TowsonWeather Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Y’all better not sleep on the norlun trough idea. That thing could be pretty epic if that ends up being the main player for snowfall. Even if the coastal misses, a solid phase and a moisture transport between 925-500mb can still be pretty prolific. Forecasted some 12-18” norluns across the Northeast in my time. Not saying 12-18” is in the realm of possibility here, but they can pack quite a punch for a period when they setup. Liked the tends a lot today for the storm prospects, so I want to see this maintain or improve beginning tonight. That NS interaction across the Continental divide into the plains will be really important. More interaction will lead to better influences downstream. That was something noted on cluster analysis that more interaction and phasing early allows for heights downstream over Atlantic Canada to pump meaning greater amplitude of the trough upstream. A positive feedback mechanism. This is also coincident to the more coupled 25H jet composition which is what you want for an intensifying SLP along the Atlantic seaboard. I remain on the winter desk tomorrow through the weekend, so I’m still trying to reel this one home for us. My time here depends on it according to Randy 2 1 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Not sure if anyone posted this or not but the individual members really dont get any better than this.. the vast majority are west of the mean.. maybe too much? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, IronTy said: Is the "IVT" this storm's version of the "sampled flight data" from last storm? I don't recall reading about IVTs in other storms in several years? It doesn't happen with every storm. But we've definitely had them plenty of times before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, IronTy said: Is the "IVT" this storm's version of the "sampled flight data" from last storm? I don't recall reading about IVTs in other storms in several years? They are a a north of Philly thing. We are losing if we depend on that shit. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Wx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 18z WEATHERNEXT AI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, Jake Wx said: 18z WEATHERNEXT AI I am fully prepared for this to come a lot closer than we all thought but still no cigar. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brianonymous Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 This is like a 2 week normal snow thread rollercoaster, condensed down into a day or two. Neat. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 The biggest takeaway from 18z for me is that the GFS coastal bomb scenario went from impossible to unlikely. A HUGE upgrade in hopium 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Latest Blend I mean gfs gives you 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Pbp should be extra spicy . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, stormtracker said: Yeah, PBP is going to be interesting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Control yourself. I don’t see an umbrella in your drink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 5 minutes ago, Ji said: I mean gfs gives you 30 Yeah but this isnt the GFS- Its a blend, and more in touch with reality 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm jealous. Now I want Mexican and margs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 When 00z comes in over bermuda burn after reading what did we learn.mp4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Can a man get a god damn NAM'ing plesae 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 9 minutes ago, stormtracker said: ahh the ol spicy rim... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Not sure if this has been posted- probably has but I'm a little drunk and just noticed it. Damn bourbon. King GFS? LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 And now these mfers gave us free shots. I told them i need to be coherent for the GFS pbp. The stare was as blank as an untitled document in Word. 5 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 36 minutes ago, CAPE said: They are a a north of Philly thing. We are losing if we depend on that shit. Roger, guess I need to read up on them as I don't ever recall so much angst over it in my time here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, stormtracker said: And now these mfers gave us free shots. I told them i need to be coherent for the GFS pbp. The stare was as blank as an untitled document in Word. What will be a better PBP? Randy Drunk AF or Ji over on Patreon? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, stormtracker said: And now these mfers gave us free shots. I told them i need to be coherent for the GFS pbp. The stare was as blank as an untitled document in Word. Drunk PbP should be fun. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 4 minutes ago, CAPE said: Not sure if this has been posted- probably has but I'm a little drunk and just noticed it. Damn bourbon. King GFS? LOL We saw it once before. A long time ago. 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 #HoCoBullseye 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, LeesburgWx said: What will be a better PBP? Randy Drunk AF or Ji over on Patreon? Either one would be highly entertaining! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Wx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: And now these mfers gave us free shots. I told them i need to be coherent for the GFS pbp. The stare was as blank as an untitled document in Word. goat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Wx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: #HoCoBullseye Columbia is prime time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: And now these mfers gave us free shots. I told them i need to be coherent for the GFS pbp. The stare was as blank as an untitled document in Word. By 1030 Whitney might be more coherent to do it. You can drink in April. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: And now these mfers gave us free shots. I told them i need to be coherent for the GFS pbp. The stare was as blank as an untitled document in Word. 4 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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