The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

[BoulderWX]

My latest thoughts:

MMU: 6-10

NYC: 10-14

Central/Eastern LI: 12-20 (locally 2ft)

enjoy all! 

[Snowlover11]

Man hopefully things hold today, we are 24-30 hrs away from a biggy!

[EastonSN+]

4 hours ago, nycwinter said:

i am curious why the nws would issue a blizzard warning kinda early considering the euro run not usually like them to  jump the gun so fast..

2015 24 to 36 when the EURO and Nam were alone.

[SnoSki14]

19 minutes ago, njwx7 said:

SREF continues to get more bullish. Crazy 

Yes please. Being in New Brunswick I can afford some NW ticks. 

[Blizzardo]

some of these TV mets are really dropping the ball I think.... 

[Snowlover11]

1 minute ago, Blizzardo said:

some of these TV mets are really dropping the ball I think.... 

wait till tonight.

[NEG NAO]

Sure glad I am few miles west of Staten Island - wouldn't want to be caught in that Blizzardbut seriously does anyone think conditions will be any different in the Eastern Counties of NJ ?

[Blizzardo]

this lady is saying hours and hours of 1-2 inches per hour... and a chance of up to 12"   SMH

[Blizzardo]

Just now, NEG NAO said:

Sure glad I am few miles west of Staten Island - wouldn't want to be caught in that Blizzard

I am probably 2 miles south of Staten Island as the crow flies.. Just about on the Monmouth county border

[qg_omega]

39 minutes ago, EasternLI said:

QPF 6z euro and 6z EPS standard version

Euro is a solid 6 to 12

[BoulderWX]

7 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Yes please. Being in New Brunswick I can afford some NW ticks. 

Same and we can afford it forum wide but we’ll see how it goes. Euro shows a moderate storm for our area but nothing like NAM/GFS that both have me at over 20” multiple runs. one will be right when all is said and done on Monday. TBD

[NEG NAO]

1 minute ago, Blizzardo said:

I am probably 2 miles south of Staten Island as the crow flies.. Just about on the Monmouth county border

you to I am sure your will notice the 10 mph wind difference

[NsWx516]

 

At what point do we start discussin the threat for Friday on the gfs lol

[donsutherland1]

On February 20, 2026, the PNA was -1.475. The PNA is forecast to remain negative through the remainder of February. During the second half of February and afterward, most of the big I-95 Area snowstorms occur with a negative PNA on account of shortening wave lengths.

A major to potentially historic blizzard is possible Sunday into Monday. With 10.0" or more snow, Winter 2025-2026 would be on track to become just the third winter on record in New York City to record two 10" or greater snowstorms, a seasonal mean temperature of 32.0° or below and 30.0" or more seasonal snowfall. Winter records go way back to 1869-1870.

[Snowlover11]

Just now, NsWx516 said:

 

At what point do we start discussin the threat for Friday on the gfs lol

When this one is over. 

[TriPol]

1 minute ago, NsWx516 said:

 

At what point do we start discussin the threat for Friday on the gfs lol

In a different thread.

[NEG NAO]

7 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Euro is a solid 6 to 12

Euro is still playing catch - up I think the NWS is ignoring it now - but some private METS which will remain nameless are still considering it

[SACRUS]

2/21 06z Summary

Total QPF NYC
/ 
Total 10:1 Snow NYC

SREF: 1.8 / 16.9
NAM: 2.3 / 22.5
RGEM: 1.5 / 14.7
ICON: 1.4 / 12.9
GFS: 2.3 / 22
GFS AI AIFS: 1.6 / 15.8
UKMET: 1.0 / 10.4
GEFS:   1.8 / 18.4
EURO:  .09 / 10.1
EURO AI AIFS: 1.1 / 11.1
 

[Snowlover11]

I just need 7” more to hit 40” on the year.

[SnoSki14]

Just now, NEG NAO said:

Euro is still playing catch - up I think the NWS is ignoring it now

Mt Holly covered its bases well here. 8-16 forecast, takes care of the Euro's lower tier and touch bases of GFS/NAM. 

[SI Mailman]

Everyone will be rating this an A+ winter in 48 hours

[SACRUS]

 

06z :

Models 

Mean Total QPF (NYC): 1.49 inches

Mean 10:1 Snowfall (NYC): 15.5 inches

[Brasiluvsnow]

Start time guesstimate anyone ? 8 am ?????? and when does she get cranking is it in the afternoon or at night ?

[NEG NAO]

1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

Mt Holly covered its bases well here. 8-16 forecast, takes care of the Euro's lower tier and touch bases of GFS/NAM. 

big difference when trying to remove 8 inches from your driveway VS. 16

[sussexcountyobs]

So far this season I sit at 45.8".

With this one I may hit 60" by Monday.

[EastonSN+]

That was a big shift west by the EURO even if its less than the GFS. 

At this point even if they converge its a huge storm.

[SACRUS]

 

Probably lose 0.2-0.3 before best snow/dynamics and cooling takeover but still looking like a solid foot or more i95 east 

[Brasiluvsnow]

Just now, NEG NAO said:

big difference when trying to remove 8 inches from your driveway VS. 16

ps the drifts 

 

[Freezing Drizzle]

@donsutherland1

Good morning, the late-"Icehater," a great poster on the old NYC Metro forum wrote that the temperature during the "Lindsey Storm" of February, 1969 hovered around 34 F and never went below freezing.  Would you have temperature data for that storm for CPK or other points? FD

[nycsnow]

I bet we’re gonna have a large coverage blizzard warning by afternoon update. Don’t see why they wouldn’t upgrade today or tonight