wxdude64 Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 8 minutes ago, bncho said: thermals okay at best I'd 100% take that for back this way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 1 minute ago, wxdude64 said: I'd 100% take that for back this way. We don’t sweat thermals on 12 day away fantasy storms anyway, get the pattern right, get a storm. First things first. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 16 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Hmm This ends up dry, btw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: This ends up dry, btw yea i didnt like the look of the sw/trough. too far off shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Just now, Ji said: yea i didnt like the look of the sw/trough. too far off shore End of run looks like a MECS though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: End of run looks like a MECS though As it often does. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Just now, mitchnick said: As it often does. are you okay dude? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: This ends up dry, btw It's close though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 12z Euro is kinda close but we deal with some mixing along I-95 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 why does WB keep skipping the money panels. who is in charge of this trainwreck. JB? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: It's close though. yea its close. Gives us as much snow as we get today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 1 minute ago, bncho said: 12z Euro is kinda close but we deal with some mixing along I-95 if we are getting mixing with a1036 high in this position....just cancel winter now forever 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 1 minute ago, Ji said: are you okay dude? Come on. End of run storms are a dime a dozen and I can't think of one that's ever worked out. Too many things to go wrong Until we get a confirmation by the operationals and ensembles, all we have is potential. Big deal. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Just now, Ji said: if we are getting mixing with a1036 high in this position....just cancel winter now forever surprised you pointed to the high without mentioning the fact that it's the middle of january as well lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 2 minutes ago, Ji said: if we are getting mixing with a1036 high in this position....just cancel winter now forever Doesn't look so mixy out this way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 1 minute ago, Ji said: if we are getting mixing with a1036 high in this position....just cancel winter now forever Banana High, peak climo, cold Canada and the outcome still sucks. Yes its at OP at 348 hours, LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Come on. End of run storms are a dime a dozen and I can't think of one that's ever worked out. Too many things to go wrong Until we get a confirmation by the operationals and ensembles, all we have is potential. Big deal. Only so many winters left for us right...ain't nobody got time to wait 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Just now, frd said: Banana High, peak climo, cold Canada and the outcome still sucks. Yes its at OP at 348 hours, LOL. Look what's in the Great Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 1 minute ago, aldie 22 said: Doesn't look so mixy out this way Just now, mitchnick said: Look what's in the Great Lakes. lol us analyzing a 348 hour map. We definitely are in the shut the blinds window right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Just now, Ji said: lol us analyzing a 348 hour map. We definitely are in the shut the blinds window right now we are so back 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 12z Euro active with multiple chances. I like it. 11 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Just now, CAPE said: 12z Euro active with multiple chances. I like it. Perfect BLUF. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: Perfect BLUF. Micro analyzing op runs in the LR(or even worse, whining about MBY details) is futile and annoying. Folks gonna do what they do though. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 In January we really need to change the PNA. It has a higher correlation with SE ridge or EC trough, than other months like Dec and March. +0.4 temp correlation in Jan. Hr384 of 12z GEFS is trying to change the PNA. It has a -NAO as well. I like the progression toward mid-January if it can hold going forward.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 EPS is tastier than leftover Xmas cookies for D10-11 6 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 21 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Look what's in the Great Lakes. 564dm over DC and Baltimore? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 3 hours ago, bncho said: Which pattern would y'all rather chance? Jan 2025 or the advertised Jan 2026 and why? I vote for Jan ‘16 pattern 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 1 minute ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: 564dm over DC and Baltimore? It's that pesky GL low pumping the ridge as they always do. Too far away to worry, but several people seemed to not understand why the surface High to the north was ineffective. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: It's that pesky GL low pumping the ridge as they always do. Too far away to worry, but several people seemed to not understand why the surface High to the north was ineffective. Oh, I thought you were talking about a potential phase lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 5 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Oh, I thought you were talking about a potential phase lol If a GL is mentioned it is never anything good, hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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