TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nam coming in flaccid Not to be that guy, but this has honestly alway been a sloppy mess here. Marginal temps, mixing issues, possibly limited QPF. Take the under. Ray north for the best stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Not to be that guy, but this has honestly alway been a sloppy mess here. Marginal temps, mixing issues, possibly limited QPF. Take the under. Ray north for the best stuff Marginally better than yesterday SOP. Barely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nam coming in flaccid I expect the radar to be crap tomorrow. The dynamics aren't particularly great there is a quite a bit of dry air aloft (outside of a rather narrow axis of moist air lifting southeast to northeast). It will be the Adirondacks, Greens, and probably Berks that get any accumulating snow. Elsewhere its just going to be a combination of rain showers, freezing drizzle, and some sleet pellets. Probably some wet snowflakes for the hills. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Imagine if we actually had QPF for once? Would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago GFS meso is colder and south HRWFV3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Ginx snewx said: GFS meso is colder and south HRWFV3 That thing is always in a world of its own like the rufus. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 20 minutes ago, Spaizzo said: Any Saturday morning implications? Road wise in Torrington area by chance? . Up in Torrington, definitely. With temps locked below freezing the whole duration and snow, sleet, freezing rain i'd expect secondary roads to be messy that are untreated. It's not going to be the worst storm in the world but definitely a problem for the AM commute well inland in Litchfield Co. I'd probably expect some delays. But you know the deal, treated main roads and highways will be mostly fine. Snow/Sleet/Ice should be over by the AM commute and anything that falls as a mix will have changed back over to light snow/flurries by then. The bulk of it should be over after midnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: That thing is always in a world of its own like the rufus. Model sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago colder/south in this case probably doesn't even do much to help, if anything would make things worse. Probably means less moisture influx (which is already limited) and even weaker dynamics (which are already pretty terrible). Better dynamics are lift is well to our northwest, closer to the main low. The weak sfc low development is enough to keep it just cold enough at the sfc for us to get some freezing drizzle or sleep pellets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: All Models suck Agreed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: GFS meso is colder and south HRWFV3 Does have a nice thump for CT, just not any support for that elsewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago More in line with globals now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago NAM is decently south of 06z. The WAA thump though looks weak and disorganized. The best snows for us down here might be as the heights are collapsing after the WAA “thump” very late Friday evening and then during the day on Saturday when hangback moisture is prevalent in a very deep DGZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This stuff is frozen soiled now . Add more ice tomorrow more snow Monday and no warmth thru end of month it’ll be a full Feb of pack doggie doo? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, dendrite said: More in line with globals now Epic 24 hr fail yesterday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: More in line with globals now Scooter and the cape getting more snow than anywhere in CT would be pretty funny, even if it’s only a couple inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Gotta watch Saturday. Look at how deep the DGZ gets underneath that rapidly crashing H5 wave. Wouldn’t take much for someone to stack some fluffies if a little LL convergence sets up overhead. North shore might be in a good spot again…don’t expect norlun totals again but some enhancement is def possible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Sim radars also showing a very convective look to the precipitation field tomorrow...makes sense given the steep lapse rates and weak elevated instability. Kind of reminds me of those awful spring days (even sometimes in the summer) when we get the hung up warm fronts and the day consists of clouds, periods of drizzle, and then spotty/brief heavier showers. But dealing with wintry precipitation types versus plain liquid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Gotta watch Saturday. Look at how deep the DGZ gets underneath that rapidly crashing H5 wave. Wouldn’t take much for someone to stack some fluffies if a little LL convergence sets up overhead. North shore might be in a good spot again…don’t expect norlun totals again but some enhancement is def possible. NAM even kind of targets east facing slopes of the southern Greens and Berks with potential for accumulating snow with this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Gotta watch Saturday. Look at how deep the DGZ gets underneath that rapidly crashing H5 wave. Wouldn’t take much for someone to stack some fluffies if a little LL convergence sets up overhead. North shore might be in a good spot again…don’t expect norlun totals again but some enhancement is def possible. Yeah Nam was way south but flaccid front end. Just need that to be better as depicted. Saturday looks decent around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah Nam was way south but flaccid front end. Just need that to be better as depicted. Saturday looks decent around here. As the heights crash and the ML dryslot approaches late tomorrow evening, some of the guidance shows very intense precip…Reggie was hitting this but even the 3k NAM has it now too (not really the the 12k)….there could be a heavy burst of snow for 2-3 hours or so if the column is cool enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: As the heights crash and the ML dryslot approaches late tomorrow evening, some of the guidance shows very intense precip…Reggie was hitting this but even the 3k NAM has it now too (not really the the 12k)….there could be a heavy burst of snow for 2-3 hours or so if the column is cool enough. Hrrr too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 30 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I expect the radar to be crap tomorrow. The dynamics aren't particularly great there is a quite a bit of dry air aloft (outside of a rather narrow axis of moist air lifting southeast to northeast). It will be the Adirondacks, Greens, and probably Berks that get any accumulating snow. Elsewhere its just going to be a combination of rain showers, freezing drizzle, and some sleet pellets. Probably some wet snowflakes for the hills. What about CNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, DavisStraight said: What about CNE? Definitely better there I think than south with the initial thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago RGEM loves Massachusetts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I feel like that nam shitstreak helps the convergence on Saturday but is more detrimental for the following bigger system. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Any idea of when this starts snowing tomorrow ? Seems like early/ mid morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: GFS meso is colder and south HRWFV3 It is not a good model... sell... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Any idea of when this starts snowing tomorrow ? Seems like early/ mid morning? For you, I'd say 10 am to 10:45 am 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 58 minutes ago Share Posted 58 minutes ago 8 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said: It is not a good model... sell... Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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