EastonSN+ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 18z so far. Better: RGEM Worse: NAM ICON 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: The ridge placement out west for this storm wasn't ideal. MJO wasn't ideal either. There's a reason why big snowstorms are a rare commodity here especially in the CC era. Good news is pattern actually gets better after this storm. Better PNA and more favorable MJO When you say here, are you speaking for the entire forum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowguy66 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 I don't even look at 18Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 18z is a waste of time imo. 12z and 0z usually tell the picture. I liked 12z today - hopefully 0z is less all over the place . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 RGEM was better to me. on to the next! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 We ride the lightning here in these types of setups - it's exciting - but folks have to stop see-sawing with each individual model and buying it - I mean we're talking like overreactions of about a 10-15m swing of a mix line and a faux snowmap showing 1-2 inch perturbations here. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 rgem keeps everyone snow from Bronx and north! i think the actual result will be Staten Island and North! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 36 minutes ago, TriPol said: Remember, the NAM is being retired. NAM RETIREMENT PARTY 10 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 7 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: When you say here, are you speaking for the entire forum? cnj. raritan river, rutgers area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, hooralph said: NAM RETIREMENT PARTY pike's peak was a pimple back then..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Anything that does fall liquid wise well become frozen........ very bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Through 12z Sunday very little change on the 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 By 18z Sunday GFS is a tick North. Mix line into South Jersey vs DE Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 GFS ticked better!! Better: GFS RGEM Worse: NAM ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 January 1994 ice storm incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Overall it’s actually a tick colder by 06z. It also has the coastal about 100 miles further West at 06z Monday and it’s still snowing back to Ohio. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, EastonSN+ said: GFS ticked better!! Better: GFS RGEM Worse: NAM ICON. Hrdps looks great too. Only goes to 18z but has near a foot in south nj 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJSnowman Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 GFS still better than other models. Particularly in southern half of NJ where it drops a lot of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Great run for everyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Rgem..557mm..navgem..ec (aifs) models are all snow as of now!..the gfs has been the leader of the pack so far for globals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, CentralNJSnowman said: GFS still better than other models. Particularly in southern half of NJ where it drops a lot of precip. This is a far north the mix line gets on 18Z GFS only a few hours then moves east - stronger coastal lp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1/23 18z GFS Total QPF storm: Total Snow/Sleet Frx ran (10:1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Overall it’s actually a tick colder by 06z. It also has the coastal about 100 miles further West at 06z Monday and it’s still snowing back to Ohio. The continued big improvement was how the western side gets compressed and shoved east before the primary can gain too much latitude. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, SACRUS said: 1/23 18z GFS Total QPF storm: Total Snow/Sleet Frx ran (10:1) You posted precip twice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, wthrmn654 said: You posted precip twice Updated it tnks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 I've seen nothing today that makes me want to change my ongoing forecast for my immediate area and south and east along I-78/I80. Holding steady with 6-10" for now. Fully planning on a mix with sleet here and probably a bit sooner than later. Could be wrong but we'll know for sure in about 48 hours. If the NAM is still beating this 18Z drum at 00Z this evening and 12Z tomorrow there is going to be some cliff jumping. Not buying it hook, line and sinker just yet but keeping the option open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Kuchera is 13.2 for NYC. 17.3 for MMU 17.4 SWF 16.4 HPN 11.4 ISP 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1/23 18z GFS AI AIGFS Total QPF storm: Total Snow/sleet (10:1) was 9.2 NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 The models are still having difficulty with the primary’s lp center, and the energy involved in the potential phase, before the jump to the coast. We need it to happen south of PA; preferably south WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just happy Captain Goofy held serve. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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