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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowfan
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1 minute ago, Bob Chill said:

It's 3 storms. Jan/Feb 2010 redux

4 storms hit my area in Bethesda at the time. We had that Jan 30 suppression that nudged north, Feb 2, the mothership event on Feb 5-6 and the screamer/mauler on Feb 10. Pretty wild in hindsight.

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2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

The Feb 1 storm on the euro ai is a clean old fashioned straight up Miller a bomb

maybe this weekend(weak low-overriding) is a just an appetizer

 

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The AIFS obviously shouldn't be taken verbatim but I don't think it's far fetched to believe this isn't a one and done pattern. We'll be in a -NAO/-EPO/+PNA regime and that should keep cold air in place for the foreseeable future with a mean storm track targeting the East. I don't bite easily, but this has my attention.

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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

I will say this..so far, it's slower.  Precip got here earlier on 6z....with this run is still organizing in the south/sw

the RH map actually looks better at 12z than 6z

1769256000-ltoCYB39t8E.png

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