CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Just can’t be pulled yet . Maybe by 18 or 0z You can pull it, just make sure you’re not on a Zoom call. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 23 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Kevin is right...there could be some snow showers (even some squalls tomorrow night) but a dry boundary layer might be an issue. That's a pretty potent shortwave diving southeast with very steep mid-level lapse rates 1-3”? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: 1-3”? Nothing like that really. This is also probably more WOR. Someone though could probably pickup 1/2-1" or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Wish folks had more respect for the index methodology - it's correct the vast majority of times...not sure why or if there is reticence to either understand it, or implement ... but Monday was never signaled from that source and I painstakingly applied that logic and analytic content to the discussion over the last week... It's also this group frankly. In the face of presumptive/prohibitive limitation that is there, in place, the model run at hand that defies those mitigations with some cinema gets immediately pimped out. Meanwhile the situation was never changed.. Oh well. We have seen a few instances this winter when said indices were poised to produce and the surface reflection didn’t pan out at our specific location. I suppose when they are unfavorable, some look past the less than ideal canvas for a doped up OP run that shows a bomb. When the backdrop is favorable it doesn’t necessarily mean it will be realized IOBY, however when it is not, the chances are reduced greatly and that is why the more experienced Mets are smashing their faces into the keyboard and ultimately have a better grasp of the reality of whether or not a storm even has the ability to form. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Heh Yeah, severe around here. It is an aspect we can do. Just per climo and common experience, it's not as often observed. We all know this... still good to set up expectations ( that'll be ignored the first hash outta SPC the sets up in early May ...) We do just about everything else there is in the spectrum of weather impacts, much easier. Although, big heat is debatable. As an aside, big heat around here is weighted down by an amalgamated pall-blue sky of continental bio-mist, confluent DP sources, and industrial fart ozones. It's amazing we don't have elevated cancer statistics compared to everywhere else, being that this region is akin to the atmosphere's colorectal exit canal for the continent. But as far as sending temperatures very high... in the many years I've lived through summers in SNE, there's always always ...100% of the time, something holding it down some 1 to 5. When dealing with the big numbers in deterministic weather forecasting, ...maybe this has happened and I just don't recall, but I know it is rare to see high predicted to be 100 (in the first place), and have it end up 105... That happens in Iowa, our same latitude, far more often than here. But we'll put up boat loads of 98s. Meh, that has to count as big heat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 21 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Wish folks had more respect for the index methodology - it's correct the vast majority of times...not sure why or if there is reticence to either understand it, or implement ... but Monday was never signaled from that source and I painstakingly applied that logic and analytic content to the discussion over the last week... It's also this group frankly. In the face of presumptive/prohibitive limitation that is there, in place, the model run at hand that defies those mitigations with some cinema gets immediately pimped out. Meanwhile the situation was never changed.. Oh well. There you go again John... Using "logic and analytic content!" That has no place in a wx forum... Be better... Lol 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: How’s Bretton Woods for learn to ski type stuff? Thinking about it for next week but I’m not sure what I’m gonna do. I love the woods, not too steep like some of the other NH resorts. Some great trees too. It’s relatively beginner friendly IMO 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: How’s Bretton Woods for learn to ski type stuff? Thinking about it for next week but I’m not sure what I’m gonna do. It’s great. Lots of easy terrain and an amazing ski school. Also, much less crowded than other ski areas 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago That window roughly 180 through 216 hours has huge sensible wx variance risk. GEFs = 60 at some point thru that EPS = ice storm ...at least per 00z means... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: I love the woods, not too steep like some of the other NH resorts. Some great trees too. It’s relatively beginner friendly IMO 10 minutes ago, alex said: It’s great. Lots of easy terrain and an amazing ski school. Also, much less crowded than other ski areas Definitely agree with all of this. Nice, gentle terrain and far less crowded than anywhere else. Can't beat the scenery either! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12 minutes ago, alex said: It’s great. Lots of easy terrain and an amazing ski school. Also, much less crowded than other ski areas Thanks man. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I just don’t feel like taking out a loan to do this. Skiing is out of control ridiculous. Get a set of cross-country skis. Enjoy the beautiful scenery and get a massive cardio workout. