The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[CaryWx]

NAM is the first of the 0z suite.  I wouldn't just toss it yet.

[franklin NCwx]

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

If the flipped what the 18Z Euro and NAM are showing it might be alarming 

The WRAL model is the only one to trust

[SEwakenosnowforu]

1 minute ago, PackGrad05 said:

Ignore that blip. No way it is that accurate with that little nook. Wake would be higher


.

That's lame

[WXNewton]

NBM...

[WXNewton]

Nam, 3km looked to be on track for a much better run than 12km.

[Regan]

That Nam run odd. Like someone closed their eyes with a paint brush. Some for you. None for you. You?  Well here. Have this. There. You in the middle. Here’s an inch because Brick lives there. Nah. Don’t buy it. 

[NC US Geological Survice]

A noob-meister here seeking the best spot forecast for way out on Hatteras Island, OBX. My parents are getting down there Friday afternoon and I'm wondering 1) is it more rain or snow for Frisco et al. (I've seen the gambit either way) and 2) how likely are they to lose power?

[wncsnow]

ICON looking much better this run 

[Tony Sisk]

1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said:

Remember this is only 10:1. So it would be more for sure!

1.1” would be a huge letdown for GSP

[kvegas-wx]

Odd request, but can someone post the temps this weekend across Florida?  I have a bunch of equipment down there that may need to be heated/winterized.  I'm seeing flurries down to Fort Myers?!?

[Blacksburg Coach]

I still think this thing comes through the Pamlico sound.

[NC US Geological Survice]

2 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

Odd request, but can someone post the temps this weekend across Florida?  I have a bunch of equipment down there that may need to be heated/winterized.  I'm seeing flurries down to Fort Myers?!?

For the Friday-Saturday:

[Blacksburg Coach]

3 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

Odd request, but can someone post the temps this weekend across Florida?  I have a bunch of equipment down there that may need to be heated/winterized.  I'm seeing flurries down to Fort Myers?!?

Lowest I could find

[CentralNC]

3 minutes ago, Blacksburg Coach said:

I still think this thing comes through the Pamlico sound.

I'll be delighted if it does...

[Orange county]

1 minute ago, CentralNC said:

I'll be delighted if it does...

Might be bad for Oriental

[BornAgain13]

Icon looked good for most of North Carolina but wow what a brutal cut off to the north...Lynchburg hardly gets anything. 

[kvegas-wx]

2 minutes ago, Blacksburg Coach said:

Lowest I could find

Well dang, takes a dump Saturday night.  Thank you sir!  I'll make calls in the morning.  Unreal!

[kvegas-wx]

3 minutes ago, NC US Geological Survice said:

For the Friday-Saturday:

I appreciate you!

[USCG RS]

28 minutes ago, UnionCountyNCWX said:

Oh so we're back to the "Oh that run wasnt good we toss" part of the storm lol

When are we ever not at that part of the storm?

25 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

It doesn’t have any other model support. Why wouldn’t you toss it?

Unfortunately when looking at the synoptic pattern, it is a real possibility. This LP could rather easily be punted East, especially with the baroclynic set up near the Bahamas and the confluence at play. I am not saying its correct, just saying, see what the rest of the suite does. Also, I believe it has some of the drop sonde data. Of course, grain of salt and watch the patterns emerge as well as what the rest of the suite does, but I would not simply toss. 

22 minutes ago, CaryWx said:

NAM is the first of the 0z suite.  I wouldn't just toss it yet.

Yes. 

[BornAgain13]

0z RGEM is a big hit!

[Buddy1987]

6 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Icon looked good for most of North Carolina but wow what a brutal cut off to the north...Lynchburg hardly gets anything. 

The Icon has been HORRIFIC the last couple days and pretty much it’s whole existence/inception. 

[Regan]

2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

0z RGEM is a big hit!

I’d buy this and not the 0z Nam with the tiny wake bubble. 

[BornAgain13]

End of the FV3 looked good!

[wncsnow]

[timnc910]

Hr 84 on the RGEM

 

[lilj4425]

 

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

More proof that the NAM is out to lunch. 

[Snowncanes]

One thing Ive noticed is the models are having a very hard time figuring out where this surface low consolidates. The rgem has literally 6 different LP mins simultaneously. Precip shield will respond to whichever it can consolidate around, but I doubt there will be 6.

[PeeDeeWx]

13 minutes ago, NC US Geological Survice said:

For the Friday-Saturday:

Why is there a wiener in our snow thread?

[JoshM]

1 minute ago, PeeDeeWx said:

Why is there a wiener in our snow thread?

 

[Blacksburg Coach]