ChescoWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 NAM through 3pm has the ULL snow mainly N and W of 95....coastal taking over wonder if this run will tighten the gradient from NW to SE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, ChescoWx said: NAM through 3pm has the ULL snow mainly N and W of 95....coastal taking over wonder if this run will tighten the gradient from NW to SE? it already doubles the snow N&W that 6z had by 7pm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 12 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: I see a coastal storm, with the higher amounts towards the coast. It looks really close, almost to the amounts. This is as close to an analog as you can get. Finally I see an event with the MJO in phase 3 and a weak or transitioning La Niña Edit: it was in the circle of death during January I searched for February thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 966 mb @ hour 48 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 This nam run is one for the history books wow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 NAM is a significant increase in totals for Berks and the Lehigh Valley. 12-18" for everyone. Philly and Jersey 2-3 feet. Actually there might be more coming... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 37 minutes ago, Newman said: Long range 12z HRRR is just insane, wow Yeahhhh....I have the 1-3' line as i95 essentially. Im close to shifting that farther west. Wow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, coastal front said: This nam run is one for the history books wow Still snowing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 30 mb in 12 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Still snowing 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 This is again where you go and bring up the Top 5-10 all time lists 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Physicsteve Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 We’re living in the era of bombogenesis and rapid intensification, and all the pieces finally timed up right to allow a winter version. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigtenfan Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 hour ago, MickeyTim6533 said: Why does it seem all the major mets hug the EURO?? In the case of Glenn Hurricane Schwartz I am sure it goes back to Sandy. I vividly remember watching him on TV explaining the the GFS had Sandy a safe fish storm and the Euro had it doing the left hook that it eventually did. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chadzachadam Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Pleasant morning outside, hard to really fathom what’s coming. My guess at this point is 14-18” for Philly but can’t rule out 2+ feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I believe it’s already been mentioned, but someone is getting thunder snow with this. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 24 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: I see a coastal storm, with the higher amounts towards the coast. It looks really close, almost to the amounts. Sweet show the 500 mb set up, I can show a million fucking coastal storms, doesn’t mean they are anything similar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 29 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: I see a coastal storm, with the higher amounts towards the coast. It looks really close, almost to the amounts. This one should have bigger totals more inland too I would think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Kind of disappointed we haven’t crashed the board. Back in my day, us old time weenies would bring Eastern down over this $hit 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KYWSchoolClosings4ever Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 why does it always feel like as the event gets closer, the scaling back of totals begins?Do you ever stop with this crap?? Ever? Does any amount of criticism phase you? It seems like you learn absolutely nothing every single time we do this. No one wants to hear your whining every ten posts. Please reconsider. . 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BroadWing3544 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Wooosh, that mb on the NAM. If this was during spring or late summer/early Fall, I'd be grabbing my spotting scope and heading on down to the Delaware to see if any seabirds get blown in off the ocean. Good stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I was admittedly a little concerned last night after seeing the Euro…looks like the short range and meso models are easing my worries this morning. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Does anyone know if hurricane Schwartz still thinks this is basically a non-event west of i95 or did he finally cave? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 46 minutes ago, Physicsteve said: We’re living in the era of bombogenesis and rapid intensification, and all the pieces finally timed up right to allow a winter version. The planets are in some kind of weird alignment according to Geophysicist Stefan Burns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 RGEM continues to be unenthused in truly tucking and stalling the low into the coast. The mid-level lows close off just a bit too late and it scoots ENE quicker. It may also be chasing the convection to the east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Newman said: RGEM continues to be unenthused in truly tucking and stalling the low into the coast. The mid-level lows close off just a bit too late and it scoots ENE quicker. It may also be chasing the convection to the east It did look better at 500 atleast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 27 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Does anyone know if hurricane Schwartz still thinks this is basically a non-event west of i95 or did he finally cave? In all seriousness, he should have or maybe he did have an analysis why he is going with the euro and why it’s showing less totals and pointing out on the GFS is wrong. I never saw his original post. I don’t really have Twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, coastal front said: It did look better at 500 atleast Very much agree, these h500 tick improvements are more important than surface output 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3k NAM out to its last panel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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