January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[WeatherGeek2025]

final final snowmap

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

final final snowmap

You are underestimating the snow ratios.   There will be 20" totals in MA. 

[dendrite]

5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

You are underestimating the snow ratios.   There will be 20" totals in MA. 

More fun to jack White Plains

[jlauderdal]

Miamia Florida with wind chills in the single digits is insane lol

Lived in Fort Lauderdale for 30 years, windchills in the 20s one time. This map if close would be epic for SE Florida, we would have dead iguanas instead of just falling.

[WeatherGeek2025]

12 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

You are underestimating the snow ratios.   There will be 20" totals in MA. 

you're right my initial thinking was 20-26 from about Danbury CT to Boston but I was too lazy to redo it after

[CoastalWx]

Looks like this storm is it for awhile 

[Damage In Tolland]

Watching Thursday and Feb.2-4

[Kitz Craver]

That next HP is just so overwhelming, massive press 

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

That next HP is just so overwhelming, massive press 

That’s what they said about this one 

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s what they said about this one 

You’re right, although this next one looks more like a true coastal that’s getting kicked OTS by the press. I almost feel a massive SWFE on roids has a better chance of wrestling the confluence 

[CoastalWx]

12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s what they said about this one 

This is it for awhile. They gone.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

This is it for awhile. They gone.

You said that about this one too. Early Feb is very real. Aifs 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You said that about this one too. Early Feb is very real. Aifs 

I never wrote this off 

[Spanks45]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

This is it for awhile. They gone.

Sure does look like it...I love winter, but after the cold winter so far, this upcoming week as well, it might be nice to see some warmth. Wish we were heading into March, not February

[Prismshine Productions]

Big storm then crushing HP with extended stretch below 32... Winter of Yore?

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[NoCORH4L]

Low pressure before a storm makes them bite? Not too bad out since there is no wind.

[amarshall]

That escalated quicky. Dumping


.

[Typhoon Tip]

Yeah... seems a little hard to believe, given the heavy suggestion by the indices through the first third of the Feb, but excluding the AI types all models carry nothing - 

However, you know a 15 to 20" regional snow bomb ... We can probably count on one hand over the last 200 years of weather history and yore, the number of times multiple 20" fell less than 10 days apart.   I guess just based on that, which admittedly is operationally meaningless for deterministic weather forecasting in the dailies/now - more of a principle argument. We really shouldn't get a storm very soon anyone unless it's pedestrian and not asking the atmosphere to load up with more than Earth can provide in too short a turn around - the main reason why that is probably all true.. 

We'll see... lacking parameters doesn't appear to be the issue, though.  The local hemisphere is in a higher than normal energetic regime.  It may just be that we're stuck with ton of neggy interference.  Because from orbit, it doesn't seem like there's a dearth of possibility when in a flexing +PNA, 570 dm thickness lurking near Miami, while it remains cold/cold enough in the OV, either.    Lot's to consider  

[EastonSN+]

3 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like this storm is it for awhile 

Southeast's turn?

[Typhoon Tip]

7 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Southeast's turn?

There's an interesting phenomenon going on amid the Arctic domain right now associated with that crazy -AO depth ... which I suspect very few if anyone at all in here is aware.  There's registering of record warmth going on up there.  Quite highly correlated to -AO index modal states:  it is warm ( relative to climo, of course!) up there, and colder at middle latitudes.  

This cold outbreak was be-a-utifully relayed from that crashing -AO, circuited through a -EPO...now, the EPO collapses and relays into the +PNA.  The storms should be line up...but the models are taking a coffee break on seeing much...different issue/digression. 

In the meantime, some station up there...I'll try to find it, but in the midst of the 24 hour darkness, close to the N pole, in January, they were 36F ... That's like us being 122 in July.   

[Prismshine Productions]

Surprised this got unstickied considering we got another week left in the Month

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