WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 18z AI looks good though my snowmap may be conservative for upstate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Garbage model, totally out to lunch. Toss. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, Winter Wizard said: Garbage model, totally out to lunch. Toss. Always does this with snowstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Always does this with snowstorms Its own AI is north. Just seems like typical GFS shenanigans at play. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 All modeling shows a nice wrap around/ backlash / hang back all day Monday into Monday night. That alone will add 2-4+ more in addition 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: The Euro ripping in dry air at 500 (maybe that’s above everything and doesn’t matter) and the 750 and 800 center taking a trip to Montreal just don’t scream widespread 12”+ to me. 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro has the 850 low into NY state with the 850 WF just off south coast. You want 12”+ then you really want to see closed 850 to our south. Not always the case…but it’s something to keep in mind and a reality check. agree 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Gfs looks great…not the model you want to show clean phasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 By comparison, good bump north on the GFS AISent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 That 18z GFS was a reality check, Was trending towards the other guidance then puked all over itself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 That 18z GFS was a reality check, Was trending towards the other guidance then puked all over itself.Ens going to be telling thereSent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, Prismshine Productions said: Ens going to be telling there Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk On the phone so can’t do comparisons but my thinking is it had less or no phase. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GEFS north of 12z through hr96 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GEFS north of 12z through hr96Yep was just looking at that too, OP soldSent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: On the phone so can’t do comparisons but my thinking is it had less or no phase. Northern stream didn’t phase in and actually kept pace and interfered with the leading southern energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 27 minutes ago, Winter Wizard said: Garbage model, totally out to lunch. Toss. Pretty sure it didn’t latch onto Feb ‘13 until the day of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 No bueno 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GEFS trended better op tossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Ensembles ticked better, OP was just the trashcan Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 18z CMC only goes out to hr 84 but definitely more amped compared to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 18z CMC only goes out to hr 84 but definitely more amped compared to 12z 12z brought sleet to NYC and coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 12z brought sleet to NYC and coast yup see what the Euro does in about 30 minutes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 AI GFS ENS coming in north of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 18z GEFS looking better than OP (and also the 12z GEFS) makes it even easier to toss that 18z OP GFS run. We were tossing it anyway, but now it's more of a violent toss. 1 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 12z brought sleet to NYC and coast Ugh not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 12z was further south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Ugh not good. Hope it’s not congrats dendrite by Friday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, Johnno said: Hope it’s not congrats dendrite by Friday Yeah I am in complete shock that it went from congrats Delmarva to touching the sleet line in 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 12z brought sleet to NYC and coast Here is the comparison, 18z on bottom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, Prismshine Productions said: Here is the comparison, 18z on top Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk 18z is on the bottom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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