Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range

[bncho]

I know it's the GFS but we still got chances after 2/23

[bncho]

Same Feb 27 window, just a weenie run on the GFS

[GreyHat]

Right now before any mix bag, we have had ,20" rain yesterday and getting heavy rain now and actually had some thunder. Scared the dogs with the heavy thunderstorm. 

 

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

I know it's pretty slow here in this medium range thread given the potential event this weekend...but that first week of March is still looking kinda intriguing!!!

[Alfoman]

I feel like there is a definite chance for a 3-5/4-6 incher towards the end of the month and into the first few days of March. Relatively quick and progressive northern stream, could see a quick hitter along the arctic boundary

[mitchnick]

Eps snowier than I would have guessed beyond this weekend.  Not crazy, but enough to suggest a decent chance or 2 over the next 2 weeks.

[Nomz]

I'll take things that won't happen for 500 

[mitchnick]

We may have one or 2 more shots/threats looking at this Euro 6z 144hr 500mb anomaly map so long as that cold pool in Canada can push far enough south. Decent blocking over the Pole.

[AlexD1990]

2 hours ago, mitchnick said:

We may have one or 2 more shots/threats looking at this Euro 6z 144hr 500mb anomaly map so long as that cold pool in Canada can push far enough south. Decent blocking over the Pole.

I haha'ed because boy are we a sick bunch, and it's crazy to think there are still shots after this.

[mitchnick]

8 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said:

I haha'ed because boy are we a sick bunch, and it's crazy to think there are still shots after this.

Icon has event in 5 days for northern crew.

[baltosquid]

Whatever the next shot is, let’s hope it’s not a coastal lol. Waiting for bands to get thrown back is way more stressful than just watching the shield blossom in the TN valley.

[Paleocene]

Putting this here for posterity; this is why we don't trust UKMET thermals lol.

[mitchnick]

The Canadian never was big on today's threat and it's 12z forecast is attached up top, which could be closer to the truth than other models, time will tell. But I'm willing to accept it's forecast for today if its forecast for next week comes true resulting in the combined total snowfall  of the 2nd map. Anybody with me?

P.s. It's a multi-day event starting next Monday. 

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2026022212&fh=192&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1

[ravensrule]

5 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

The Canadian never was big on today's threat and it's 12z forecast is attached up top, which could be closer to the truth than other models, time will tell. But I'm willing to accept it's forecast for today if its forecast for next week comes true resulting in the combined total snowfall  of the 2nd map. Anybody with me?

Lol, i think the entire sub forum. 

[baltosquid]

20 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

The Canadian never was big on today's threat and it's 12z forecast is attached up top, which could be closer to the truth than other models, time will tell. But I'm willing to accept it's forecast for today if its forecast for next week comes true resulting in the combined total snowfall  of the 2nd map. Anybody with me?

P.s. It's a multi-day event starting next Monday. 

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2026022212&fh=192&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1

FWIW temps on the EPS look good in that window and there is decent snow depth in the mean for this range (depth because I use free pivotal). Curious to see how it looks in a couple hours when we get the ensembles for 12z.

[Bob Chill]

36 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

The Canadian never was big on today's threat and it's 12z forecast is attached up top, which could be closer to the truth than other models, time will tell. But I'm willing to accept it's forecast for today if its forecast for next week comes true resulting in the combined total snowfall  of the 2nd map. Anybody with me?

P.s. It's a multi-day event starting next Monday. 

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2026022212&fh=192&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1

 

March 2007 (both events) and March 2022 analogs are on the list right now. Pattern seems pretty favorable for the MA considering it's getting pretty late in the season. I'm probably too far south but imo, the DMV probably has another chance or 2 before time runs out.

It hasn't been a super productive year but interesting winter wx has been on the table since the start and this season is from from a dud/ratter. The amount of snowcover days down here probably falls in the top 10% of recent history. 

 

[osfan24]

1 hour ago, mitchnick said:

The Canadian never was big on today's threat and it's 12z forecast is attached up top, which could be closer to the truth than other models, time will tell. But I'm willing to accept it's forecast for today if its forecast for next week comes true resulting in the combined total snowfall  of the 2nd map. Anybody with me?

P.s. It's a multi-day event starting next Monday. 

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-imp&rh=2026022212&fh=192&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1

Lol. It’ll shift North and leave us high and dry again. Congrats Rehoboth to Boston!

[mitchnick]

Euro wants to snow on us too.

[DDweatherman]

1 hour ago, mitchnick said:

Euro wants to snow on us too.

There’s also an event on a couple models Thursday. Of course

[baltosquid]

Not enthused by this as I feel like it's a situation where it coming south means potentially making it go away entirely tbh. But snow within 5 days on the euro I guess deserves a little attention.

[EastCoast NPZ]

Just kill this winter and put it out of its misery.  

[Stormchaserchuck1]

3 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Just kill this winter and put it out of its misery.  

Most places are near average snowfall and Dec-Feb will be below average temps every month? The pattern does look really warm a few days after this storm and after. Completely different upper latitude alignment coming, it looks like 

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