SnoSki14 Posted Thursday at 11:59 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:59 PM 1 minute ago, nycsnow said: Model noise probably Geez look at some of those members too. I don't ever recall such a drastic EPS shift in this close range. Op run yes but not the ensembles 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted Thursday at 11:59 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:59 PM 2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: this is one of the biggest shifts I have ever seen from the EPS at this range. dumbfounding Pretty wild, I didn't see this coming but it could also be a windshield wiper effect with such a drastic shift so I can see it correcting back east a bit at 0z but, who knows, this whole thing has been really unpredictable. The EPS had been pretty steady up until this cycle so this is a pretty big surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted yesterday at 12:00 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:00 AM 2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: this is one of the biggest shifts I have ever seen from the EPS at this range. dumbfounding We’ll see what ends up happening in the end but DT’s post about the NWS soundings a few days back could have something to do with it because we’ve seen issues all winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted yesterday at 12:01 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:01 AM 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Geez look at some of those members too. I don't ever recall such a drastic EPS shift in this close range. Op run yes but not the ensembles Some of those would be monster storms for most this forum 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted yesterday at 12:04 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:04 AM 4 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Euro AIFS eps A bunch of members on the western side 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted yesterday at 12:04 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:04 AM Didn't expect to see the eps look like that 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted yesterday at 12:05 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:05 AM 8 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: lol this just got real From the MA forum wow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted yesterday at 12:05 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:05 AM 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: How is this noise ? Some of you post nonsense. he who is without sin..... 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted yesterday at 12:06 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:06 AM Anyone confident on what tonight's runs will show? Does anyone have that Para CMC run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mriceyman Posted yesterday at 12:08 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:08 AM Anyone confident on what tonight's runs will show? Does anyone have that Para CMC run?Whoever says their confident on tonights runs is just plain lying . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted yesterday at 12:17 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:17 AM 21 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Model noise probably Pointing west for more shifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted yesterday at 12:18 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:18 AM 11 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Anyone confident on what tonight's runs will show? Does anyone have that Para CMC run? Absolutely, fuckin, no. 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman92 Posted yesterday at 12:18 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:18 AM This is not model noise. You have GFS refusing to back down with a snowy solution and now almost every model is trending to it. Its not even friday night yet to really nail the track and amounts 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted yesterday at 12:20 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:20 AM I’ll put a pot of coffee on for the forum since we all will be staying up till 1 AM now… 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted yesterday at 12:21 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:21 AM I was hoping the 18Z Euro and its AI brother would "cave" to the GFS, but didn't really think they would... at least not yet. Having said that... we are still 3 days away. Need to see more model support and run to run consistency... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted yesterday at 12:21 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:21 AM Just put 100 on the Robinhood event contract for greater than 6+ in nyc for then month of Feb with a payout of like 400 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted yesterday at 12:24 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:24 AM Just now, Snowman92 said: This is not model noise. You have GFS refusing to back down with a snowy solution and now almost every model is trending to it. Its not even friday night yet to really nail the track and amounts but it's still far enough out that all you can do is keep an eye just in case; i wouldn't stock up the bomb shelter just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted yesterday at 12:24 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:24 AM i'm so happy the euro AI went north 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted yesterday at 12:26 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:26 AM Had put my phone down at 6 and when I picked it up to check on this storm, I saw several additional pages of posts so I knew something was up! Definitely didn’t expect that sort of shift from the typically steady Euro AI. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted yesterday at 12:28 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:28 AM Just now, ILoveWinter said: Had put my phone down at 6 and when picked it up to check on this storm, ⛈️ saw several additional pages of posts so I knew something was up! Definitely didn’t expect that sort of shift from the typically steady Euro AI. if you go online you'd think the apocalypse is happening. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted yesterday at 12:28 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:28 AM 23 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: A bunch of members on the western side Keep pushing them west 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 12:35 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:35 AM 14 minutes ago, tdp146 said: I’ll put a pot of coffee on for the forum since we all will be staying up till 1 AM now… I will be staying up until 5 with my newborn. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted yesterday at 12:36 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:36 AM I don’t wanna rain on anyone’s parade. And I’m hoping that this thing keeps trending west, but remember two weeks ago we were hoping for a blizzard and the only place who made out was Montauk. We had some hits on the models only to have the rug pulled out from us later in the evening.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 12:36 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:36 AM 18z ukie ensembles are also west 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted yesterday at 12:36 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:36 AM OK what did i miss? Just got back from a house fire on shelter Island. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted yesterday at 12:38 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:38 AM euro ai snows from around 1pm sunday until 7pm monday! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted yesterday at 12:38 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:38 AM 1 minute ago, wthrmn654 said: OK what did i miss? Just got back from a house fire on shelter Island. you okay? everybody okay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted yesterday at 12:39 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:39 AM Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said: you okay? everybody okay? Yes they mutual aided is for a tanker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted yesterday at 12:40 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:40 AM Sref came west 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted yesterday at 12:40 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:40 AM Not caught up in the thread but wow 18z Euro has a shift west + a healthier northwestern precip shield. I had just told my wife to write this thing off, not about to believe the GFS on an island again. Positive development if this repeats next run. Euro has been locked in on nothing. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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