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Friday February 6 FROPA / WINDEX small event


HoarfrostHubb
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BOX AFD def went somewhat wild…but I mostly agree with going bullish for the zones they did. That cross hair sig has been on almost every single model sounding. So wherever a band can set up, it’s gonna stack fast. 
 

That and the LL lapse rates are crazy good. 

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Basically no warm air advection at surface ahead of front, BUF is only 22F with light southwest wind. Front is near southern end of Georgian Bay in Ontario, will soon be passing Toronto to Ottawa line. Winds behind front moderate northerly so far in this early stage of development but temperature drops rapidly below zero F. 

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38 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

BOX AFD def went somewhat wild…but I mostly agree with going bullish for the zones they did. That cross hair sig has been on almost every single model sounding. So wherever a band can set up, it’s gonna stack fast. 
 

That and the LL lapse rates are crazy good. 

I may need a bigger boat on my map....it sounds silly and anecdotal, but usually when I see flakes early, it's a sign that it wants to snow. Happened pre dawn March 14, 2018 and PM of Jan 6, 2024.

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