stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Euro is a big ol' rainstorm with a smidge of front in for the NW and backend for all. It's 90% rain tho 2 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, stormtracker said: Euro is a big ol' rainstorm No shock in light of the Ukie as they seem to think alike. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Euro is a big ol' rainstorm I think it might at least start as snow but the WxBell temp maps aren’t out all the way Edit: sooo close at 850 and 925. Probably rain for most but n md Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Euro is a big ol' rainstorm with a smidge of front in for the NW and backend for all. It's 90% rain tho Expected with a tanking PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 WB 12Z GEFS: most members still a miss but we hang out for another run! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 12z euro suite says Chuck’s right 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I’ll be the guy that says I’m perfectly ok with a temporary warmup and rainer to clear up this snowcrete. Clean the slate for our March nor’easter. That said, this has probably been the least productive cold winter I’ve ever experienced. How we’ve been unable to cash in on a single, flush hit snowstorm is worthy of scientific research. 1 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 13 minutes ago, mitchnick said: No shock in light of the Ukie as they seem to think alike. And the AI seems to predict what the Euro will do too. Darn... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, 87storms said: I’ll be the guy that says I’m perfectly ok with a temporary warmup and rainer to clear up this snowcrete. Clean the slate for our March nor’easter. That said, this has probably been the least productive cold winter I’ve ever experienced. How we’ve been unable to cash in on a single, flush hit snowstorm is worthy of scientific research. The snowcrete is about as flush of a hit as we usually see during a Nina. I wouldn't kick the last 2-3 weeks of sustained snow pack with frigid temps out of bed 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 You know what...I'm kinda glad the Euro showed what it did. Keeps us from getting too high on this too soon, lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Euro is sleet 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 With marginal temps, we will need a near perfect track. Compare low positions for the snowy ICON and GFS compared to the rainy EURO and Can. WB 0Z Mon. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: The snowcrete is about as flush of a hit as we usually see during a Nina. I wouldn't kick the last 2-3 weeks of sustained snow pack with frigid temps out of bed It really wasn't a flush hit though. If we didn't have historic cold it would of been a big old Rainer. It amplified so far west were lucky we got any snow out of it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, Ji said: Euro is sleet Concrete...or perhaps consleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: The snowcrete is about as flush of a hit as we usually see during a Nina. I wouldn't kick the last 2-3 weeks of sustained snow pack with frigid temps out of bed That was a flush hit of 6 hrs of snow followed by 10 hrs of sleet. If that ends up being our flagship storm in a winter that was generally cold from start to finish, then I want my money back lol. I don’t think we’re done, though…not as long as we keep getting these outrageous cold shots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, Ji said: Euro is sleet All we need is the surface low to exit the coast at Norfolk instead of tracking over the mouth of the bay to OC. Not a big ask. See what Chuck thinks. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, 87storms said: That was a flush hit of 6 hrs of snow followed by 10 hrs of sleet. If that ends up being out flagship storm in a winter that was generally cold from start to finish, then I want my money back lol. I don’t think we’re done, though…not as long as we keep getting these outrageous cold shots. Yeah but don't forget what we usually get in Ninas. How often does it snow 6-7" at ALL in a nina? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 big storm for boston, there is some back end snow too for some of us 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 If you factor in the Euro's proclivity to over amplify at this range and consider the seasonal trend as exhibited on the Gfs suite, I'd say you have the Icon solution. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 Add the WB GDPS Para to the snowy side at 12Z. Low track positions 0Z and 18Z Mon. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, mitchnick said: If you factor in the Euro's proclivity to over amplify at this range and consider the seasonal trend as exhibited on the Gfs suite, I'd say you have the Icon solution. Interested to see the spread on the eps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Yall know this is 180 hours + out. You know there are going to be some runs between now and then that are going to be flush hits, right? 2 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Rather have it show something than not so it’s something to watch. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 CMC Para 10:1 (paste bomb so Kuchera hates it) 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yall know this is 180 hours + out. You know there are going to be some runs between now and then that are going to be flush hits, right? If Dr. No gives us a flush hit, the board will crash! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: CMC Para 10:1 (paste bomb so Kuchera hates it) What a gradient! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 8 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah but don't forget what we usually get in Ninas. How often does it snow 6-7" at ALL in a nina? I don’t know what to think anymore…hence the reason I said scientific research is needed lol. Is it too warm? Well it’s been pretty cold. Is it too dry? Well we had 2” of qpf from our snowcrete event. Are we just too far south? Well Charlotte got 10” recently and Roanoke is the new snow capital of our region lol. I still think the main issue is that it’s just been too dry overall…simply not enough chances to even get a storm. So if that’s due to a Nina, then it’s been very pervasive the last few years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 AIFS ens are close… 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Low positions on the EPS aren't bad. You can see how the operational euro was well NW of this mean. Temps marginal, better for NW, like the rest of the 12z of all models. Well, I've been reeled in by the trends of the last 4 runs; time to pay attention for the next day or two 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The pendulum continues! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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