Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range

[DDweatherman]

Just now, clskinsfan said:

It is a pretty strong wave. We really just need it 50 miles south of what is being modelled. Although the ICON is right in line with the meso's right now. 

It would be an “easy” path to win, just need that low a bit south. It’s already come 150-200 miles south on some models since yesterday 6z. We get screwed by south trends in Nina, one more for some help this time?

[Bubbler86]

6 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

Also @Bubbler86 it is a pretty potent little wave, models have beefed up on qpf since a day or two ago. Just need to be on the right side of trends inside d3… oh great 

The GFS depiction would really cause some stir in the areas that got it good last night.  Two moderate snows in a week. 

[DDweatherman]

3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

The GFS depiction would really cause some stir in the areas that got it good last night.  Two moderate snows in a week. 

Great, no school for the kids again on Friday lol. I’ll take it though for 4-6

[stormtracker]

5 hours ago, TSSN+ said:

I can’t do this shit again… lol

 

I won’t be in Houston!  
LFG!

[Lowershoresadness]

50 minutes ago, Miss Pixee said:

Bring it on. It don't bother me a lick. No hysteria, no whining, no drama.

is Mr Pixee a stick figure too?

[bncho]

The GFS is all alone AGAIN from 90 hours out.

what the hell is happening in this world?

[bncho]

[stormtracker]

I don’t hate the 12z gfs

[MountainGeek]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I don’t hate the 12z gfs

It may be that we actually NEED you in town to get a decent snowstorm. 

[Paleocene]

it's happening

sorry tho @WxUSAFnone for you

[DDweatherman]

5 minutes ago, bncho said:

The GFS is all alone AGAIN from 90 hours out.

what the hell is happening in this world?

Yo do you even look at the models sometimes? The euro is no more than 50-75 miles from the same thing? 

[Solution Man]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I don’t hate the 12z gfs

You trust that for our area right 

[bncho]

Just now, DDweatherman said:

Yo do you even look at the models sometimes? The euro is no more than 50-75 miles from the same thing? 

is it really? lol

[stormtracker]

Just now, Solution Man said:

You trust that for our area right 

Gfs is the superior model and gold standard

[stormtracker]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

is it really? lol

You did well on the bnacho scale, but Tom Brady is coming back

[baltosquid]

Hmmm. Snow verbatim but it came quicker. Wanted to see it move back instead and fall more after dark. I think we in the lowlands really need a late in the day or ideally nighttime passage to be in the game. But maybe we can eat away a little at the projected warmth and make some day snow work.

[DDweatherman]

Just now, baltosquid said:

Hmmm. Snow verbatim but it came quicker. Wanted to see it move back instead and fall more after dark. I think we in the lowlands really need a late in the day or ideally nighttime passage to be in the game. But maybe we can eat away a little at the projected warmth and make some day snow work.

I like a little more amped reality, given the trends of the last few systems (vs earlier in the year). We’re less in a de-amped Nina scheme than we were. 

[Scraff]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Gfs is the superior model and gold standard

The US is having quite a week! Gold medal hockey + the GooFuS is now the gold standard.  

[baltosquid]

1 minute ago, DDweatherman said:

I like a little more amped reality, given the trends of the last few systems (vs earlier in the year). We’re less in a de-amped Nina scheme than we were. 

Slower and slightly more amped was basically 06z GFS lol so fingers crossed something like that happens. I think that's a reasonable ceiling for the setup barring some sort of change up top in the short term that makes us verify notably colder.

[DDweatherman]

1 minute ago, baltosquid said:

Slower and slightly more amped was basically 06z GFS lol so fingers crossed something like that happens. I think that's a reasonable ceiling for the setup barring some sort of change up top in the short term that makes us verify notably colder.

The compromise of the 6z/12z suite thus far is workable for a fair bit of folks. The icon, Nam and rgem are a bit more amped, and the euro is in between. 3 days out. 
 

if there’s a thread for this one, I might try and take the wheel. 

[WVclimo]

I think I have an idea where this is headed.

[MountainGeek]

2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

The compromise of the 6z/12z suite thus far is workable for a fair bit of folks. The icon, Nam and rgem are a bit more amped, and the euro is in between. 3 days out. 
 

if there’s a thread for this one, I might try and take the wheel. 

Do it before anyone notices. 

[jayyy]

Maybe models need the cat 2 hurricane to clear the coast before getting a grip lol

[SnowenOutThere]

12 minutes ago, WVclimo said:

I think I have an idea where this is headed.

Right to Charlottesville 

[WxUSAF]

36 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

it's happening

sorry tho @WxUSAFnone for you

Snow-holed twice in the same week 

[DDweatherman]

About 72-78 hours out. I can make a thread if we want to have one. Otherwise we can play here for a bit longer. 

[snowfan]

Really need the gfs to be correct just to create a disastrous Thursday afternoon rush hour. Its been too long since we had one of those.

[MillvilleWx]

On 2/17/2026 at 7:42 AM, MillvilleWx said:

On the winter desk 6 of the next 7 days. Hopefully I can bring us home 

[87storms]

32 minutes ago, WVclimo said:

I think I have an idea where this is headed.

The Frederick snow shield is simply too powerful.

[hstorm]

43 minutes ago, Scraff said:

The US is having quite a week! Gold medal hockey + the GooFuS is now the gold standard.  

Double US gold in hockey = double gold for GFS/NAM.  Lock it up.