“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

The euro and ai ensembles increased QPF over the Mid Atlantic into NJ. Shaved a bit near and north of NH border. Maybe it’s trying to mature it down there more. 

 

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Doesn't look like much of a trend at all at my latitude...

Ya good call Scott, it's almost like it's a full 24-36 hours behind gfs trends, GFS is trending more NE while EURO just starting to see that Jersey max

[bristolri_wx]

[Damage In Tolland]

16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Here is your back bent WF on euro. Goes from center of H7 low and curls near ack and off Chatham. Can see that on the kinks of the height lines. 
 

on the 3k Nam check out that moisture train feeding into SNE. The real mid level dynamics verbatim on this snap shot are in NJ, but that is a pure gravy train on the 3k Nam. Eventually you do get the mid level forcing, but with such a deep cutoff…that moisture train looks impressive. 
 

it’s just something I noticed. There will still be deformation bands etc. 

 

 

Please backbend all over my face 

[bristolri_wx]

[WeatherWilly]

It was nice knowing you, Rhode Island. Buried. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

For example Upton's Blizzard Warning is for 11-15" but there map has us at 15-16" lol makes no damn sense, then it makes people like us look bad when the public gets the alert for only 11-15"

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

Literally looks like a winter hurricane with Cat 2 pressure 

We’ve already issued Blizzicane warnings 

[bristolri_wx]

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

For example Upton's Blizzard Warning is for 11-15" but there map has us at 15-16" lol makes no damn sense, then it makes people like us look bad when the public gets the alert for only 11-15"

But they do make you look better when folks get 18-20” .

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, bristolri_wx said:

Very Euro/reggie driven. 

[vortex95]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The euro and ai ensembles increased QPF over the Mid Atlantic into NJ. Shaved a bit near and north of NH border. Maybe it’s trying to mature it down there more. 

That's a concern for the real weenie rates in SNE.  Will the peak RI well to the S initially preclude Bliz of '13 "everything falling out of the sky" rates!?  Once deep occlusion takes place those wild rates come down.

[bristolri_wx]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Very Euro/reggie driven. 

Yeah, not trying to spam the forum with maps.  Just points of comparison - those seem to be recently updated in the last couple of hours.  Some other sites are still showing maps from this morning...

[crownweather]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

They’ll be to the border at least by morning . 50-65 mph and S+ 

To be honest, I was surprised that Blizzard Warnings were issued a little further inland towards southern Worcester County.  BUFKIT profiles for ORH show 45-50 knot wind gusts from 2 am to 9 am Monday & 40 knot wind gusts from 10 am to 2 pm or so Monday.  Definitely would fit criteria for Blizzard (35-plus mph frequent gusts & visibility 1/4 mile or less in snow/blowing snow for at least 3 consecutive hours).  

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Very Euro/reggie driven. 

Not even sure that’s heavy enough for euro/rgem. Very conservative inland. 

[Sled]

4 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

Yeah, not trying to spam the forum with maps.  Just points of comparison - those seem to be recently updated in the last couple of hours.  Some other sites are still showing maps from this morning...

We love the maps!

[SeanInWayland]

48 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Jeez, that's still like 14" of snow for me, I'd take that in a heartbeat. Not every storm can be the Apocalypse...

[Sey-Mour Snow]

@CoastalWx NBM 31 spot from Woonsocket to Quincy Mass

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

Yeah, not trying to spam the forum with maps.  Just points of comparison - those seem to be recently updated in the last couple of hours.  Some other sites are still showing maps from this morning...

We all about maps now. This is the time to show them awl .

[bristolri_wx]

 

[codfishsnowman]

2 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

Hold me and squeeze me 

Mother of God

[Ginx snewx]

Jacks gonna Jack

Queens gonna Queen

Me, Just sitting here smiling 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Jacks gonna Jack

Queens gonna Queen

Me, Just sitting here smiling 

Ya we have to just take this all in and enjoy - epic stuff being modeled.. We have to realize a low pressure around 970 mb will most likely go just inside the benchmark in the next 36-48 hours, wild things are going to happen.. 

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Jacks gonna Jack

Queens gonna Queen

Me, Just sitting here smiling 

Farting?

[ScituateMA]

Hope everyone near the coast has their generator prepped and gas ready to go. 

 

I dont see how we could get through this without power outages

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Farting?

Dude pool burst out. Lost the liner. 28 inches of ice. Good thing I saw the leak and was able to slowly release it. 

 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, ScituateMA said:

Hope everyone near the coast has their generator prepped and gas ready to go. 

 

I dont see how we could get through this without power outages

Running it this afternoon 

[SouthCoastMA]

cmc ensemble mean is 2.5"+ down here. epic

[ScituateMA]

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Running it this afternoon 

I just ran mine. Good to go. 

16 to 18 foot waves here. Only bested by provincetown with 18 to 20 footers. 

Wow.

 

Thanking the weather gods its not a full moon tide or we would be cooked. 

https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=MAZ019&warncounty=MAC023&firewxzone=MAZ019&local_place1=Scituate MA&product1=Coastal+Flood+Warning&lat=42.1979&lon=-70.727

[SouthCoastMA]

4 minutes ago, ScituateMA said:

Hope everyone near the coast has their generator prepped and gas ready to go. 

 

I dont see how we could get through this without power outages

I don't, but have some firewood ready. Eversource has typically done ok in this area getting power restored in reasonable time. Hopefully this won't be worse than Oct 21, Jan 22 but it could be 

[wxsniss]

Monday morning KBOS on 3k NAM: