Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread

[Nomz]

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

So euro was extremely disappointing

I also lost 18 inches from 12z on the GFS should I never log back on

[Ji]

Not really. It has been consistently a fail for us. And it makes sense at the upper levels. 

For a model with an over amplified bias it’s been a huge letdown

[balltermen]

1) Knickerbocker 

2) 2/23/26

3) 1899

4) PD1

 

[rjvanals]

The GFS is now in NAM at 84 hr territory 

[DDweatherman]

2 minutes ago, rjvanals said:

The GFS is now in NAM at 84 hr territory 

Stay in the Richmond, VA “anals” please

[ravensrule]

Just now, DDweatherman said:

Stay in the Richmond, VA “anals” please

He is soooo annoying. 

[balltermen]

6 minutes ago, rjvanals said:

The GFS is now in NAM at 84 hr territory 

GFS is so bad with this kind of setup. The model isn't designed for East coast snowstorms and unfortunately it sucks at them. I'm sure it may be superior in a bunch of areas. Not this. 

 

[rjvanals]

12z Euro ensembles are a bit east but most give us some snow but no real high end potential 

[balltermen]

I think the jack might be a bit further  west at elevation.   Thurmont maybe 

[ravensrule]

[clskinsfan]

9 minutes ago, balltermen said:

I think the jack might be a bit further  west at elevation.   Thurmont maybe 

Nothing says the Jack will be west at all. Bermuda will be the jack soon. 

[BristowWx]

I could have cashed out at folks jackpot 8 pages back and went to sleep…but I had to keep playing and order bnachos…I swear this hobby is just like the casino 

[jayyy]

Almost time for our 6z NAMing/GFSing

*summoning the snow gods*

[yuki neko]

6z NAM looks much better than 0z

More phasing of the ns vort

 

[Terrapinwx]

Stalls too far south to get a GFS result, but gets solid coastal action into the cities


.