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Is we back? February discussion thread


mahk_webstah
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1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Let's just imagine for a sec the op GFS is onto something with the emphasis shifting from later on the 14th/15th, to an early amplification by the 13th.  That 500mb vortex does actually capture this guys, and turns into a white 'cane for D.E.M.

That's in the stone's through for us from 192 hours...  just sayn'

image.png.4d624e4ec79ced33f315ea3d3bb679cf.png

Maybe thats a combo/or compromise between the 11th and the 14th, and it resolves itself on the 13th?  

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro skynet was def hedging on the colder side until very late in the run…def likes the 2/10-11 storm. Not very prolific but mostly snow. 

Excuse my ignorance, but the difference between "skynet" and the other euro data sources?

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29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro AI more like the 16th now and also that previous deal several days earlier that Mark mentioned. Timing is all over.

16th is well back into clown range so that’s of no help really.  The 14th looks to be the 13th, then it’s the 15th, now it’s the 16th…it’s all over the place.
 

So I think the 11th is the one to watch as of now. Has more support today... and is closer in time so obviously that is the favored one now. 

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7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

EPS will say keep the coats and hats handy .. spring nowhere to be seen 

Definitely going to warm up in some form for a few days after V day weekend. This cold can't last forever. EPS also has a low to our NW at the same time.

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As others noted... weak system...  6 days away, a stronger more physically exerting moment in the atmosphere would probably show more comparative value among the three ens means, gfs/eps/geps than what we see here.  Three different looks, what could go wrong?

image.thumb.png.b4e5e918ee657b4d93a3a84edfb0c900.png

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:lol::snowing:

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
The Earth is currently in an ice age. It has a name: the Quaternary Glaciation. It began approximately 2.58 to 2.6 million years ago and continues to this day. Ice ages include cold, Glacial periods, and warm, interglacial periods. We happen to be living during an interglacial period of an ice age. #Climate #wxtwitter #wxX
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