutes ago, JTA66 said: I think we had some at 18z yesterday and more at 0z. Can anyone confirm? Yes, there were recon data yesterday at 18z and 00z in the eastern Pacific. Looks like some recon data is scheduled again for 00z this evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 11 minutes ago, JTA66 said: I think we had some at 18z yesterday and more at 0z. Can anyone confirm? I thought today was the day when it comes on shore out west? I could be talking out of my ass though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: I thought today was the day when it comes on shore out west? I could be talking out of my ass though? Yup, most of the energy is onshore today. The recon is also for atmospheric river research/data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Yeesh many of the Gefs are just as bullish as the op… pretty tight cluster to the nw of the mean. this is either going to be an all time fail by the gfs suite or the coup of the decade. My money is on fail but it’s definitely going down swinging. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 14 minutes ago, MGorse said: Yes, there were recon data yesterday at 18z and 00z in the eastern Pacific. Looks like some recon data is scheduled again for 00z this evening. Mike, is that data used exclusively for US modeling or is it shared with international partners (Canadians, Europeans, etc.)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago so the GFS will fold at 18z? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago so the GFS will fold at 18z?Yes, it’s a crap model, it takes a few cycles for it to crap put bad initialization data. The profession would be easier if the gfs didn’t go out beyond 3 days. Or even existed at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Yes, it’s a crap model, it takes a few cycles for it to crap put bad initialization data. The profession would be easier if the gfs didn’t go out beyond 3 days. Or even existed at all. I do think parts of S DE-S NJ can still get into the ccb but the gfs solution is a joke imo. Entertaining, but a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago when was the last time the GFS nailed a storm like its doing now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago when was the last time the GFS nailed a storm like its doing now?2010, 16 years ago Gfs did the same exact thing last year and/or the year before last with an event inside 84 hours. Just trying to save you the heartache of a let down when it eventually does.If the euro comes in and looks anything like the gfs I’ll post a video of myself streaking down broad steet lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 14 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Mike, is that data used exclusively for US modeling or is it shared with international partners (Canadians, Europeans, etc.)? The recon data, as far as I know, is available for all to use. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Euro AI is weaker and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, MGorse said: The recon data, as far as I know, is available for all to use. Thanks! Hope they at least chip in with gas $$$ to fuel up the plane 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago expecting the full cave for GFS at 18z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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