CoastalWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Euro AI more like the 16th now and also that previous deal several days earlier that Mark mentioned. Timing is all over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Euro skynet was def hedging on the colder side until very late in the run…def likes the 2/10-11 storm. Not very prolific but mostly snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro skynet was def hedging on the colder side until very late in the run…def likes the 2/10-11 storm. Not very prolific but mostly snow. Excuse my ignorance, but the difference between "skynet" and the other euro data sources? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, FXWX said: Excuse my ignorance, but the difference between "skynet" and the other euro data sources? The AI version Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, FXWX said: Excuse my ignorance, but the difference between "skynet" and the other euro data sources? Skynet is just the Euro AI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Skynet is a joke about Euro and GFS AI. The saying comes from the movie Terminator when Skynet was the agency that controlled the machines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 I wonder whom I should take in round 1.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Euro OP is also similar for 2/11. Nothing huge but perhaps advisory snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 lol models have no clue. this is the run to run change, not regular 500mb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro OP is also similar for 2/11. Nothing huge but perhaps advisory snowfall. That's darn cold too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Deep winter rolls on. 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro AI more like the 16th now and also that previous deal several days earlier that Mark mentioned. Timing is all over. 16th is well back into clown range so that’s of no help really. The 14th looks to be the 13th, then it’s the 15th, now it’s the 16th…it’s all over the place. So I think the 11th is the one to watch as of now. Has more support today... and is closer in time so obviously that is the favored one now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Deep winter rolls on. All the way through March… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Euro op tries to enage in Sping. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: All the way through March… 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro op tries to enage in Sping. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro op tries to enage in Sping. 4 days or so until the next cold shot is about to move in at the end of the run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 EPS will say keep the coats and hats handy .. spring nowhere to be seen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 8 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: I’m going to sound like Chief Wiggum but the models have been pushing warmth at range for months. I definitely think we thaw at some point this month but an early spring is off the table imo. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: EPS will say keep the coats and hats handy .. spring nowhere to be seen Definitely going to warm up in some form for a few days after V day weekend. This cold can't last forever. EPS also has a low to our NW at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Definitely going to warm up in some form for a few days after V day weekend. This cold can't last forever. EPS also has a low to our NW at the same time. It will just have snow on the SE side of the low, ok… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 that 0z Euro, hopefully 12z followed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 11-12th is more coherent on the EPS, pops a few coastals 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Definitely going to warm up in some form for a few days after V day weekend. This cold can't last forever. EPS also has a low to our NW at the same time. Looks like 50s for at least a few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Looks like 50s for at least a few days Looks like it won't last long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Definitely going to warm up in some form for a few days after V day weekend. This cold can't last forever. EPS also has a low to our NW at the same time. No arguments of a bit of a mild up but I’m not buying 50’s/60’s like that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 As others noted... weak system... 6 days away, a stronger more physically exerting moment in the atmosphere would probably show more comparative value among the three ens means, gfs/eps/geps than what we see here. Three different looks, what could go wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Mark Margavage @MeteoMark · 9m The Earth is currently in an ice age. It has a name: the Quaternary Glaciation. It began approximately 2.58 to 2.6 million years ago and continues to this day. Ice ages include cold, Glacial periods, and warm, interglacial periods. We happen to be living during an interglacial period of an ice age. #Climate #wxtwitter #wxX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like it won't last long. 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: No arguments of a bit of a mild up but I’m not buying 50’s/60’s like that I see a 4-7 day stretch of 45-65 potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: I see a 4-7 day stretch of 45-65 potential I absolutely do not. Not with all the snowpack in the Eastern US and Lakes and the -NAO / blocking. No way it’s that long or that warm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: No arguments of a bit of a mild up but I’m not buying 50’s/60’s like that It depends... Not sure why people can't "imagine" soaring to 60? We've pulled that off at this time of year virtually every time spanning the last 8 of 'em at one point or the other. Just because we've been colder this year - okay... there's value in recognizing trend, but along the entire time we've not had models with red thickness contours as far N as we're seeing in guidance now. Meanwhile, the background tendency to go above normal at least excuse imaginable, relative to leading indicators, hasn't gone anywhere just because we had a couple of cool months. It will correct very fast if given a reason. Snow pack would offset some - but it's not clear how much if a warm front were to ever pass through. Probably a lot of low fog over rapid melt, then the next day it goes up... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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