The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[lilj4425]

I look around and I see potential. Oh and I bring the mojo.  

[kvegas-wx]

Oh dear lord.  Here we go.  (Grabs bootstraps and checks on stock of caffienated beverages)

[WXNewton]

My Fitbit said I averaged 4hrs and 21 minutes of sleep for the past week, I guess that explains the dark circles around my eyes. The things we do to chase a winter storm potential, most people don't understand why we do what we do. It's great to have a community with other folks like myself that I can relate to and share the same passion with!

[AirNelson39]

[ADB83]

I don’t have access to it but apparently NextWeather 2.0 also shows storm potential. Doing this an hour after the huge snowstorm that turned into some sleet just got finished with is extra sick, which is why I love it

[olafminesaw]

18 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

Oh dear lord.  Here we go.  (Grabs bootstraps and checks on stock of caffienated beverages)

Don't need caffeine if we can reel in more runs like the one above

[BooneWX]

Two different camps right now. Late bloomer or an earlier phase. Ik which camp I’m in but I also know which camp everyone down east will be in. Could also just be a snow event for Hudson Bay, so we’ll watch. 

[GaWx]

 Bet the NW trend and a lot of it while you’re at it. It did it for these last 2 storms and for many over the years. It’s already been doing it today at least on the EPS, and thus there’s no reason to think it won’t keep going NW. It’s an inherent problem with about all of the models. A pro met, Brad Harvey, told me he thinks the SE model bias is at least partially related to the W Pac warm pool.

 Hopefully it won’t trend too far NW and take ATL out of snow because I may visit there next weekend to see it and some of my ATL peeps while I’m there. Looking at how much it trended NW in just the last 18 hours, there’s plenty of time (6-7 days) for ATL to be taken out of snow potential.

 For example, check out the NW trend of the MOGREPS (UKMET ensemble) mean within just a 12 hour span. This will be way inland of the SE US if this speed of NW trend keeps up for just another couple of days. It will probably slow down and it may tick the other way temporarily, but this is not a good sign though it’s hardly surprising:

 

[BornAgain13]

0z GFS was very close. Booms late and hammers eastern NC after some moderate snow over the piedmont. 

[BornAgain13]

Foot plus In eastern NC. Step in the right direction on the GFS 

[kvegas-wx]

3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Foot plus In eastern NC. Step in the right direction on the GFS 

One thing I am confident of....nobody on this board is losing sleep over 12z runs until Thursday night. Many lessons learned I think.

[BornAgain13]

0z CMC is close but hammers the coast to!

[JoshM]

6 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

One thing I am confident of....nobody on this board is losing sleep over 12z runs until Thursday night. Many lessons learned I think.

[BornAgain13]

Blizzard on the 0z cmc for the coast

[BornAgain13]

UK looks good! Snow breaking out late Friday into Saturday 

[BornAgain13]

0z UK for Saturday 

[sarcean]

15 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

One thing I am confident of....nobody on this board is losing sleep over 12z runs until Thursday night. Many lessons learned I think.

Wrong. Already telling everyone 6 inches is on the way here next weekend 

[NC_hailstorm]

Seems like all the models are following Google Boy now.  

[Anonmet_GSO]

The correct name is WeatherNext 2 

https://deepmind.google/science/weathernext/

[BornAgain13]

Good run incoming on the 0Z GEFS

[chris624wx]

If the NW trend doesn't go crazy, this is how we can get a big snow in NE NC/SE VA! (see last winter)

[cbmclean]

The sad fact is that me being in the bullseye 6 days out means I am likely already out of the game.

[BornAgain13]

0z GEFS 

[NC_hailstorm]

Phased bomb on the Euro tonight..good grief.  

[BlueRidge18]

[Huriken]

1 hour ago, cbmclean said:

The sad fact is that me being in the bullseye 6 days out means I am likely already out of the game.

Yeah, I don't like being in the bullseye at this stage. But hey, at least we can gawk at the pretty snow maps for the next few days.

[lilj4425]

52 minutes ago, NC_hailstorm said:

Phased bomb on the Euro tonight..good grief.  

What can I say? I bring the mojo. The Euro loves me.