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Layman said: Definitely agree with all of this. Nice, gentle terrain and far less crowded than anywhere else. Can't beat the scenery either! Also, if you need a place to stay let me know. I can see what I can do in giving you a deal. We have 126 homes in the program - almost sold out for the weekend but we still have at least 10 this weekend and more over the course of the week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Thanks man. Sorry I replied to the wrong message about the discount lol. But it’s true for anyone of course 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I just don’t feel like taking out a loan to do this. Skiing is out of control ridiculous. Gotta love Butternut on Fridays for 25 bucks! It’s not going to challenge you really and not much natural terrain, but great learning mountain. For 25 dollars you absolutely can’t beat it. Heading up tomorrow with my Sister, nephew and Son. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, alex said: Also, if you need a place to stay let me know. I can see what I can do in giving you a deal. We have 126 homes in the program - almost sold out for the weekend but we still have at least 10 this weekend and more over the course of the week. Definitely! @CoastalWx If you're taking out the loan anyway to head up, be sure to leave room to stay at one of Alex's place. Great quality of service and nice, convenient options. Well worth it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: That window roughly 180 through 216 hours has huge sensible wx variance risk. GEFs = 60 at some point thru that EPS = ice storm ...at least per 00z means... GFS and EURO seem to be flip flopping on that period.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 8 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: Gotta love Bustn a nut on Fridays for 25 bucks! It’s not going to challenge you really and not much privacy, but great to line up with the dudes. For 25 dollars you absolutely can beat it. Heading up tomorrow with the boys. Eh....trying to save money, thanks- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago There is actually an ice signal next Thur + ... risk it's tricky how that boundary/where it sets up. Either mean is plausible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I just don’t feel like taking out a loan to do this. Skiing is out of control ridiculous. Yea. I skied alot as a kid, back when my dad would pay $60 for the 3 of us…now you can’t even get one LT for $60. This dump economy is out of control… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted 52 minutes ago Share Posted 52 minutes ago 22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Eh....trying to save money, thanks- LOL. LOUD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 51 minutes ago Share Posted 51 minutes ago 1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said: LOL. LOUD. Hey, good price....AMWX is a judgemnt free zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted 50 minutes ago Author Share Posted 50 minutes ago 58 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You can pull it, just make sure you’re not on a Zoom call. thats a better example of a bad porn flick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted 35 minutes ago Share Posted 35 minutes ago 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s coming? I think so!! How NYC ended up with it's newest baby... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted 33 minutes ago Share Posted 33 minutes ago 47 minutes ago, Layman said: Definitely! @CoastalWx If you're taking out the loan anyway to head up, be sure to leave room to stay at one of Alex's place. Great quality of service and nice, convenient options. Well worth it! You’re too kind sir! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 33 minutes ago Share Posted 33 minutes ago 1 minute ago, UnitedWx said: How NYC ended up with it's newest baby... In Vitro uterus? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted 32 minutes ago Share Posted 32 minutes ago 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: From what I heard, a shift towards colder weather in March I guess mid March is the target… It’s gonna be more MJO driven. So we’ll see how that goes. Maybe in the meantime, we can ride the lightning until then. Personally I hope it’s earlier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted 31 minutes ago Share Posted 31 minutes ago 2 hours ago, ineedsnow said: I'll take number 13 13 is mad foxy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted 31 minutes ago Share Posted 31 minutes ago 53 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Get a set of cross-country skis. Enjoy the beautiful scenery and get a massive cardio workout. It's been a great year for xc, which relies almost entirely on natural snow. Aside from a couple of days post-Grinch right before xmas, there's been good-to-excellent skiing in most of CNE/NNE, and since late Jan, in SNE as well. Tickets are much cheaper, and in many cases groomed trails are free to use. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted 30 minutes ago Share Posted 30 minutes ago 1 hour ago, Cyclone-68 said: Are boobie lows considered “weather porn”? Inquiring minds and all that Well...no. It's more like when I'm looking for outies, but the algorithm keeps showing me innies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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