bncho Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 I know it's the GFS but we still got chances after 2/23 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Same Feb 27 window, just a weenie run on the GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Right now before any mix bag, we have had ,20" rain yesterday and getting heavy rain now and actually had some thunder. Scared the dogs with the heavy thunderstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 I know it's pretty slow here in this medium range thread given the potential event this weekend...but that first week of March is still looking kinda intriguing!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 I feel like there is a definite chance for a 3-5/4-6 incher towards the end of the month and into the first few days of March. Relatively quick and progressive northern stream, could see a quick hitter along the arctic boundary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Eps snowier than I would have guessed beyond this weekend. Not crazy, but enough to suggest a decent chance or 2 over the next 2 weeks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 I'll take things that won't happen for 500 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 We may have one or 2 more shots/threats looking at this Euro 6z 144hr 500mb anomaly map so long as that cold pool in Canada can push far enough south. Decent blocking over the Pole. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 hours ago, mitchnick said: We may have one or 2 more shots/threats looking at this Euro 6z 144hr 500mb anomaly map so long as that cold pool in Canada can push far enough south. Decent blocking over the Pole. I haha'ed because boy are we a sick bunch, and it's crazy to think there are still shots after this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 8 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said: I haha'ed because boy are we a sick bunch, and it's crazy to think there are still shots after this. Icon has event in 5 days for northern crew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Whatever the next shot is, let’s hope it’s not a coastal lol. Waiting for bands to get thrown back is way more stressful than just watching the shield blossom in the TN valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Putting this here for posterity; this is why we don't trust UKMET thermals lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 The Canadian never was big on today's threat and it's 12z forecast is attached up top, which could be closer to the truth than other models, time will tell. But I'm willing to accept it's forecast for today if its forecast for next week comes true resulting in the combined total snowfall of the 2nd map. Anybody with me? P.s. It's a multi-day event starting next Monday. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2026022212&fh=192&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 5 minutes ago, mitchnick said: The Canadian never was big on today's threat and it's 12z forecast is attached up top, which could be closer to the truth than other models, time will tell. But I'm willing to accept it's forecast for today if its forecast for next week comes true resulting in the combined total snowfall of the 2nd map. Anybody with me? Lol, i think the entire sub forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 20 minutes ago, mitchnick said: The Canadian never was big on today's threat and it's 12z forecast is attached up top, which could be closer to the truth than other models, time will tell. But I'm willing to accept it's forecast for today if its forecast for next week comes true resulting in the combined total snowfall of the 2nd map. Anybody with me? P.s. It's a multi-day event starting next Monday. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2026022212&fh=192&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 FWIW temps on the EPS look good in that window and there is decent snow depth in the mean for this range (depth because I use free pivotal). Curious to see how it looks in a couple hours when we get the ensembles for 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 36 minutes ago, mitchnick said: The Canadian never was big on today's threat and it's 12z forecast is attached up top, which could be closer to the truth than other models, time will tell. But I'm willing to accept it's forecast for today if its forecast for next week comes true resulting in the combined total snowfall of the 2nd map. Anybody with me? P.s. It's a multi-day event starting next Monday. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2026022212&fh=192&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 March 2007 (both events) and March 2022 analogs are on the list right now. Pattern seems pretty favorable for the MA considering it's getting pretty late in the season. I'm probably too far south but imo, the DMV probably has another chance or 2 before time runs out. It hasn't been a super productive year but interesting winter wx has been on the table since the start and this season is from from a dud/ratter. The amount of snowcover days down here probably falls in the top 10% of recent history. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: The Canadian never was big on today's threat and it's 12z forecast is attached up top, which could be closer to the truth than other models, time will tell. But I'm willing to accept it's forecast for today if its forecast for next week comes true resulting in the combined total snowfall of the 2nd map. Anybody with me? P.s. It's a multi-day event starting next Monday. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2026022212&fh=192&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 Lol. It’ll shift North and leave us high and dry again. Congrats Rehoboth to Boston! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Euro wants to snow on us too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: Euro wants to snow on us too. There’s also an event on a couple models Thursday. Of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Not enthused by this as I feel like it's a situation where it coming south means potentially making it go away entirely tbh. But snow within 5 days on the euro I guess deserves a little attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just kill this winter and put it out of its misery. 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 12 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Just kill this winter and put it out of its misery. Most places are near average snowfall after today and Dec-Feb will be below average temps every month? The pattern does look really warm a few days after this storm and after. Completely different upper latitude alignment coming, it looks like ENSEMBLE LOOP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 42 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Most places are near average snowfall after today and Dec-Feb will be below average temps every month? The pattern does look really warm a few days after this storm and after. Completely different upper latitude alignment coming, it looks like ENSEMBLE LOOP Well, this place is at 25% average. Or what was once the average. Based on the last 10 years the average here should be 10" and not 28". I've had efuckinnough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 We running it back 5 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 26 minutes ago, bncho said: We running it back Really surprising given the 500mb pattern on models. I guess they think the colder trend of the Winter will continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 hour ago, bncho said: We running it back Looks like another three inches of slush and congrats everyone else. Almost like a movie I’ve seen before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 3 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Looks like another three inches of slush and congrats everyone else. Almost like a movie I’ve seen before. Whether it happens or not....it's like 8+ days away...come on.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Putting this here so it doesn't get lost. From a red tagger in NE threads. Good read for those who are obsessed with the miller a/b distinction for our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 4 hours ago, baltosquid said: Not enthused by this as I feel like it's a situation where it coming south means potentially making it go away entirely tbh. But snow within 5 days on the euro I guess deserves a little attention. Case in point, the 18z euro just suppressed it to death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Hello? Anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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