MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Stormlover74 said: Wrong Its still nice. Just weaker than 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowguy66 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I guess they haven't seen all of the fantasy storms even a week away that don't materialize. I am hoping it happens, but I can't get excited this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: GFS is a massive snowstorm as well! Very similar to the ICON Gets going a little to Late big hit for Long Island and sent respectable for rest of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, nycsnow said: Gets going a little to Late big hit for Long Island and sent respectable for rest of us Still a nice hit. This has a chance with the decaying blocking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Wrong Big hit south and east it's very similar to Icon and a massive snowstorm for all, what's wrong with my statement stop the nitpicking at 150 hours out! Also much colder than 6z which should have better rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 12 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Wrong Big hit south and east that far out you can't take the colorful precip field seriously yet on any model especially OPS use the ensembles also a 991 in the perfect position will deliver here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 22 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Why are we even talking about starting a thread for a storm chance a week away? There is nowhere near enough agreement with the models to warrant one. This could easily turn into an apps runner by tomorrow or Wednesday. It's Monday. Storm moves in on Saturday. We have 24 model run cycles left. Someone should definitely start a thread by Wednesday at the latest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, TriPol said: It's Monday. Storm moves in on Saturday. We have 24 model run cycles left. Someone should definitely start a thread by Wednesday at the latest. its still up in the air so to say exactly when the storm will develop and reach here could be anywhere from 2/21 to 2/24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: its still up in the air so to say exactly when the storm will develop and reach here could be anywhere from 2/21 to 2/24 If 12z GFS and 12z EURO is on board... I reserve the right to respond. We need a good coastal bomb to close out this winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago CMC has a completely different setup! Doesn't develop the storm it focuses mainly on the wave coming from the lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago It’s not worth taking any of these model runs seriously until Wednesday and Thursday no matter what they show 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, TriPol said: If 12z GFS and 12z EURO is on board... I reserve the right to respond. We need a good coastal bomb to close out this winter. i think you should make the thread the storm signal is as good as it could be whether it'll be rain or snow is yet to be determined! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1.3" here overnight from .08" liquid. M.T.D. precip: .11". M.T.D. snowfall: 2.0". Click map to enlarge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 15 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: CMC has a completely different setup! Doesn't develop the storm it focuses mainly on the wave coming from the lakes CMC is too far north and west with that storm IMO and running the southern energy out way in front of it - plus it didn't catch on to the northern side dynamics of yesterdays storm till late in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 hours ago, WestBabylonWeather said: You better not start a thread I think I may have the answer to this whether or not to " start a thread " controversy = maybe Rjay can start the thread and he can title it " It's Not Coming " and we can kill 2 birds with one stone ? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 19 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: i think you should make the thread the storm signal is as good as it could be whether it'll be rain or snow is yet to be determined! We shall see what the 12z model suite has in store for us. Alternatively, I've never seen donsutherland1 start a thread before. Would love to see him start one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Uncle shows a good sized snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Ukie also a nice hit - didn't see anybody mention it. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Jt17 said: Ukie also a nice hit - didn't see anybody mention it. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: Uncle shows a good sized snowstorm Uncle ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago This weekend is probably our last shot at another snowstorm. All indices turn unfavorable after this. March looks warm, maybe very warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monty Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 8 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: Uncle ? We have renamed the UKmet after uncleweathbee 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freezing Drizzle Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 hours ago, SACRUS said: Historical Storms of note Thanks for posting the snow map for PD I, February of 1979. A bit of a "forgotten" storm from that era of scarce, big storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Euro AI shows a nice snowstorm, very similar evolution to the GFS not as robust as ICON but long lasting snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 14 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: This weekend is probably our last shot at another snowstorm. All indices turn unfavorable after this. March looks warm, maybe very warm. Maybe but always have to watch March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 8 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: Euro AI shows a nice snowstorm, very similar evolution to the GFS not as robust as ICON but long lasting snowstorm Any images of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Nice jump on euro ai 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago my question is what's stopping this from running inland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 55 minutes ago Share Posted 55 minutes ago 6 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: my question is what's stopping this from running inland? We still have some blocking 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 53 minutes ago Share Posted 53 minutes ago 13 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Any images of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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