January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[osfan24]

14 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Lol. Euro AI has 3 hits in a row too. This is #3. Hahaha

 

3 threads inbound.... hahahaha

 

 

Lol that one is probably the best one!

[andyhb]

Big west based -NAO with a lot of cold air present usually equals some kind of pay dirt, just uncommon in a Niña.

[Ralph Wiggum]

The Feb 1 storm on the euro ai is a clean old fashioned straight up Miller a bomb

[EHoffman]

Just now, Ji said:

did anyone mention that we lost 12 inches on the AI from 6z to 12z from the 2 storms

No you're the first one.

[stormtracker]

Moving like syrup today.   slow as hell

[87storms]

1 minute ago, Bob Chill said:

It's 3 storms. Jan/Feb 2010 redux

4 storms hit my area in Bethesda at the time. We had that Jan 30 suppression that nudged north, Feb 2, the mothership event on Feb 5-6 and the screamer/mauler on Feb 10. Pretty wild in hindsight.

[ravensrule]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Moving like syrup today.   slow as hell

Nothing wrong with Aunt Jemima on MLK day. 

[Ji]

2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

The Feb 1 storm on the euro ai is a clean old fashioned straight up Miller a bomb

maybe this weekend(weak low-overriding) is a just an appetizer

 

[stormtracker]

so...i'm at 111 and it's a bit more supressed than 6z so far....

[andyhb]

CPC analogs say snowbanks taller than Randy incoming.

[DDweatherman]

Remind me of a time the euro has ever kept the momentum going. 

[Winter Wizard]

The AIFS obviously shouldn't be taken verbatim but I don't think it's far fetched to believe this isn't a one and done pattern. We'll be in a -NAO/-EPO/+PNA regime and that should keep cold air in place for the foreseeable future with a mean storm track targeting the East. I don't bite easily, but this has my attention.

[bncho]

Euro should be slightly more surpressed as it keeps that baja low more west

[clskinsfan]

1 minute ago, andyhb said:

CPC analogs say snowbanks taller than Randy incoming.

Man. A ton of blockbusters in there. Here we go. 

[stormtracker]

Hold on, it may not be as bad as it looked at first...thats why I don't make declarative statements when I don't know shit

[DDweatherman]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Hold on, it may not be as bad as it looked at first...thats why I don't make declarative statements when I don't know shit

Don’t worry, we didn’t even blink. 

[stormtracker]

I will say this..so far, it's slower.  Precip got here earlier on 6z....with this run is still organizing in the south/sw

[ravensrule]

Just now, stormtracker said:

I will say this..so far, it's slower.  Precip got here earlier on 6z....with this run is still organizing in the south/sw

Hopefully just matching the AI. 

[stormtracker]

[Cobalt]

Just now, stormtracker said:

It's not the GFS, that's for sure. 

[stormtracker]

May have the heaviest just s and e of us...waiting for the next panel

[TSSN+]

Just now, stormtracker said:

What’s direction on precip? 

[Ji]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

I will say this..so far, it's slower.  Precip got here earlier on 6z....with this run is still organizing in the south/sw

the RH map actually looks better at 12z than 6z

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Slp actually a fair.amt.N vs 6z

[Conway7305]

21 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

Lmao, VA is ground zero

lol… Short Pump with 47” 

[Ji]

Just now, Ji said:

the RH map actually looks better at 12z than 6z

[stormtracker]

[bncho]

Euro is weird. It's more south but more amped?

[IronTy]

WB is still at 80h.  I swear I've refreshed my phome so many times I used up all my Comcast bandwidth for the month.  

[snowmagnet]

17 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Holy shit. That is 2016 shit right there. Please god let it be right. 

I sort of feel like it's 2010 plus 2016. 

2010 was a series of storms while 2016 was all at once.