WEATHER53 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 hour ago, Ji said: oh no we can kicking till Feb:) It’s just freaking incredible 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 hour ago, Paleocene said: Where is he active? Used to read his stuff. His blue sky account doesn't have anything about what you mention. A long time ago he had some sort of anonymity issue over something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Gfs with two decent snows on it this run. Be curious to see Gefs if they light up more. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Surprised no one mentioned (assuming I didn't miss it) the end of all 3 ensembles from 12z. Incredible agreement and great, great pattern. Here's the Eps with links to the other 2. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs-ens®ion=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026011212&fh=384 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem-ens®ion=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026011212&fh=384 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 10 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Gfs with two decent snows on it this run. Be curious to see Gefs if they light up more. Looked like a 3rd one was lining up at the end too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago If you like cold, you will love the 18z gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago If you like cold, you will love the 18z gfs.That was a lot of rain/mix for all that cold lol 1 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 11 minutes ago, Ji said: That was a lot of rain/mix for all that cold lol Gotta start somewhere lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 hours ago, TSSN+ said: Can I kick you into February? Noooo. Ji adds charm to this forum lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Noooo. Ji adds charm to this forum lolThat’s one way to put it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 21 minutes ago, Ji said: That was a lot of rain/mix for all that cold lol Odd, wasn't it? We always get pure snow every winter. Must be another Gfs error. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 30 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Surprised no one mentioned (assuming I didn't miss it) the end of all 3 ensembles from 12z. Incredible agreement and great, great pattern. Here's the Eps with links to the other 2. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs-ens®ion=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026011212&fh=384 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem-ens®ion=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026011212&fh=384 I like the -EPO and +PNA for down my way, but that might be too much of a good thing for some of you guys, especially the NW crew. Luckily for them it won't look anywhere near that good as the "warts" come into view as it gets closer. Pretty though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 5 minutes ago, cbmclean said: I like the -EPO and +PNA for down my way, but that might be too much of a good thing for some of you guys, especially the NW crew. Luckily for them it won't look anywhere near that good as the "warts" come into view as it gets closer. Pretty though. -EPO/+PNA actually leans dry, but it’s also a big dog pattern with that high-latitude blocking. With those AN precip anomalies in our region and the TN valley, I would be more inclined to think Jan 25-Feb 10 has big dog potential rather than cold and dry potential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago pretty interesting AIFS ens for Sunday-Monday imo. Way more interested than it ever was for Thursday. GEPS really liked it too 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 52 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: pretty interesting AIFS ens for Sunday-Monday imo. Way more interested than it ever was for Thursday. GEPS really liked it too Each run getting closer to a little coastal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 hour ago, 87storms said: If you like cold, you will love the 18z gfs. Yessss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMAC98 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: pretty interesting AIFS ens for Sunday-Monday imo. Way more interested than it ever was for Thursday. GEPS really liked it too Yeah none of the ensemble suites had much of anything for the 16th so the fact that there's at least a modest signal for the following period is at least somewhat intriguing. I think it's also worth mentioning the CMC/GEM has a system in the area by that time as well, when it was never interested in the 16th iirc 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 47 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Each run getting closer to a little coastal Fwiw, 18z Eps gives us an inch and operational just shy of it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago ICON snows on Sunday 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago lol whole bunch of nodda 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 47 minutes ago Share Posted 47 minutes ago No positive trends for us tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 43 minutes ago Share Posted 43 minutes ago I'm thinking after the 21/22 we'll have snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted 43 minutes ago Share Posted 43 minutes ago 4 minutes ago, Ji said: No positive trends for us tonight My fear is if we do finally get SS moisture we end up on the wrong side of the boundary. Ala 00z gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 37 minutes ago Share Posted 37 minutes ago My fear is if we do finally get SS moisture we end up on the wrong side of the boundary. Ala 00z gfsYea we’re cooked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 37 minutes ago Share Posted 37 minutes ago 5 minutes ago, Chris78 said: My fear is if we do finally get SS moisture we end up on the wrong side of the boundary. Ala 00z gfs Hrm...I get the feeling that we may actually have enough cold air north of us to work, and maybe that shows itself as we get closer. I mean I haven't seen a SE ridge in any of the maps shared. And if it's that cold nearby perhaps that could do it? (Oy why am I trying to do analysis today? Who do I think I am???) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 30 minutes ago Share Posted 30 minutes ago We are so back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 28 minutes ago Share Posted 28 minutes ago One of the worst gfs runs of all time lol. Get the snow blower out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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