“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[MuddyWx]

Impressively consistent with 18z, but why can't I buy it 

[Henry's Weather]

00z vs. 18z GFS (grain of salt, amateur analysis)

confluence in 50/50 region trended weaker but what was far more impactful was the speed of the kicker (faster) and the decreased amplitude of ridging preceding the s/w.

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

Wishlist over next 48 hours:

Stronger omega block, N trend confluence, slower/weaker kicker, stronger ridge centered over ID.

Giving this one a 20% of hitting

Good post.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

We’ll end up with some type of compromise in the end between gfs/euro which unfortunately won’t be enough to wet our whistles. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

UK is a whiff. Worse than 12z. 

[SnoSki14]

25 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

Wishlist over next 48 hours:

Stronger omega block, N trend confluence, slower/weaker kicker, stronger ridge centered over ID.

Giving this one a 20% of hitting

Yeah odds are against it given the seasonal trends but it's fun having something to track. 

And at least spring is around the corner. 

[weathafella]

GFS AI is bupkis for the most part.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Will be a fitting end to this winter to whiff on all 3 potential snow events this week down here.

One memorable event

[weathafella]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Will be a fitting end to this winter to whiff on all 3 potential snow events this week down here.

One memorable event

One historically memorable but several moderate events.  Best winter in 4 years.

[Ginx snewx]

70 knots at 925 blizzard 

[weathafella]

7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

70 knots at 925 blizzard 

Too bad the fish don’t feel it in air speed….

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Too bad the fish don’t feel it in air speed….

That's over  Harwich Cape Cod Massachusetts USA 

[Ginx snewx]

15 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Will be a fitting end to this winter to whiff on all 3 potential snow events this week down here.

One memorable event

 

34 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We’ll end up with some type of compromise in the end between gfs/euro which unfortunately won’t be enough to wet our whistles. 

Two major models showing a foot here. It's not inside 96 yet.  

[brooklynwx99]

AIFS is significantly NW

[MJO812]

Euro AI with a big shift west

[MJO812]

[brooklynwx99]

legit major storm for parts of SNE 

[Snowcrazed71]

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Well well well .... Let's bring it in another 25-50 miles and the while tri-state will be involved

[NoCORH4L]

Off hours drunk run?

[MJO812]

8 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said:

Off hours drunk run?

0z isnt an off hour

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Euro is bleh. Better than 12z but significantly worse than 18z.