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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread


Baroclinic Zone
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1 minute ago, Lucy Pull said:

Looks like it wants to bury the energy in the southwest again.

this! and that's usually a issue with the GFS.. 

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Much more compressed. Looks like it’s AI cousin.

yup now we wait on the rest of 12z

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1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Mess flow. Srn stream dragging but the flow int the plains won’t allow it to pump up heights out east. Hell of an ice storm Deep South with only a narrow area of snow.

GFS almost cancels the winter storm for even Virginia.....Last storm we had the AI GFS/AI Euro/CMC versus the world, now it looks the it might be the AI GFS vs AI Euro....maybe the AI Euro becomes the new king when the dust settles.

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3 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Hey guys im putting out call for anyone who has season to date snowfall totals for their town up to present. I'll be working on season-to-date updated snowfall maps for Southern New England today/tomorrow so if anyone has anything you can tag me or pm me, thanks.

Also i posted the snowfall totals maps for Jan 18-19th in the obs thread for it. 

19.4" 

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1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

There isn’t, but I see folks want to look past this weekend for a more favorable period; but there’s still a lot that has to go right. Fighting an uphill battle currently 

Seems kind of favorable to me. That’s all you can ask for. Of course nothing is imminent but it’s good seeing models with some stuff in the pipeline.

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Canadian looks a bit slower. It might deliver though. 

When l lived in the Mid Atlantic, I would always get excited watching the CAD signature develop down the eastern side of the Apps into NC....Always knew fun times were ahead. Hopefully we can enjoy it up here as well

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CMC gets there to a degree still but I have felt for awhile its idea was nonsensical, we do not typical see phases happen in the location it had been trying to show it.  I more buy the interaction and turn north happening later along or off the SC/GA/NC coast

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