RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: GFS looking meh at 12z Much more compressed. Looks like it’s AI cousin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: That super storm in Russia is an astounding story... just arresting The AI scenes are fun, too. https://www.facebook.com/reel/1549540746321340/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: GFS looking meh at 12z Congrats Myrtle Beach! The GFS sucks, I view it like the NAM at 84 hours.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Beware of the press. We’ve seen this before, and not all that long ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Lucy Pull said: Looks like it wants to bury the energy in the southwest again. this! and that's usually a issue with the GFS.. 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Much more compressed. Looks like it’s AI cousin. yup now we wait on the rest of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 AI GFS is fun, 4 southern mid atlantic snow events before the pattern warms.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Mess flow. Srn stream dragging but the flow int the plains won’t allow it to pump up heights out east. Hell of an ice storm Deep South with only a narrow area of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 That’s a deflating run… limp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just remember we are still digging out from our back to back major snowstorms the GFS had for last Wednesday and this Sunday in the mid range .. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 GFS totally whiffs on any phasing of the northern stream. We’re cooked without that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Mess flow. Srn stream dragging but the flow int the plains won’t allow it to pump up heights out east. Hell of an ice storm Deep South with only a narrow area of snow. GFS almost cancels the winter storm for even Virginia.....Last storm we had the AI GFS/AI Euro/CMC versus the world, now it looks the it might be the AI GFS vs AI Euro....maybe the AI Euro becomes the new king when the dust settles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 There are no guarantees moving forward, that should be obvious. Even after this weekend 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: There are no guarantees moving forward, that should be obvious. Even after this weekend When is there ever a guarantee? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Looking like less interaction between streams on the CMC as well out to 90. Don’t think it’ll be as zonked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: There are no guarantees moving forward, that should be obvious. Even after this weekend Thanks Wolfie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: When is there ever a guarantee? There isn’t, but I see folks want to look past this weekend for a more favorable period; but there’s still a lot that has to go right. Fighting an uphill battle currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 3 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: Hey guys im putting out call for anyone who has season to date snowfall totals for their town up to present. I'll be working on season-to-date updated snowfall maps for Southern New England today/tomorrow so if anyone has anything you can tag me or pm me, thanks. Also i posted the snowfall totals maps for Jan 18-19th in the obs thread for it. 19.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Canadian looks a bit slower. It might deliver though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: There isn’t, but I see folks want to look past this weekend for a more favorable period; but there’s still a lot that has to go right. Fighting an uphill battle currently Seems kind of favorable to me. That’s all you can ask for. Of course nothing is imminent but it’s good seeing models with some stuff in the pipeline. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 4 minutes ago, Lucy Pull said: Looking like less interaction between streams on the CMC as well out to 90. Don’t think it’ll be as zonked. looks pretty zonked afterwards, nothing like the GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Canadian looks a bit slower. It might deliver though. Just noticed that. Not far from 00z just a little slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 30 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: There would be a good chance for a heavy band well north Give a Dendrite band circa 12/20. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Canadian looks a bit slower. It might deliver though. When l lived in the Mid Atlantic, I would always get excited watching the CAD signature develop down the eastern side of the Apps into NC....Always knew fun times were ahead. Hopefully we can enjoy it up here as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 CMC slower, so thats a route to get the confluence to ease up a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Best to ignore GFS models until the operational gets to within NAM range, I don't know what is wrong with lately, it's been a random run major outlier on the last 2 storms now potentially this one, though I get it it's too earlier to say whether it's right or wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 CMC gets there to a degree still but I have felt for awhile its idea was nonsensical, we do not typical see phases happen in the location it had been trying to show it. I more buy the interaction and turn north happening later along or off the SC/GA/NC coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Just noticed that. Not far from 00z just a little slower Can’t really hate this h5 look at 126 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: CMC slower, so thats a route to get the confluence to ease up a bit That’s what I think as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Just noticed that. Not far from 00z just a little slower Makes a great recovery. Had me gunshy at 90 after seeing the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Can’t really hate this h5 look at 126 Shit ton of energy, digging on the backside of that trough too 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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