Winterweatherlover Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 2 minutes ago, eduggs said: Right now the model consensus has the dividing line between big snows and more modest snow accumulations plus sleet from extreme northern Morris County through northern Passaic, Rockland, northern Westchester, and northern Fairfield. Right now I would take the under on double digit amounts south of this line. Hopefully the last two model runs and then nowcasting shift that line south a bit. Shocking that it's pretty much the I287 corridor........ at least in NJ and NYS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 well, i'm baking cookies. . 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Not to be too critical of the thread but the severe cold part should make the dates read 1/24 to 1/26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Fyi, a nws met just said that observations down south are snow where sleet/ freezing rain was forecast. Still he says it's unknown if that will translate to good news up here for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Temp down to 10.9F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 7 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: Much needed with the long snow drought. I found this out PSU's Weather World interesting: You can really see how rough it's been around State College as well lately: Winters for the last 20 years in Central PA have by and large been horrendous. I’m glad that most of that region should do well tomorrow but the long term average for State College, Altoona, Williamsport etc is over 40” snow per winter. They’ve been able to manage that in their few high end winters in the last 20 years but by and large way below that. Way too many SWFE’s that turn into sleetfests, cutters or Miller Bs that develop too late, much fewer Miller A coastal huggers like 3/1993 or storms that would redevelop offshore in time-now these are good I-90 snowmakers not I-80. It started right when I went to school there and never really improved. So I’d say there’s definitely some long term shift that’s screwed them over and not some short term correction that will easily reverse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, wthrmn654 said: Fyi, a nws met just said that observations down south are snow where sleet/ freezing rain was forecast. Still he says it's unknown if that will translate to good news up here for us. Interesting but I would think the ocean plays a major role in that? anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 The extreme cold warning in New Orleans is pretty impressive. ...EXTREME COLD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO NOON CST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 9 above expected. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Louisiana and southern Mississippi. * WHEN...From 6 PM Sunday to noon CST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is exposed to these temperatures. An extended period of freezing temperatures could cause ruptured water pipes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 .Best case. Would have a lot of happy folks in here. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 13 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: Much needed with the long snow drought. I found this out PSU's Weather World interesting: You can really see how rough it's been around State College as well lately: Yes. State College has been suffering from a particularly severe snow drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Interesting but I would think the ocean plays a major role in that? anyone?Are you telling me there’s an ocean nearby?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 6 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Winters for the last 20 years in Central PA have by and large been horrendous. I’m glad that most of that region should do well tomorrow but the long term average for State College, Altoona, Williamsport etc is over 40” snow per winter. They’ve been able to manage that in their few high end winters in the last 20 years but by and large way below that. Way too many SWFE’s that turn into sleetfests, cutters or Miller Bs that develop too late, much fewer Miller A coastal huggers like 3/1993 or storms that would redevelop offshore in time-now these are good I-90 snowmakers not I-80. It started right when I went to school there and never really improved. So I’d say there’s definitely some long term shift that’s screwed them over and not some short term correction that will easily reverse. see, you shoulda gone to binghamton....woulda been cheaper too.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, North and West said: Are you telling me there’s an ocean nearby? . What I mean is what does Tennessee having snow over zr/sleet have anything to do with us? Our climate with the ocean nearby is entirely different 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, Prue11 said: What I mean is what does Tennessee having snow over zr/sleet have anything to do with us? Our climate with the ocean nearby is entirely different It may or may not, I would imagine it only matters if its a sign the low is tracking further south than modeled? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Latest graphic from Upton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Looks like highs today will stay in the teens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted January 24 Author Share Posted January 24 18 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: Not to be too critical of the thread but the severe cold part should make the dates read 1/24 to 1/26. fixed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 26 minutes ago, eduggs said: Right now the model consensus has the dividing line between big snows and more modest snow accumulations plus sleet from extreme northern Morris County through northern Passaic, Rockland, northern Westchester, and northern Fairfield. Right now I would take the under on double digit amounts south of this line. Hopefully the last two model runs and then nowcasting shift that line south a bit. Looks like there will be a decent drop off right near or just south of the NY/NJ border. 15+ looks pretty solid in Orange County as of right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 High was 18. Now 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 11 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: see, you shoulda gone to binghamton....woulda been cheaper too.... Shoulda woulda coulda? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman92 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Seems like mixing line is further south than what models showing based on radar. I could be wrong with my non-professional eye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1/24 18z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poker2015 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 These guys still super aggressive with their forecast...but that's what gets views and clicks... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Got down to 4.5 last night only about 16 as high. Mighty cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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