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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowfan
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1 minute ago, bncho said:

12z Euro is kinda close but we deal with some mixing along I-95

Screenshot 2025-12-27 at 1.14.43 PM.png

if we are getting mixing with a1036 high in this position....just cancel winter now forever

image.thumb.png.555599728f2012fb84f182a9a1ec618c.png

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1 minute ago, Ji said:

are you okay dude?

Come on. End of run storms are a dime a dozen and I can't think of one that's ever worked out. Too many things to go wrong 

Until we get a confirmation by the operationals and ensembles, all we have is potential. Big deal.

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Just now, Ji said:

if we are getting mixing with a1036 high in this position....just cancel winter now forever

image.thumb.png.555599728f2012fb84f182a9a1ec618c.png

surprised you pointed to the high without mentioning the fact that it's the middle of january as well lol

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1 minute ago, Ji said:

if we are getting mixing with a1036 high in this position....just cancel winter now forever

image.thumb.png.555599728f2012fb84f182a9a1ec618c.png

 

Banana High, peak climo, cold Canada  and the outcome still sucks. Yes its at OP at 348 hours,  LOL.  

 

 

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3 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Come on. End of run storms are a dime a dozen and I can't think of one that's ever worked out. Too many things to go wrong 

Until we get a confirmation by the operationals and ensembles, all we have is potential. Big deal.

Only so many winters left for us right...ain't nobody got time to wait

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1 minute ago, aldie 22 said:

Doesn't look so mixy out this way :)

 

Just now, mitchnick said:

Look what's in the Great Lakes.

500h_anom.conus (26).png

lol us analyzing a 348 hour map. We definitely are in the shut the blinds window right now

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In January we really need to change the PNA. It has a higher correlation with SE ridge or EC trough, than other months like Dec and March. +0.4 temp correlation in Jan. 

Hr384 of 12z GEFS is trying to change the PNA. It has a -NAO as well. I like the progression toward mid-January if it can hold going forward.. 

1-(31).png

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1 minute ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

564dm over DC and Baltimore? 

It's that pesky GL low pumping the ridge as they always do. Too far away to worry, but several people seemed to not understand why the surface High to the north was ineffective. 

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