WIN Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Snowing lightly since about 530am or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 6 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said: People can have their opinions, we don’t need to attack them for not saying what we want them too. Frankly it’s what I dislike about some of the other boards here. What is going to happen is irrelevant to what anyone on here says or thinks, so allow people the courtesy of their own take. I don’t know why that always ends up threatening to some - IE not hearing what you want to hear leads to mocking, which reads defensive. Because some folks just like to be contrarian. Been guilty myself . But at a time like this, given the gravity of the situation, it might be best for some of them to step away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Flurries in Yonkers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said: OKX is now forecasting a top 10 all timer for NYC. This 20" amount would be tied with Boxing Day at #7. It’s very rare for the NWS to be forecasting much more snow than the model consensus. We will see how this shakes out but this looks across the board high by 6 inches plus. My weather underground app has me at 14 inches and they usually are always high while the NWS warning has me at 16 to 24 inches. I’m expecting around a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Because some folks just like to be contrarian. Been guilty myself . But at a time like this, given the gravity of the situation, it might be best for some of them to step away. Can’t remember the last time I read this from the NWS for our area Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 509 AM EST Sun Feb 22 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Potentially historic winter storm to impact the region through Monday. Confidence is high for very heavy, crippling snowfall to impact the area. Areas of blizzard conditions likely. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Can’t remember the last time I read this from the NWS for our area Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 509 AM EST Sun Feb 22 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Potentially historic winter storm to impact the region through Monday. Confidence is high for very heavy, crippling snowfall to impact the area. Areas of blizzard conditions likely. Fire up an obs thread. It's going to be epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 39 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: Holy shit upton bumped up the blizz warning for westchester 16-24” Crazy to see when the non US models have a 8 to 14 inch storm, someone is going to have an epic bust come tomorrow afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJSnowman Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 16 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: Holy shit upton bumped up the blizz warning for westchester 16-24” Mount holly upped my area to 18-25” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mail Man Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 This crazy shit man. Very excited for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Astoriaweather Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Drizzle has started in Astoria Queens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKO36 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 It has begun. Stepped out of Shop Rite at 6AM to a light rain/frozen rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 5 hours ago, Rjay said: He's getting possibly the blizzard of the decade for our sub named after him just as Randy did in 2016. Lots of respect for you and @BxEngine! You both make it hard to stay away for long. I have been on the sidelines for way too long. I’m fine with or without a obs thread 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 3 minutes ago, RKO36 said: It has begun. Stepped out of Shop Rite at 6AM to a light rain/frozen rain. Bulk from 7pm tonight to 7am tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Models picking up on the insane western cutoff ala boxing day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, Allsnow said: Lots of respect for you and @BxEngine! You both make it hard to stay away for long. I have been on the sidelines for way too long. I’m fine with or without a obs thread You’re a good dude with lots of knowledge . Remember we met at the Kocin conference with you and Mike? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman92 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Working in Brooklyn right now. Light rain started Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 17 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Crazy to see when the non US models have a 10 to 14 inch storm, someone is going to have an epic bust come tomorrow afternoon For the 1000% time the non us models are GLOBALS!! Stop using them at this point. Also they are way to dry in this situation, imagine a sub 970 at the benchmark and only 1” QPF gimme a break! Also the globals move the storm along faster as opposed to the mesos! Seriously just sit back and watch this beast unfold this afternoon, you and @snowman19 must be from the same mold! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 9 minutes ago, RKO36 said: It has begun. Stepped out of Shop Rite at 6AM to a light rain/frozen rain. You work at a ShopRite? Or was one of the first shoppers this morning lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Steady light snow. Already sticking to roads. Not yet sticking on Rt. 23 in Stockholm though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Models picking up on the insane western cutoff ala boxing day. It'll be there but the caveat is an inverted trough will be in place which could enhance totals on the western flank and lead to much less sharper cutoffs than we'd normally see. In addition I expect the strongest banding to be NW of where models have them as is almost always thr case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, nycsnow said: I’m guessing that looks spot on to what we want to see am I correct? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, allgame830 said: I’m guessing that looks spot on to what we want to see am I correct? Yea matches most models so far 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Sref coming in less amped so a little bit east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Not a fan of obs threads but it’s find whatever everyone wants to do… but problem is there will B a lot of jumping back and forth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mail Man Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, nycsnow said: Sref coming in less amped so a little bit east You have to expect the models to come back down to earth a bit. After those insane runs 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 20 minutes ago, allgame830 said: For the 1000% time the non us models are GLOBALS!! Stop using them at this point. Also they are way to dry in this situation, imagine a sub 970 at the benchmark and only 1” QPF gimme a break! Also the globals move the storm along faster as opposed to the mesos! Seriously just sit back and watch this beast unfold this afternoon, you and @snowman19 must be from the same mold! The RGEM is not a global model and the new SREF has started to back off. A red flag that the NAM is way too amped and will back down on the 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 43 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Can’t remember the last time I read this from the NWS for our area Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 509 AM EST Sun Feb 22 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Potentially historic winter storm to impact the region through Monday. Confidence is high for very heavy, crippling snowfall to impact the area. Areas of blizzard conditions likely. To be fair, accuweather and WINS are sticking to a foot “give or take an inch” in the city and more on Long Island. A foot is not scary to people; we just had a foot… maybe they expect we lose a lot to rain… it is raining now in nj and a high of 38 coming. But there’s a disconnect. More people are gonna hear that than read the news. Both can’t be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 minute ago, nycsnow said: Sref coming in less amped so a little bit east That’s still textbook right there! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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