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OBS: 1/25-26 Snow/Sleet


jm1220
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Just now, SACRUS said:


12/ 8 mostly snow here w/ some IP

 

about 7.5 on the ground on 0.38 LE.  Seems like 0.75 - 1.00 more to go which might be primarily sleet here so a total of 8 - 10/11 of accumulation and by that point concrete

 

Gotta love sleet mixing in when it's 12 degrees :arrowhead:

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2 minutes ago, oceanctyguy said:

Huge temperature gradient. Close 32 along NJ south coast already. Looking like some plain rain in my future unless Temps crash.

Screenshot_20260125_115730_Chrome.jpg

The coastal front is developing it seems. Places like the bronx and northern Manhattan stay frozen,mix briefly back to snow. East of that coastal front ice/rain.

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3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

G_hiWmiWwAAkYwc.jpg


 

Mesoscale Discussion 0058
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1055 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

   Areas affected...northern Pennsylvania...southern New
   York...northern New Jersey...Connecticut...Rhode Island...and
   southern Massachusetts.

   Concerning...Heavy snow 

   Valid 251655Z - 252100Z

   SUMMARY...Heavy snowfall is expected through the afternoon with
   rates up to 2 inches per hour.

   DISCUSSION...Widespread heavy snow is already ongoing across
   Pennsylvania and New Jersey this morning. This heavy snow will shift
   northeast through the afternoon. In addition, very heavy rates are
   expected to develop across far southeast New York, Connecticut, and
   Rhode Island. In this region, very strong 700mb frontogenesis is
   forecast between 18Z and 21Z amid strong isentropic ascent. 

   In addition, amid strong warm-air advection, the transition zone
   from snow to sleet is moving rapidly north across eastern
   Pennsylvania and New Jersey (as sampled by KDOX Correlation
   Coefficient). Expect this transition zone to continue to advect
   north during the early afternoon before stalling near the
   Connecticut shore by mid-afternoon.
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6 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Gotta love sleet mixing in when it's 12 degrees :arrowhead:

Another reason I'd be surprised if it goes to all sleet even once mixing starts, I'm sure its possible but can't remember too many times at least near the coast when it's been in the teens and pure sustained sleet. Maybe valentines day 2007 but even that was probably in the 20s?

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1 minute ago, Winterweatherlover said:

Another reason I'd be surprised if it goes to all sleet even once mixing starts, I'm sure its possible but can't remember too many times at least near the coast when it's been in the teens and pure sustained sleet. Maybe valentines day 2007 but even that was probably in the 20s?

Surface temp has nothing to do with sleet

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Just now, Prue11 said:

Surface temp has nothing to do with sleet

I know it doesn't and I've said that I'm just saying I haven't recalled many experiences where this dynamic has happened. So either I think maybe we warm into the 20s or the upper levels wont be as warm as modeled. I also realize this is not a normal storm by any means though.

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2 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

Another reason I'd be surprised if it goes to all sleet even once mixing starts, I'm sure its possible but can't remember too many times at least near the coast when it's been in the teens and pure sustained sleet. Maybe valentines day 2007 but even that was probably in the 20s?

They had heavy sleet in Arkansas last night at 3 degrees

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Just now, Prue11 said:

They had heavy sleet in Arkansas last night at 3 degrees

Yea inland it happens a lot, when I lived in the HV i remember blasting sleet at 19 degrees, I just don't remember it happening often near the coast because rarely do you get that dramatic upper level vs surface divide near the ocean. 

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