Go Kart Mozart Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 I didn't love the 500mb evolution on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Yea. Smell it, sniff it…then collect some more on the backside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Well that's the last time I root for EMASS or north of the pike lmao , celebrating our sleet down here massholes lol.. crazy how even though it taints when we slot we still get 12-16" easily with those ratios .. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: I couid see 15-20 mph but that’s not a biggie . Just don’t want patches of wind blown grass which I’ve seen here in blizzards I hear ya... I have so much wind that it is a rare storm that doesn't strip a quarter of my property clean... Meanwhile big drifts elsewhere...out road drifts over enough that they leave a payloader parked up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. Smell it, sniff it…then collect some more on the backside. I'd prefer it to stay in the sound 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Seems to exit stage right quicker?Only hr84, here is the 500mb and 850mb vort, coastal could still ramp upSent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Well that's the last time I root for EMASS or north of the pike lmao , celebrating our sleet down here massholes lol.. crazy how even though it taints when we slot we still get 12-16" easily with those ratios .. I was intrigued by the 500 trough at hr 84. No doubt it would invigorate the low a bit later in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 That initial thump is going to have widespread 1" - 2" per hour rates. Do not travel type stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrangeCTWX Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NAM juiced AF. Almost taints S coast of CT and RI. Meh it’s like 12 hours of snow before the sleet line makes it here, and at that time we are about to dry slot anyways. It’s like a SWFE as others have stated but we should have a lot more hours of snow before it possibly changes over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 The initial s/w rips sp far NW which helps bring the warmer air aloft in despite the low so far south. A very tilted low for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I was intrigued by the 500 trough at hr 84. No doubt it would invigorate the low a bit later in the morning. no doubt, can't complain too much about that outcome, we'd pound for a while before mixing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: I'd prefer it to stay in the sound Well yea but that would crank post slot so I don’t mind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, OrangeCTWX said: Meh it’s like 12 hours of snow before the sleet line makes it here, and at that time we are about to dry slot anyways. It’s like a SWFE as others have stated but we should have a lot more hours of snow before it possibly changes over. First "meh" of the night, everybody drink. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: no doubt, can't complain too much about that outcome, we'd pound for a while before mixing If that even happens. It is the nam towards the end of its run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said: Meh it’s like 12 hours of snow before the sleet line makes it here, and at that time we are about to dry slot anyways. It’s like a SWFE as others have stated but we should have a lot more hours of snow before it possibly changes over. 12 hours of mod to heavy snow , I'll take that all day, this is a juiced SWFE, then a chance of more snow after a dry slot .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 6 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: In Clinton at 350ASL. Any particular benefits of this location regarding snowfall? Also start time of significant snow? I would want to be above 500', but especially 700'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 6 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: I didn't love the 500mb evolution on the NAM. I did. It Showed more potential with the CCB imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 I did. It Showed more potential with the CCB imo. Yeah, no doubt a coastal low or strong CCB cranks up mid morning Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 7 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: First "meh" of the night, everybody drink. He was "meh"ing the impact of mixing, though.....doesn't count. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: First "meh" of the night, everybody drink. It's mehmbogenesis, baby! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 That run would shorten the period of deep max DGZ for many too. It’s probably just the NAM doing its own synoptic things rather than nailing the mid level warming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 BTW, last night and today was def a net-gainer for me....the 2" of fluff hardly melted with a high of 43.9 and low dews. Will do a pre-storm depth measurement later this weekend, but must be at least 6" still. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msg112469 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 hours ago, Masswx said: This is absolutely the right idea! The CF between 128 and 495 and another front hanging back a bit in western Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Well that's the last time I root for EMASS or north of the pike lmao , celebrating our sleet down here massholes lol.. crazy how even though it taints when we slot we still get 12-16" easily with those ratios .. Isn’t there always a southern adjustment to show time usually?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, msg112469 said: This is absolutely the right idea! The CF between 128 and 495 and another front hanging back a bit in western Mass. That's more upslope than a front....only issue I have with it is I would have included East slopes or ORH hills and Monadnocks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: BTW, last night and today was def a net-gainer for me....the 2" of fluff hardly melted with a high of 43.9 and low dews. Will do a pre-storm depth measurement later this weekend, but must be at least 6" still. Areas that weren't sun soaked still have 3-4" here too. Despite all that time above 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, Spaizzo said: Isn’t there always a southern adjustment to show time usually? . Not with SWFEs usually....if there is, it doesn't work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, Spaizzo said: Isn’t there always a southern adjustment to show time usually? . messenger shuffle, but it's not always its works in mysterious ways 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I nailed this +TNH, but kicking myself for not pegging the KU window in latter January as opposed to the slight chance in early December. Early March one I am fine with, but Jan 2022 was one of my primary analogs....I also wanted to use Feb 2015 bc it was THE BEST QBO/solar match and this La Niña has a warm subsurface, but I left it out because it was warm ENSO. Nice call, Steve....doesn't matter how well I do, something could alway be better. I'm done refraining from including opposite ENSO state if they are strong in other areas, assuming a modest ENSO event. nah, you pretty much nailed this period, anyone who can see teles and so on could see that post 1/17ish was going to be a good opportunity for so good stuff, but a KU I was hoping not positive, also we still have until around the second week of Feb with a decent pattern imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 The 0z NAM was a definite improvement qpf-wise from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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