MJO812 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, Brian5671 said: Not seeing it honestly and the seasonal trend suggests we stay on the drier side. Okay 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Are you looking at the models ? With the PNA going negative and the decaying block we should be tracking storms . Next timeframe is next week. its gonna be in the 50s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 18 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: A bit early-I think there's a shot at another 7-10 days of arctic cold and maybe we can time it with a storm but yeah the worst is over at this point-the sun feels really warm today. We have two opportunities. One as we traverse through phase 3 although may favor northern areas and one as we get back to 8 about the second week of March. Our area is slightly above average snowfall ready however would be disappointing for CPK to be under. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: We have two opportunities. One as we traverse through phase 3 although may favor northern areas and one as we get back to 8 about the second week of March. Our area is slightly above average snowfall ready however would be disappointing for CPK to be under. Accounting for the under measurements Central Park is probably around 25”. So if no more snow, would be slightly below normal. Central PA having yet another awful snow season-Williamsport at 17”. My average is probably around 35” and I have 30.5”. I’d still say it’s likely I make it to normal even if it’s scraping a couple of small events together but it’s a disappointment we couldn’t make any real snow happen since 1/25 and nothing really on the horizon. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 8 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Accounting for the under measurements Central Park is probably around 25”. So if no more snow, would be slightly below normal. Central PA having yet another awful snow season-Williamsport at 17”. My average is probably around 35” and I have 30.5”. I’d still say it’s likely I make it to normal even if it’s scraping a couple of small events together but it’s a disappointment we couldn’t make any real snow happen since 1/25 and nothing really on the horizon. Central PA will get back to the glory years snowfall wise at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cardinalland Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 it’s the zany 80s all over again. put on some van halen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: My relatives from down south, you know, Long Island, get all excited when they see them here. I tell them that they are long legged rats that eat everything, leaving raisinetes everywhere. I didn't realize there was any place free of them on LI. Can't swing a dead cat without hitting one here. And I can confirm that they shit where they sleep. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 53 minutes ago, MANDA said: Got lots of Arborvitae shrubs in my neighborhood that have offered a good supply of food this winter. Many have been totally eaten and will never come back. Not sure why people plant those shrubs in particular with the deer population being what it is. It is like fine dining to them. They ate my picnic table. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 hours ago, weatherpruf said: we've at least had a wintry look and feel. but it has been a huge let down to see nothing and at this point, i would bet against anything major happening from here on out. drought is the culprit here. better than incessant rain like 2007's la nina and pumped southeast ridge. even then we managed two sleet events. can't buy any precip right now. At least our area is in the high 20s which is normal snowfall for an entire winter. We just need one more decent event to finish with solidly above normal snowfall. Hopefully we'll get it in late February or early March. It's only February 13th, so way too early to be giving up on winter even though the next week looks milder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 51 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Are you looking at the models ? With the PNA going negative and the decaying block we should be tracking storms . Next timeframe is next week. They are too busy talking about Deer...The banter topic of the day in the wrong thread - BUT to talk some weather yes about the 20th to 22nd has to be watched - I mentioned a week or so ago that we will end up with at least 6 inches total this month 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: They are too busy talking about Deer...The banter topic of the day in the wrong thread In fairness the conversation began with a discussion of the number of days of snow cover so far this winter. I never thought deer would become the main topic, but this is how conversation goes sometimes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 5 hours ago, ILoveWinter said: Feels like we haven't had a Spring with nice long lasting ridging in quite some time! Please, that's all we normally have every season... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 51 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: its gonna be in the 50s Many of us won't hit 50, and for those that do it will most likely be one day for a couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Nice shift north for Monday on euro and euro AI. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nice shift north for Monday on euro and euro AI. I do admire your perseverance, always have, misguided though it may be at times. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 12 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: They are too busy talking about Deer...The banter topic of the day in the wrong thread - BUT to talk some weather yes about the 20th to 22nd has to be watched - I mentioned a week or so ago that we will end up with at least 6 inches total this month They think Spring is coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Euro AI again with the push north for Mondays event! Has it ever been wrong this close? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nice shift north for Monday on euro and euro AI. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 39 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Central PA will get back to the glory years snowfall wise at some point. Lol maybe it starts here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Lol maybe it starts here Blizzard Time 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 17 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nice shift north for Monday on euro and euro AI. Yeah it's worth looking at. The slight difference in phasing makes all the difference. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 10 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: Euro AI again with the push north for Mondays event! Has it ever been wrong this close? Its been so bad and inconsistent with this event I'd probably toss it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SHELEG Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Time to reopen the thread. Not sure what was the point in closing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Its been so bad and inconsistent with this event I'd probably toss it Not really it just can't figure out how much phasing happens. Other models did slowly trend towards it too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: Not seeing it honestly and the seasonal trend suggests we stay on the drier side. It should get active with gradient like pattern setting up. CPC 6-10/8-14 day agrees. How much and what (rain/snow/mix) is the question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 56 minutes ago, cardinalland said: it’s the zany 80s all over again. put on some van halen My fav band . EVH was such a beast. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 4 minutes ago, SHELEG said: Time to reopen the thread. Not sure what was the point in closing it. The "Its Not Coming" Thread is still open - reply in there-lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, SnoSki14 said: It should get active with gradient like pattern setting up. CPC 6-10/8-14 day agrees. How much and what (rain/snow/mix) is the question Plenty of cold enough air up north and every one of the previous storms drags some more down here - would be funny if this month ends up like last waiting till the last week to deliver..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 hour ago, Freezing Drizzle said: Desperate, deer will nibble on just about any foliage, including tender tips of branches. The weaker deer die off. When I was a kid, while driving to Pennsylvania to visit relatives, we'd say, "Ooh, look, deer!" We don't say that anymore. They live in the marshes and woods in parts of Woodbridge, Edison, and Sayreville Townships. Some wander into the outskirts of Perth Amboy. My cousin near Lebanon, NJ has so much deer scat on his back lawn that it's almost unusable for activities. yes, my late sister was a resident at the developmental center in hunterdon; which was considered state of the art when it opened in 1968....we used to see deer out there when i was a kid; around 1996 i started seeing them in rahway near the river; now i have them eating off my lawn; i saw a bunch on a guy's front lawn yesterday near metropark; they are all over menlo and woodbridge malls, and staten island; they swim across the arthur kill. but we also have foxes and coyotes now; the coyotes are not true coyotes; they are a mix of wolf, coyote and dog....this is what the dna tells us; the loss of wolves meant females took up with male coyotes out of need. and how dogs got in the mix well, you can imagine.....the cartoonist Larson had many comics with wolves and dogs....also to be found in the area parks are bald eagles, and i was startled by one at menlo a few years back, and the red tail and cooper hawks feed off the pigeons and rats there... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 minutes ago, Neblizzard said: My fav band . EVH was such a beast. but who was better...sammy or david lee? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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