moneypitmike Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Anything after year's modeled annihilating storm will be a disappointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Anything after year's modeled annihilating storm will be a disappointment. What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2019583069028774246?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 2 minutes ago, NyWxGuy said: Aside from the light snow on Saturday, Wednesday looks like a mix storm at best with the low going west of us. Next weekend threat has vanished. Warm up ensues afterwards. Well you’re in NYC…so there’s that. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 6 minutes ago, NyWxGuy said: Aside from the light snow on Saturday, Wednesday looks like a mix storm at best with the low going west of us. Next weekend threat has vanished. Warm up ensues afterwards. Clearly you’ve had a lot of beer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Clearly you’ve had a lot of beer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Clearly you’ve had a lot of beer Guy is in the ENSO thread lately...always something out of left field....grain of salt. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Too much absolutes on social media. Pattern can still go either way after the cold shot. No spiking the ball yet. 7 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Lately we’ve been seeing the light, consistent refreshes. Not gaining depth but maintaining it through low-QPF NW flow. Hopefully we can see a more synoptic density event soon. The fluff doesn’t do much. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Active pattern coming with a few snow chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 14 hours ago, CoastalWx said: My one regret this winter is not having a better December into MLK weekend. I know it was better at a rest stop off I-84 in CT, but felt like we left some on the table. Given how crappy the previous 4 winters have been, this winter has been outstanding. We can't always have a 1992-93, 1995-96, 2004-05, or 2014-15 every time for a "good" winter. CoastalWx mindset: "If it is not a Bliz of '13 RIPPER w/ everything but the kitchen sink falling out of the sky, I'm dissatisfied!" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 36 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Lately we’ve been seeing the light, consistent refreshes. Not gaining depth but maintaining it through low-QPF NW flow. Hopefully we can see a more synoptic density event soon. The fluff doesn’t do much. You know one is living the weenie dream when fluffy flakes don’t cut it anymore… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 AI models really like wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 11 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: AI models really like wednesday So does the 6z GFS now apparently. Smaller, quick hitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Mid week really ramping up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Machines ftw. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 6 Author Share Posted February 6 31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Mid week really ramping up Euro AI looks good especially for southern and central New England. As it develops the storm off of the central jersey coast, it seems to go straight east. I’d prefer to see it move a little more east northeast and into the Gulf Maine, but I don’t know what the other models are showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 6 Author Share Posted February 6 Just now, CoastalWx said: Machines ftw. I’ve been watching the euro AI for two weeks now a couple of times a day. For someone who’s not a meteorologist, and given the good scores of this model, it just gives me a very simple to see output twice a day to get a sense of where things are headed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 6 Author Share Posted February 6 Yikes. 6z euro AI suppresses the 11th and 12th and then the next one after that. Everything looks less robust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 53 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Machines ftw. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 4 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Yikes. 6z euro AI suppresses the 11th and 12th and then the next one after that. Everything looks less robust. Storm isn’t for 5 days…it’s gonna be all over the place…just another run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Looks like a quick hitter for S.SNE for mid week and that’s about it. The weekend threat is gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 19 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: Looks like a quick hitter for S.SNE for mid week and that’s about it. The weekend threat is gone Yea, went to shit on ensembles. I getting winter 2025-2026 fatigue at this point. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 11th looks good to me for SNE overall. Funny how the AI models never liked next weekend and focused on the 11th. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 11th looks good to me for SNE overall. Funny how the AI models never liked next weekend and focused on the 11th. I think it looked better yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 11th looks good to me for SNE overall. Funny how the AI models never liked next weekend and focused on the 11th. Gotta say the machines are pretty, pretty good. Pretty, pretty, good… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, went to shit on ensembles. I getting winter 2025-2026 fatigue at this point. Very dry overall. Looks like the whole country has some drought conditions 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 14 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Very dry overall. Looks like the whole country has some drought conditions I really didn't understand Raindance in the ENSO thread adamantly claiming it was an ENSO neutral season due to the presence of the STJ. It's been dry AF...the STJ will usually make at least one cameo in any given season. Sometimes I think that guy gets lightheaded sniffing his own farts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I really didn't understand Raindance in the ENSO thread adamantly claiming it was an ENSO neutral season due to the presence of the STJ. It's been dry AF...the STJ will usually make at least one cameo in any given season. Sometimes I think that guy gets lightheaded sniffing his own farts. Yeah STJ is like a climo feature. It’s just way more active in Nino. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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