WeatherGeek2025 Posted Wednesday at 09:36 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 09:36 PM GFS loading...PBP anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted Wednesday at 09:40 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:40 PM It kind of looks like the better snow threat (at least away from the immediate cost) is Sat the 17. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted Wednesday at 09:57 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:57 PM This is going to have some corrections inland. Not saying it’s going to be a big storm hit, but models in general stink with WAA-driven systems and tend to push them out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted Wednesday at 09:57 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:57 PM 20 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: GFS loading...PBP anyone? Oh boy gfs is doing it again at least it looks like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted Wednesday at 09:59 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 09:59 PM 1 minute ago, Jersey_Snowhole said: Oh boy gfs is doing it again at least it looks like it looks west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted Wednesday at 10:01 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:01 PM 1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: looks west Yeah slightly, it’s GFS against every other model not a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted Wednesday at 10:01 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:01 PM Back to back runs with snow to the gulf. Wild. Looks like this will be more realistic with totals but we’ve held serve. Survive and advance. Gotta keep bullying the atmosphere into doing what we need it to do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Wednesday at 10:01 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:01 PM Gfs way weaker but a nice coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Wednesday at 10:02 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:02 PM don't take the bait folks... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted Wednesday at 10:03 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 10:03 PM 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs way weaker but a nice coastal. i'd take that all day! GFS AI was better as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted Wednesday at 10:03 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:03 PM Verbatim that’s snowing in the city for 9 straight hours during the day. Give me that 7 days a week and twice on Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Wednesday at 10:04 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:04 PM Just now, Tar Heel Snow said: Verbatim that’s snowing in the city for 9 straight hours during the day. Give me that 7 days a week and twice on Sunday. Still a good look 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted Wednesday at 10:05 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 10:05 PM 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Still a good look looks like a 3-6 inch snow event for the city and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted Wednesday at 10:36 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:36 PM I plan on traveling into Manhattan on Sunday. I'm not altering my plans until something other than GooFuS is on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Wednesday at 10:37 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:37 PM Just now, SI Mailman said: I plan on traveling into Manhattan on Sunday. I'm not altering my plans until something other than GooFuS is on board. Gefs came northwest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted Wednesday at 10:41 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:41 PM 4 minutes ago, SI Mailman said: I plan on traveling into Manhattan on Sunday. I'm not altering my plans until something other than GooFuS is on board. Even if it snows there would be zero reason to cancel any plans. It takes a ton of snow to slow anything down in the city and that’s not on the table 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Wednesday at 10:42 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:42 PM 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gefs came northwest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted Wednesday at 10:45 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:45 PM Seems like not much changed overall. The GFS is the strongest western outlier and a model blend would bring a near miss or scraper. Multiple micro-lows and vorticity near the Lakes works against us. The optimal solution involves a vormax near the base of the trof to sharpen it up and involve Gulf moisture. With some ridging out ahead of the trof, that would bring precipitation up the coast and keep a SLP more closely tucked. Otherwise this ends up more offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted Wednesday at 10:46 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 10:46 PM 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: give me this one please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted Wednesday at 10:52 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:52 PM 9 minutes ago, BoulderWX said: Even if it snows there would be zero reason to cancel any plans. It takes a ton of snow to slow anything down in the city and that’s not on the table It would be getting into the city that would be the problem, especially via express bus on poorly treated roads. I'd be adding an additional hour to my trip in travel time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Wednesday at 11:24 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:24 PM Euro ticked NW but still a miss. It now has some snow for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Wednesday at 11:45 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:45 PM 16 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro ticked NW but still a miss. It now has some snow for Saturday. Looks like a general C - 2 inch on the Euro Saturday into Sunday but temps are a bit warm at the start. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted Wednesday at 11:53 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:53 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted Wednesday at 11:57 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:57 PM I’m going with the EPS and op EURO on this one 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted Wednesday at 11:58 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:58 PM 13 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Looks like a general C - 2 inch on the Euro Saturday into Sunday but temps are a bit warm at the start. No accumulation with those temps for Saturday unless higher elevation. Still has almost nothing for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted Wednesday at 11:59 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:59 PM 1 minute ago, snowman19 said: I’m going with the EPS and op EURO on this one GFS has been proven wrong time and again. I bet Euro will be right in regards to the 24th as well, a big cutter during our warmup 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted yesterday at 12:20 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:20 AM 22 minutes ago, snowman19 said: I’m going with the EPS and op EURO on this one Not shocking coming from you. I wouldn't be surprised to see a 2-4" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted yesterday at 12:46 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:46 AM 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Euro ticked NW but still a miss. It now has some snow for Saturday. I think we'll get something in this period but the better stuff waits til late Jan into Feb. Upcoming pattern is likely the most favorable pattern for snow and significant snows that we've had in years. And peak snow climo too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted yesterday at 12:56 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:56 AM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted yesterday at 01:48 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:48 AM Haters will say it's fake . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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