January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential

[Hurricane Agnes]

18z GFSes (total qpf) - 

[MickeyTim6533]

Glad to have joined this site, excited about this storm and all the insight on here from everyone!

[The Iceman]

21z NBM from the MA thread

 

[Ralph Wiggum]

18z euro continues to slowwwly shave snowfall amounts near i95 and introduce more sleet and ice.

18z euro ai took an appreciable jog N.

Need the bleeding to stop soon. 

 

 

[CoolHandMike]

54 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said:

Glad to have joined this site, excited about this storm and all the insight on here from everyone!

Welcome, neighbor!

[Newman]

19 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

18z euro continues to slowwwly shave snowfall amounts near i95 and introduce more sleet and ice.

18z euro ai took an appreciable jog N.

Need the bleeding to stop soon. 

 

 

Starting to get concerned about the way this is evolving, but would love to get through the next 0z and 12z runs to hopefully tick back south. There's no breathing room anymore for I-95 and Philly crew, and teetering on the edge for Lehigh Valley. No reason anyone should cliff jump yet though, we haven't even gotten into the NAM range

[Kevin Reilly]

14 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

18z euro continues to slowwwly shave snowfall amounts near i95 and introduce more sleet and ice.

18z euro ai took an appreciable jog N.

Need the bleeding to stop soon. 

 

 

If I had to make forecast right now I’d say 6-10” along 95 areas with a change over to sleet and freezing rain towards the end of the storm.  
 

NE Maryland 8-12” before flip to sleet and Frz Rain 
 

South Jersey 5-8” before flip 

Right at the beaches 4-6” before flip to sleet freezing rain then just rain. 

Chester Bucks Montgomery Counties:

10-15” some sleet may mix in at times 

I think our max amounts as of right now is 16” favored northwestern Chester Bucks Montgomery Counties. 
 

Poconos 10” 

 

 

 

[Ralph Wiggum]

Hurricane Schwartz posted a couple videos on social media. Common sense stuff...ignore the social media clickbait hype, dont trust anyone putting number amounts out yet at this range.

He went onto add how well the euro ai and their ens have been verifying since early last summer essentially leading the way in model guidance.

He then said this is actually an easy storm to forecast believe it or not, and will come down to i95 basically being the demarcation for the farthest n and w the mix will generally get with big amounts just to the left of that zone.