February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post

[stormtracker]

Euro is a big ol' rainstorm with a smidge of front in for the NW and backend for all.  It's 90% rain tho

[mitchnick]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Euro is a big ol' rainstorm

No shock in light of the Ukie as they seem to think alike.

[NorthArlington101]

Euro is a big ol' rainstorm

I think it might at least start as snow but the WxBell temp maps aren’t out all the way 

Edit: sooo close at 850 and 925. Probably rain for most but n md

[BTRWx's Thanks Giving]

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Euro is a big ol' rainstorm with a smidge of front in for the NW and backend for all.  It's 90% rain tho

Expected with a tanking PNA. 

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z GEFS: most members still a miss but we hang out for another run!

[Terpeast]

12z euro suite says Chuck’s right

[87storms]

I’ll be the guy that says I’m perfectly ok with a temporary warmup and rainer to clear up this snowcrete. Clean the slate for our March nor’easter. That said, this has probably been the least productive cold winter I’ve ever experienced. How we’ve been unable to cash in on a single, flush hit snowstorm is worthy of scientific research.

[Maestrobjwa]

13 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

No shock in light of the Ukie as they seem to think alike.

And the AI seems to predict what the Euro will do too. Darn...

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, 87storms said:

I’ll be the guy that says I’m perfectly ok with a temporary warmup and rainer to clear up this snowcrete. Clean the slate for our March nor’easter. That said, this has probably been the least productive cold winter I’ve ever experienced. How we’ve been unable to cash in on a single, flush hit snowstorm is worthy of scientific research.

The snowcrete is about as flush of a hit as we usually see during a Nina. I wouldn't kick the last 2-3 weeks of sustained snow pack with frigid temps out of bed

[Maestrobjwa]

You know what...I'm kinda glad the Euro showed what it did. Keeps us from getting too high on this too soon, lol

[Ji]

Euro is sleet

[Weather Will]

With marginal temps, we will need a near perfect track.  Compare low positions for the snowy ICON and GFS compared to the rainy EURO and Can. WB 0Z Mon.

[Chris78]

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

The snowcrete is about as flush of a hit as we usually see during a Nina. I wouldn't kick the last 2-3 weeks of sustained snow pack with frigid temps out of bed

It really wasn't a flush hit though. If we didn't have historic cold it would of been a big old Rainer. It amplified so far west were lucky we got any snow out of it.

[Maestrobjwa]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

Euro is sleet

Concrete...or perhaps consleet 

[87storms]

5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

The snowcrete is about as flush of a hit as we usually see during a Nina. I wouldn't kick the last 2-3 weeks of sustained snow pack with frigid temps out of bed

That was a flush hit of 6 hrs of snow followed by 10 hrs of sleet. If that ends up being our flagship storm in a winter that was generally cold from start to finish, then I want my money back lol. I don’t think we’re done, though…not as long as we keep getting these outrageous cold shots.

[CAPE]

Just now, Ji said:

Euro is sleet

All we need is the surface low to exit the coast at Norfolk instead of tracking over the mouth of the bay to OC. Not a big ask. See what Chuck thinks. 

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, 87storms said:

That was a flush hit of 6 hrs of snow followed by 10 hrs of sleet. If that ends up being out flagship storm in a winter that was generally cold from start to finish, then I want my money back lol. I don’t think we’re done, though…not as long as we keep getting these outrageous cold shots.

Yeah but don't forget what we usually get in Ninas. How often does it snow 6-7" at ALL in a nina?

[bncho]

big storm for boston, there is some back end snow too for some of us

[mitchnick]

If you factor in the Euro's proclivity to over amplify at this range and consider the seasonal trend as exhibited on the Gfs suite, I'd say you have the Icon solution.

[Weather Will]

Add the WB GDPS Para to the snowy side at 12Z.  Low track positions 0Z and 18Z Mon.

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, mitchnick said:

If you factor in the Euro's proclivity to over amplify at this range and consider the seasonal trend as exhibited on the Gfs suite, I'd say you have the Icon solution.

Interested to see the spread on the eps

[stormtracker]

Yall know this is 180 hours + out.  You know there are going to be some runs between now and then that are going to be flush hits, right?

[TSSN+]

Rather have it show something than not so it’s something to watch. 

[NorthArlington101]

CMC Para 10:1 (paste bomb so Kuchera hates it)

[Weather Will]

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Yall know this is 180 hours + out.  You know there are going to be some runs between now and then that are going to be flush hits, right?

If Dr. No gives us a flush hit, the board will crash!

[Climate175]

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

CMC Para 10:1 (paste bomb so Kuchera hates it)

What a gradient! 

[87storms]

8 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Yeah but don't forget what we usually get in Ninas. How often does it snow 6-7" at ALL in a nina?

I don’t know what to think anymore…hence the reason I said scientific research is needed lol. Is it too warm? Well it’s been pretty cold. Is it too dry? Well we had 2” of qpf from our snowcrete event. Are we just too far south? Well Charlotte got 10” recently and Roanoke is the new snow capital of our region lol. I still think the main issue is that it’s just been too dry overall…simply not enough chances to even get a storm. So if that’s due to a Nina, then it’s been very pervasive the last few years.

[NorthArlington101]

AIFS ens are close… 

[Paleocene]

Low positions on the EPS aren't bad. You can see how the operational euro was well NW of this mean. Temps marginal, better for NW, like the rest of the 12z of all models. Well, I've been reeled in by the trends of the last 4 runs; time to pay attention for the next day or two

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

The pendulum continues!