Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS

[Prairie Dog]

1 hour ago, Violentweatherfan said:

Did you catch the part of the show where they shared information about the European model isn’t what it used to be. There were changes made to it and it isn’t the same “Dr. No” ?

Yes I did. I liked how Joe C kept razzing DT on the chat board. DT tried to take over the show.  DT maybe on live with them tonight 

[Violentweatherfan]

1 minute ago, Prairie Dog said:

Yes I did. I liked how Joe C kept razzing DT on the chat board. DT tried to take over the show.  DT maybe on live with them tonight 

Joe Cioffi is really good, and so was Bill Goodman. 
 

Joe needs to get a better microphone though, for whatever reason the guests audio always sound better 

[Hurricane Agnes]

Finally getting some measurable from the precip and have 0.01" in the bucket.

Currently light rain and 37 with dp 35.

[The Iceman]

I don’t expect the snow to truly begin until 4 or 5 today. Anything before that is bonus.

[Violentweatherfan]

Just now, The Iceman said:

I don’t expect the snow to truly begin until 4 or 5 today. Anything before that is bonus.

I was watching NJ Weather and start time should e about 1pm area wide for all of bucks county 

[The Iceman]

Just now, Violentweatherfan said:

I was watching NJ Weather and start time should e about 1pm area wide for all of bucks county 

Yeah I think it will struggle to accumulate until the sun starts setting though. Just my opinion.

[LVblizzard]

The RGEM is still looking like trash. No warning criteria snow anywhere in PA, and even the Jersey shore struggles to get to double digits. At this point it’s still a massive outlier.

[CoolHandMike]

35.2°F and graupel very slightly mixing in. We are two degrees cooler than what was forecast at the moment.

[nesussxwx1]

Don't look at the RGEM folks..

[ChescoWx]

33.7 with steady snow here in NW Chesco

[WxUnit]

Current sitting at 34.5⁰F with light snow falling. No accumulation yet, probably won't see much until late afternoon. 

[LVLion77]

It's nowcasting time, forget about model guidance now.  

I’m not sure we’re in a nowcast timeframe yet.

[Physicsteve]

4 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Yeah I think it will struggle to accumulate until the sun starts setting though. Just my opinion.

Agree anything before sunset is a bonus which will likely induce panic and bust accusations. But the good stuff has always been evening and overnight so we gotta wait til then to make any real assessments of performance. 

[Duca892]

Can’t be trolling when all guidance is starting to hone in on a massive bust in certain areas…

[Joshb32689]

For the trolls (Mickey) and those living & dying by each hour model runs and worried about the trend (me) - HRRR & RAP stopped the bleed of the south and east trend with ticks back NW. 

Wet snow mixing in for the past 20 minutes in the Coatesville area. Slightly trimmed my expectations but still looking forward to a great storm. 

[BooneWX]

Good luck from this southerner! I know y’all have waited quite some time for a blockbuster blizzard. Enjoy! 

[Rnt1969]

When would we start seeing the formation of the coastal low


.

[CoolHandMike]

5 minutes ago, Joshb32689 said:

Slightly trimmed my expectations but still looking forward to a great storm. 

Great attitude to have. This is how I'm going about my day.

[nesussxwx1]

Latest HRRR is quite tucked. Looks good.

[Kevin Reilly]

So… what do we make of the radar returns in central New Jersey moving west kind of speckly in nature think our storm is in the beginning process of development. 

[Physicsteve]

Certainly understand snow is an imby game and i hope the snow makes it as far west as possible and we all cash in. Regardless it’s unfolding now so enjoy this dynamic storm no matter what computer generated numbers you were promised this week. 

[KamuSnow]

5 minutes ago, Rnt1969 said:

When would we start seeing the formation of the coastal low


.

You mean this guy? Current SPC analysis says it's formed!

[Physicsteve]

37 degrees per wunderground drizzle per me

[Kevin Reilly]

2 minutes ago, KamuSnow said:

You mean this guy? Current SPC analysis says it's formed!

Isn’t that a bit further south?

[JTA66]

Looks like a combo of light drizzle, maybe some tiny wet flakes mixed in.

36F/DP 34F

[The Iceman]

5 minutes ago, Physicsteve said:

Certainly understand snow is an imby game and i hope the snow makes it as far west as possible and we all cash in. Regardless it’s unfolding now so enjoy this dynamic storm no matter what computer generated numbers you were promised this week. 

Amen! Everyone should keep in mind This storm was 0.0” for everyone 72 hours ago…no one was expecting this to trend back to where we are now. Enjoy whatever falls, it’s better than 0.0”!

[KamuSnow]

That's the unphased version I believe. The phasing occurs up around the Va Capes, that's when it gets busy, lol.

[Rnt1969]

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name="Kevin Reilly" userid="[emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]]]]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]]]]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]]]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6]]]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]][emoji[emoji[emoji6]][emoji[emoji6][emoji6]]]]]]"] Isn’t that a bit further south?

Would think if it is further south that it will not get captured and come up the coast?


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[Rnt1969]

That's the unphased version I believe. The phasing occurs up around the Va Capes, that's when it gets busy, lol.

Ahh okay


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[KamuSnow]

11 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:

Isn’t that a bit further south?

Lost your quote, lol.