MANDA Posted Tuesday at 04:11 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:11 PM 1 minute ago, SACRUS said: 1/27 12z GFS ACY white out Heads up... this map is MM, not inches of QPF. 25 mm = 1". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Tuesday at 04:11 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:11 PM GGEM out to 72 v Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted Tuesday at 04:12 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:12 PM 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: 50-75 miles further NW would do it. Right where you want the GFS at this lead time! Yup. Let's hope the euro an CMC show something similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted Tuesday at 04:14 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:14 PM CMC looks good so far! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Tuesday at 04:14 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:14 PM We don’t need much. I wouldn’t be discounting anything until probably Thu night. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted Tuesday at 04:14 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:14 PM I'll be in AC this weekend for the indoor midget auto races in Boardwalk Hall. Bring it on. We've had 2 blizzards at this event since the early 2000s. 2022 was fun. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Tuesday at 04:14 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:14 PM 2 minutes ago, MANDA said: Heads up... this map is MM, not inches of QPF. 25 mm = 1". Not sure why it switched from the atlantic view - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Tuesday at 04:17 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:17 PM 2 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Not sure why it switched from the atlantic view - And considering there’s almost always a northernmost fluff band with these, this might be good on its own for warning snow into NYC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted Tuesday at 04:18 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:18 PM cmc will be out to sea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted Tuesday at 04:19 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:19 PM 5 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said: I'll be in AC this weekend for the indoor midget auto races in Boardwalk Hall. Bring it on. We've had 2 blizzards at this event since the early 2000s. 2022 was fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted Tuesday at 04:20 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:20 PM Just now, Franklin0529 said: 5 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said: I'll be in AC this weekend for the indoor midget auto races in Boardwalk Hall. Bring it on. We've had 2 blizzards at this event since the early 2000s. 2022 was fun. Expand Got family in Galloway an beach house In ocean City Maryland. Keeping my options open for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Tuesday at 04:20 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:20 PM 1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: cmc will be out to sea convective feedback issues-2 lows showing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East of the Parkway Posted Tuesday at 04:20 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:20 PM 5 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said: I'll be in AC this weekend for the indoor midget auto races in Boardwalk Hall. Bring it on. We've had 2 blizzards at this event since the early 2000s. 2022 was fun. I saw those guys at House of Indy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted Tuesday at 04:21 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:21 PM If you go back and look at the 00z run from 1/22 of the Euro which was a huge hit, the kicker was way up in Central Canada and it was much slower to occlude. All I will say is, that piece that becomes the kicker is currently over the NW Pacific Ocean, somewhere between Japan and the Aleutian Islands. I doubt the models have a good handle on it. It won’t even be on land (North America) until Friday. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted Tuesday at 04:22 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:22 PM 3 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: cmc will be out to sea Not quite. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted Tuesday at 04:23 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:23 PM edit: it's a decent hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Tuesday at 04:24 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:24 PM 5 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: cmc will be out to sea Close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Tuesday at 04:24 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:24 PM Common theme on the 12z cycle: The GFS and GGEM have brought the precipitation farther north and west. It's too soon to write off the storm for the NYC area and especially Long Island. Details still can't be resolved reliably this far out. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. T. Posted Tuesday at 04:27 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:27 PM Last Miller A storm that I can remember that had connective feedback issues...oh boy. This could definitely go further west, but have to see how the heights and high link up. Interesting storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Tuesday at 04:28 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:28 PM 1/27 12z GGEM Total QPF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted Tuesday at 04:28 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:28 PM For anyone doing PBPs that aren't seasoned at this, let's hold off on pronouncements until it's obvious how the model run is progressing. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted Tuesday at 04:30 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:30 PM UKIE not looking good. flatter and further east through 96hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted Tuesday at 04:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:34 PM UKIE is a stevie wonder size whiff 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted Tuesday at 04:36 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:36 PM 7 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 1/27 12z GGEM Total QPF That's over a foot for coastal NJ and LI. Ratios will be high. Temps in the teens-low 20s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted Tuesday at 04:41 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:41 PM After the plow-ins I had to remove this weekend+, I’m ok with MMU having a moderate snowstorm. Putting that out into the universe.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregRups21 Posted Tuesday at 04:42 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:42 PM Probably want to be careful with expecting high ratios with a bombing costal. Could fracture the snow flakes . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted Tuesday at 04:43 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:43 PM From NE folk: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted Tuesday at 04:52 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:52 PM 8 minutes ago, Metasequoia said: From NE folk: That's a lot of leans to the left 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted Tuesday at 04:56 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:56 PM Gefs were good but 6z was better 12z AIGFS Did trend better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted Tuesday at 04:57 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:57 PM 13 minutes ago, Metasequoia said: From NE folk: Lean left, left! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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