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Is we back? February discussion thread

mahk_webstah

By mahk_webstah,
in New England

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ORH_wxman
ORH_wxman

WinterWolf right now

RUNNAWAYICEBERG
RUNNAWAYICEBERG
dendrite
dendrite

Vday with Greta in the County? What a dad.

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Kitz Craver

Kitz Craver

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Wish folks had more respect for the index methodology - it's correct the vast majority of times...not sure why or if there is reticence to either understand it, or implement  ... but Monday was never signaled from that source and I painstakingly applied that logic and analytic content to the discussion over the last week...

It's also this group frankly.  In the face of presumptive/prohibitive limitation that is there, in place, the model run at hand that defies those mitigations with some cinema gets immediately pimped out.  Meanwhile the situation was never changed..  Oh well.  

We have seen a few instances this winter when said indices were poised to produce and the surface reflection didn’t pan out at our specific location. I suppose when they are unfavorable, some look past the less than ideal canvas for a doped up OP run that shows a bomb. When the backdrop is favorable it doesn’t necessarily mean it will be realized IOBY, however when it is not, the chances are reduced greatly and that is why the more experienced Mets are smashing their faces into the keyboard and ultimately have a better grasp of the reality of whether or not a storm even has the ability to form.

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

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Heh    Yeah, severe around here.  :unsure: It is an aspect we can do.  Just per climo and common experience, it's not as often observed.  We all know this... still good to set up expectations ( that'll be ignored the first hash outta SPC the sets up in early May ...)   We do just about everything else there is in the spectrum of weather impacts, much easier.  

Although, big heat is debatable. As an aside, big heat around here is weighted down by an amalgamated pall-blue sky of continental bio-mist, confluent DP sources, and industrial fart ozones.  It's amazing we don't have elevated cancer statistics compared to everywhere else, being that this region is akin to the atmosphere's colorectal exit canal for the continent.  But as far as sending temperatures very high... in the many years I've lived through summers in SNE, there's always always ...100% of the time, something holding it down some 1 to 5.  When dealing with the big numbers in deterministic weather forecasting, ...maybe this has happened and I just don't recall, but I know it is rare to see high predicted to be 100 (in the first place), and have it end up 105... That happens in Iowa, our same latitude, far more often than here.   But we'll put up boat loads of 98s.  Meh, that has to count as big heat. 

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FXWX

FXWX

Posted
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21 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Wish folks had more respect for the index methodology - it's correct the vast majority of times...not sure why or if there is reticence to either understand it, or implement  ... but Monday was never signaled from that source and I painstakingly applied that logic and analytic content to the discussion over the last week...

It's also this group frankly.  In the face of presumptive/prohibitive limitation that is there, in place, the model run at hand that defies those mitigations with some cinema gets immediately pimped out.  Meanwhile the situation was never changed..  Oh well.  

There you go again John... Using "logic and analytic content!" That has no place in a wx forum... Be better... Lol

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Kitz Craver

Kitz Craver

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8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

How’s Bretton Woods for learn to ski type stuff? Thinking about it for next week but I’m not sure what I’m gonna do.

I love the woods, not too steep like some of the other NH resorts. Some great trees too. It’s relatively beginner friendly IMO

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Layman

Layman

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12 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

I love the woods, not too steep like some of the other NH resorts. Some great trees too. It’s relatively beginner friendly IMO

 

10 minutes ago, alex said:

It’s great. Lots of easy terrain and an amazing ski school. Also, much less crowded than other ski areas

Definitely agree with all of this.  Nice, gentle terrain and far less crowded than anywhere else.  Can't beat the scenery either!

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alex

alex

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Just now, Layman said:

 

Definitely agree with all of this.  Nice, gentle terrain and far less crowded than anywhere else.  Can't beat the scenery either!

Also, if you need a place to stay let me know. I can see what I can do in giving you a deal. We have 126 homes in the program - almost sold out for the weekend but we still have at least 10 this weekend and more over the course of the week. 

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Kitz Craver

Kitz Craver

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24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I just don’t feel like taking out a loan to do this. Skiing is out of control ridiculous.

Gotta love Butternut on Fridays for 25 bucks! It’s not going to challenge you really and not much natural terrain, but great learning mountain. For 25 dollars you absolutely can’t beat it. Heading up tomorrow with my Sister, nephew and Son. 

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Layman

Layman

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2 minutes ago, alex said:

Also, if you need a place to stay let me know. I can see what I can do in giving you a deal. We have 126 homes in the program - almost sold out for the weekend but we still have at least 10 this weekend and more over the course of the week. 

Definitely!  @CoastalWx If you're taking out the loan anyway to head up, be sure to leave room to stay at one of Alex's place.  Great quality of service and nice, convenient options.  Well worth it!

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ariof

ariof

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53 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Get a set of cross-country skis.  Enjoy the beautiful scenery and get a massive cardio workout.

It's been a great year for xc, which relies almost entirely on natural snow. Aside from a couple of days post-Grinch right before xmas, there's been good-to-excellent skiing in most of CNE/NNE, and since late Jan, in SNE as well.

Tickets are much cheaper, and in many cases groomed trails are free to use.

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